Economy & Fed Prediction Markets

Every economy & fed market we cover — model verdicts published before settlement, graded when the market resolves.

Prediction Markets

FedEx Open de France Odds: No Favorite Above a Dime

Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood and Matt Fitzpatrick all trade under a dime at Le Golf National, on a course whose last three winners were long shots.

Sam Smith · September 22, 2026

Prediction Markets

Prediction Market Exit Strategy: When To Sell Your Contracts

A prediction market exit strategy for DFS players: set a fair value from your projections, sell into strength, and cut a broken thesis before settlement.

Stokastic Staff · August 12, 2026

Prediction Markets

S&P 500 Year-End 2026 Prediction: Is The Crowd Too Scared?

S&P 500 year-end 2026 prediction: Kalshi's favorite closing band is 7,800 to 7,999.99 at 14 cents, as of July 27. Eight price-blind AI models center one to two rungs lower and put nothing on the crash bands the crowd still pays for. The full 27-band board and where the seats split.

Jake Hari · July 27, 2026