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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel College Basketball Fantasy Lineup Projections 2/11/22

Matt Gajewski

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The college basketball slate for Friday, Feb. 11 has NCAA Tournament title hopefuls UConn, Xavier and Boise State all in action tonight. As always, we will be breaking down all of the best CBB picks for DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy college basketball lineups tonight and going over some of the best plays from each pricing range. If you are looking to take your game to the next level, be sure to check out our daily CBB projections over at the Awesemo College Basketball page.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Basketball

Studs

Justin Bean ($8,300) — A solid day for stars and scrubs, tonight’s slate lacks some of the usual suspects priced north of $9,000. Highlighting the stud tier, Utah State’s Justin Bean has now played 39, 39 and 36 minutes in three straight games. Involved across statistical categories, Bean has a 21.9% shot rate, 28% rebound rate and 14.4% assist rate on the season. Utah State is also an 11.5-point favorite over Nevada in a game with a 145-point total. With the highest implied team total on the board, Utah State and Bean are an easy place to look for DFS value tonight.

Desmond Cambridge ($7,900) — On the other side of the Utah State game, Nevada has a serviceable 66.75-point implied team total on a four-game slate. While the matchup is difficult, Nevada plays condensed minutes. Stud Desmond Cambridge has now played 37, 40 and 37 minutes in three straight games. On the year, he has a 24.4% shot rate, 14.5% rebound rate and 12.4% assist rate. While Utah State is the favorite in this game, their 94th ranked defense opens the door to a back-and-forth affair. For those looking at a GPP play, Grant Sherfield is also in play in his second game since returning to the lineup. This game features plenty of game stacking appeal.

Paul Scruggs ($7,400) — A tightly contested game with some star appeal, Xavier faces UConn as a 1.5-point favorite in a game with a 139.5-point total. While UConn’s Adama Sanogo is a solid target himself, he will run into a strong Xavier front court. On the other side, Xavier’s Paul Scruggs has emerged as the team’s alpha. Scruggs has now played 33 minutes in back-to-back games, maximizing his 17% usage rate. In Xavier’s last three games, Scruggs has contributed a 19.1% shot rate, 19.1% rebound rate and 35.9% assist rate. UConn ranks 223rd at defending three-pointers, where Scruggs shoots 35% over the course of his career. Between Scruggs and Sanogo, Scruggs has a slightly better projection when adjusted for price here.

Yuri Collins ($7,100) — A middling game environment on tonight’s slate, Saint Louis is a five-point favorite over Saint Bonaventure in a game with a 140.5-point total. While the Bonnies play one of the narrowest rotations in college basketball, all of their starters are overpriced for this game environment when compared to the slate’s other studs. Meanwhile, Saint Louis stud Yuri Collins is egregiously underpriced after playing 37, 36 and 47 minutes in three straight games. More importantly, Collins’ rates have drastically increased in this span. Collins has accounted for a 22.2% shot rate, 16.5% rebound rate and 60% assist rate. While the 60% assist rate is absurd, Collins has a 56.1% assist rate on the year. Now showing more assertiveness as a scorer, Collins is underpriced in his newfound role.

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Collins soared to the top of the CBB lineup optimizer today when running the DFS basketball optimal lineups. See who else was showing up as the top CBB picks on today’s college basketball slate with the DraftKings CBB Picks Cheat Sheet.

Mid-Range

Abu Kigab ($6,900) — The lowest total on the board, Boise State is an 8.5-point favorite over UNLV in a game with a 130.5-point over/under. Despite this, Boise State still possesses a decent 69.5 team total. Priced down because of the poor game environment, Abu Kigab is particularly interesting. Kigab has played 34, 35 and 36 minutes in Boise State’s last three games. On the year, he has an 18% shot rate, 17.6% rebound rate and 19.2% assist rate, giving him upside across statistical categories. UNLV ranks 170th in defensive efficiency, creating an excellent environment for Kigab to maximize here.

Zach Freemantle ($6,800) — For those looking at cheaper options from Xavier, Zach Freemantle has overcome his early-season foot issues. Freemantle has now played 25, 38 and 36 minutes in three straight games with his 25-minute limitation occurring due to foul trouble. In that span, Freemantle has a 22.9% shot rate, 13.1% rebound rate and 5.1% assist rate. While UConn’s interior defense has been stout, Freemantle has the chance to avoid Sanogo with Jack Nunge also playing 30-plus minutes in each of Xavier’s last two games. Overall, Freemantle could be a sneaky GPP pivot off Scruggs.

Brandon Horvath ($6,400) — For those looking at a mid-priced option for Utah State, Brandon Horvath has taken on a much larger role as the season has progressed. Initially functioning in more of a part time role, Horvath has now played 44, 33 and 34 minutes in Utah State’s last four games. More importantly, all of his rates have risen in this span. Horvath has contributed a 22.8% shot rate, 28.3% rebound rate and 26.2% assist rate in this span. Egregiously priced here, Horvath is one of the best price-adjusted values on the entire slate.

Value Plays

Fred Thatch ($4,100) — Saint Louis has a decent implied team total on this slate as a 5-point favorite. While still running an eight-man rotation, Saint Louis has recently condensed their minutes. One beneficiary has been Fred Thatch, who has played 29, 30 and 32 minutes in Saint Louis’ last three games. Thatch only has a 12.4% usage rate this year, but he has contributed a 13.5% shot rate, 15.6% rebound rate and 11.1% assist rate over the last three games. While Jordan Nesbitt is also viable in this range, Thatch has simply been more involved in Saint Louis’ most recent games.

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Tyson Degenhart ($3,900) — For those looking at cheaper plays from Boise State, Tyson Degenhart has taken on an increased role of late. Degenhart has now played 34, 25 and 41 minutes in three straight games for Boise State. Showing a strong increase in rates, Degenhart has provided a 17.2% shot rate, 20.2% rebound rate and 13.8% assist rate in Boise State’s last three games. UNLV does not play strong defense, but they are particularly vulnerable to opposing big men. The Rebels rank 194th in interior defense and 174th in rebounding, setting up Degenhart for an advantageous matchup.

Sean Bairstow ($3,000) — For those looking at a pure punt play, Utah State’s Sean Bairstow is expected to return to the lineup after missing Utah State’s most recent game. Prior to the absence, Bairstow had played 32 and 27 minutes for Utah State without any notable injuries ahead of him. Bairstow has been involved in the offense as well, posting a 14% usage rate this season. Bairstow’s warmup status will be key here, but if active, he would make an excellent value play.

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Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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