What People Asked the Sims: Week 6's 10 Biggest Questions
By Jake Hari
October 17, 2026
Between Tuesday and Friday afternoon, 3,164 people typed 16,406 questions into Ask the Sims. Nine thousand of them were about Thursday night, and Thursday is over. The rest were about Sunday and Monday, and the same ten questions kept coming back.
Here they are in the order people asked them, each with the answer the Sims gave and the price that was next to it when they asked. A cent price is the chance the market gives, the Sims' percent is their chance across 10,000 runs, and the gap between the two is the edge; every price here includes Kalshi's fee. The Sims rerun every game before kickoff and the prices move, so tap any question to ask it again and get Sunday's number.
Best Anytime TD Bets This Week
Asked 365 times, the most of any question on the slate.
The Sims answer it one way: the touchdown prices where their count beats the market by the most. Friday afternoon's list, with the chance the Sims give and the price beside it:
- Malik Nabers 42.2% against 37¢
- Drake Maye 34.4% against 27¢
- Jalen Coker 32.9% against 26¢
- Keenan Allen 29.4% against 24¢
- Laquon Treadwell 23.5% against 17¢
- Kendrick Bourne 22.0% against 15¢
- Kaleb Johnson 22.0% against 15¢
The pattern is the point. None of these is a favorite to score. The market prices the stars tight and leaves the third receiver and the backup back a few cents cheap, and that is where 365 people found the Sims pointing.
Ask it yourself: Best TD bets this week
Best Three-Leg Parlay Across Week 6
Asked 127 times.
One leg per game, the three with the widest gap between the Sims and the price: Jacoby Brissett 10+ rushing yards, 49.7% in the Sims against 42¢; Luther Burden III scores a touchdown, 39.0% against 34¢; Malik Nabers scores a touchdown, 42.2% against 37¢. All three hit together in 8.2% of the Sims' combined runs, a little better than 11-to-1.
That is the Sims' parlay, not a safe one. Three legs under 50% each will lose most weeks, and the edge is that it loses less often than the price says.
Ask it yourself: Best 3-leg parlay across Week 6
Best Three-Leg Combo In London
Asked 45 times about Texans at Jaguars, Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET, the first game of the day.
The Sims' top combo on Kalshi is three legs that all bet on one thing, Houston not running it in: Marks doesn't score, C.J. Stroud under 275 passing yards and Marks under 80 rushing yards. The Sims price the three together at 46.9¢ and Kalshi at about 35.6¢, 9.7¢ of edge a contract with the fee in, paying +181, bet 100 to win 181.
Why Marks: David Montgomery is out, Marks is the Texans' lead back, and the market has priced him like a goal-line back. The Sims score him in about three games in ten and keep him under 80 yards in nine of ten, because Houston throws. Stroud's median in the Sims is 37 attempts.
The 100-Yard Rushers
Asked 66 times.
Everyone wants the 100-yard rusher, and the Sims' answer is that the market wants it more. Jonathan Taylor 40.8% against 43¢, Bijan Robinson 42.3% against 46¢, Derrick Henry 40.4% against 44¢, Kenneth Walker III 37.0% against 45¢. Every favorite costs more than the Sims say he is worth. The one priced right is Ashton Jeanty, 15.6% against 15¢, and that is a fair price on a long shot, not a buy.
The lesson 66 people got: a 100-yard game is a story the market tells itself. The Sims see 40% and the price says 45%.
Ask it yourself: 100-yard rushers
Who Wins Texans-Jaguars
Asked 29 times, split between "do the Texans win" and "do the Jaguars win."
The Sims have Jacksonville winning 55.6% of 10,000 runs of Sunday morning at Wembley, and Kalshi asks 58.7¢ for the Jaguars and 45.7¢ for the Texans with the fee in. Both sides cost a cent or two more than the Sims give them, so the game itself is not the bet. The median score is Jaguars 23, Texans 20, and the most common finals are 20-17 and 23-20 either way.
Ask it yourself: Who wins Texans vs Jaguars
Nico Collins Scores
Asked 14 times.
Collins scores a touchdown in 40.0% of the Sims. Kalshi has him at 36.6¢ and DraftKings at +165, which is 37.7¢, so both sides of the market are a few cents under the Sims. The DraftKings card called it good value at +8.1% on the stake. With Tank Dell on injured reserve, Collins is the target the Sims keep sending to the end zone.
Ask it yourself: Nico Collins scores a TD
Brock Bowers Scores
Asked 12 times, and the Sims said no.
Bowers scores in 41.4% of the Sims. Kalshi charges 52.7¢. The card did the arithmetic the other way: Bowers doesn't score is 58.6% against a 51.7¢ price, 6.9¢ of edge a contract, 13% on the money you put down, the widest fade anyone asked about this week.
Ask it yourself: Brock Bowers scores a TD
Kyren Williams Scores
Asked 12 times.
The Sims score Williams in 61.7% of games and Kalshi asks 66.6¢, 4.9¢ against you with the fee in. He is the likeliest Ram to score and still not a buy. The line the card liked better was Williams 15+ receiving yards at 64.4¢, priced exactly where the Sims have it.
Ask it yourself: Kyren Williams scores a TD
Watson Or Golden Scores
Asked 12 times about Sunday night, the question nobody can bet in one ticket.
Christian Watson or Matthew Golden scores: at least one in 71.7% of the Sims, both in 17.9%. Kalshi has no either-or contract, so it is two tickets costing 84¢ for a dollar of payout on each. Watson alone is the buy, 49.1% in the Sims against 44.7¢; Golden alone is 40.5% against 39.6¢, fair.
Ask it yourself: Christian Watson or Matthew Golden TD
Malik Nabers Scores
Asked 10 times, and he is in two other answers above.
Nabers scored in 39.2% of the Sims on Thursday's card against 36.6¢ on Kalshi, 2.6¢ of edge with the fee in, and Friday's run moved him up to 42.2%, the number in the lists above. He is the one name that shows up in the best TD bets, the best three-leg parlay and his own question, which is what it looks like when the market is slow on one player.
Ask it yourself: Malik Nabers scores a TD
Ask The Next One
The questions above are Friday's. The Sims rerun every game the morning of and again after the inactives, and the prices move with them, so the number you get Sunday will not be the number above. That is the reason to ask rather than read.
Start with the one you came for, then ask the one the card suggests under it. Half of this week's questions came from 371 people who asked eleven or more times each, and they were not re-asking the same thing. They were following the card.
Questions and answers: Ask the Sims log, Tuesday, Oct. 13 through Friday, Oct. 16, 2026, 3:30 p.m. CT, staff and test questions removed. Prices as shown on each card at the time it was asked, including Kalshi's taker fee. Sims runs: the run each card showed when it was asked, Thursday or Friday; every game reruns before kickoff.
More on this: Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction & Props: Pickens TD at +160 · Seahawks vs. Broncos Prediction & Props: Smith-Njigba TD +105 · Sim 95 of 10,000: Texans 50, Jaguars 47, In Overtime · NFL Week 6 Anytime TD Picks: Kraft +210, Every Game's Top Scorer · NFL Week 6 Parlay Picks: Underdog Raiders by 6+ on Kalshi
Ask the Sims your own Week 6 question. Every answer is counted across 10,000 runs of the game with the price beside it, free, no login.
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