Ask the Sims Cheat Sheet · NFL Week 6 · TNF · 8:15 PM ET
Seahawks vs Broncos Anytime TD Scorer & Parlay Cheat Sheet
By Sam Smith
October 13, 2026
Thursday Night Football has the Seahawks at the Broncos, and we asked the Stokastic Sims about it before you did. Here's the anytime TD scorer board for Thursday night's game from 10,000 simulations, which of those touchdowns the Sims would bet, and a parlay cheat sheet with the Sims' best build.
The rest of the answers are one question away in Ask the Sims, free on Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings and FanDuel.
Anytime touchdown scorer Thursday night: Seahawks vs. Broncos
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the likeliest anytime TD scorer Thursday night, scoring in 52% of the Sims. These are the five likeliest scorers, with the cheapest price we found for each.
| Player | Scores in the Sims | Best price | Sims call | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 52% | 46¢ Kalshi | BUY | +7 pts |
| Emanuel Wilson | 45% | 46¢ Kalshi | PASS | -1 pts |
| J.K. Dobbins | 31% | 36¢ Kalshi | PASS | -4 pts |
| Jaylen Waddle | 30% | 24¢ Kalshi | BUY | +5 pts |
| Bo Nix | 22% | 16¢ Kalshi | BUY | +5 pts |
Buy means the player scores more often in the Sims than his best price implies, by at least 3 points. Pass means he doesn't. Prices as of Tue, Oct 13, 8:36 AM CT.
One rule to know: a quarterback's touchdown pass doesn't count as his anytime touchdown, so Bo Nix at 22% is about him running one in. Every player's price on Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings and FanDuel is in the full anytime touchdown board.
Seahawks vs. Broncos parlay cheat sheet: best DraftKings parlay
We asked the Sims for the best 3-leg parlay on DraftKings. This one comes back priced at +231 in the Sims, against a likely DraftKings price of +316, an edge of 6.2%.
- Sam Darnold 30+ pass attempts
- Sam Darnold 200+ passing yards
- Cooper Kupp 21+ receiving yards
The Sims built a different best parlay on Kalshi, Polymarket and FanDuel. The longest price the Sims like is a FanDuel long shot at +1370: ask for the FanDuel long shot.
What fans are asking the Sims about Seahawks vs. Broncos
These came in through Ask the Sims this week, with the Sims' answers.
- Sam Darnold 24+ completions: 18.2% in the Sims (+449)
- Sam Darnold 19+ completions: 58.9% in the Sims (-143)
- Bo Nix 35+ pass attempts: 45.9% in the Sims (+118)
Ask the Sims about Seahawks vs. Broncos right here
Type a question about the game, or tap one below. The Sims answer it on this page, from the same 10,000 runs, with Kalshi's live price next to it.
More questions to ask before kickoff:
- How often do the Seahawks win by 7 or more?
- How often does Emanuel Wilson score and the Seahawks win?
Prices are a snapshot from Tue, Oct 13, 8:36 AM CT and move before kickoff, so check the live price before you bet. Nothing here is financial advice: the Sims estimate how often outcomes happen, and they are not guarantees.
More on this: Seahawks vs. Broncos Prediction & Props: Smith-Njigba TD +110 · DraftKings Showdown Cheat Sheet: Bucs-Cowboys Captain Call · DraftKings NFL DFS Cheat Sheet Week 5: Warren Over Gibbs · FanDuel NFL DFS Cheat Sheet Week 5: Warren Tops 3 Panels · DraftKings NFL Showdown Cheat Sheet: Week 3 SNF