PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting
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10 months agoon
Stokastic's PGA DFS Weather Splits
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| Name | DK Salary | SG_Weather | R1TeeTime | R2TeeTime | r1avg | r2avg | R1StrokesGained | R2StrokesGained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spieth | 10,600 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Viktor Hovland | 10,300 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 10,100 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Tom Hoge | 10,000 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Seamus Power | 9,800 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Andrew Putnam | 9,700 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Maverick McNealy | 9,600 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Justin Rose | 9,500 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Matt Kuchar | 9,400 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Denny McCarthy | 9,200 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Keith Mitchell | 9,100 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Joel Dahmen | 9,000 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Taylor Pendrith | 8,900 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Thomas Detry | 8,800 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Alex Smalley | 8,700 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Ben Griffin | 8,600 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Kevin Kisner | 8,500 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Dean Burmester | 8,400 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Taylor Moore | 8,300 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| David Lipsky | 8,200 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Trey Mullinax | 8,100 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Nick Taylor | 8,000 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Erik Van Rooyen | 8,000 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Scott Stallings | 7,900 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Brendon Todd | 7,900 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Davis Riley | 7,800 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Robby Shelton | 7,800 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Nick Hardy | 7,700 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Webb Simpson | 7,700 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Will Gordon | 7,600 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Lanto Griffin | 7,600 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Seonghyeon Kim | 7,600 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Kurt Kitayama | 7,500 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Ryan Palmer | 7,500 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Russell Knox | 7,500 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Beau Hossler | 7,400 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Byeong Hun An | 7,400 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Joseph Bramlett | 7,400 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Garrick Higgo | 7,400 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Matthew NeSmith | 7,300 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Greyson Sigg | 7,300 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Justin Suh | 7,300 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Kevin Yu | 7,300 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Nate Lashley | 7,300 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Troy Merritt | 7,200 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Callum Tarren | 7,200 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Scott Piercy | 7,200 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Ben Taylor | 7,200 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Adam Long | 7,200 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Justin Lower | 7,200 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Kevin Streelman | 7,100 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Danny Willett | 7,100 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Brandon Wu | 7,100 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Matthias Schmid | 7,100 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Harry Hall | 7,100 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Harry Higgs | 7,100 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 7,100 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Charley Hoffman | 7,000 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Mark Hubbard | 7,000 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 7,000 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Carl Yuan | 7,000 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Adam Schenk | 7,000 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Sam Stevens | 7,000 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Austin Eckroat | 7,000 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Erik Barnes | 7,000 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Doug Ghim | 6,900 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Matthias Schwab | 6,900 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Jimmy Walker | 6,900 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Zecheng Dou | 6,900 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| MJ Daffue | 6,900 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Luke Donald | 6,900 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Kevin Tway | 6,900 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Austin Cook | 6,900 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Andrew Novak | 6,900 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Chesson Hadley | 6,800 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Lucas Glover | 6,800 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Peter Malnati | 6,800 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Henrik Norlander | 6,800 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Seung-Yul Noh | 6,800 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Ben Silverman | 6,800 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Satoshi Kodaira | 6,800 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Eric Cole | 6,800 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Doc Redman | 6,800 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Ryan Armour | 6,700 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Cameron Percy | 6,700 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Austin Smotherman | 6,700 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Ben Martin | 6,700 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Michael Kim | 6,700 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Harrison Endycott | 6,700 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Zac Blair | 6,700 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Augusto Nunez | 6,700 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Andrew Landry | 6,700 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Ryan Moore | 6,600 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| James Hahn | 6,600 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Tano Goya | 6,600 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Vincent Norrman | 6,600 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Paul Haley | 6,600 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Chad Ramey | 6,600 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Sean O'Hair | 6,600 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Tyson Alexander | 6,600 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Dylan Wu | 6,600 | -0.06 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| Chris Stroud | 6,500 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| David Lingmerth | 6,500 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Marcel Siem | 6,500 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Fabian Gomez | 6,500 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Brian Gay | 6,500 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 6,500 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Brice Garnett | 6,500 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Brent Grant | 6,500 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Sung Kang | 6,500 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Brian Stuard | 6,400 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 6,400 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| J.B. Holmes | 6,400 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Hank Lebioda | 6,400 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Kelly Kraft | 6,400 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Kevin Roy | 6,400 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Grayson Murray | 6,400 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Max McGreevy | 6,400 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Ryan Brehm | 6,400 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 6,300 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Scott Brown | 6,300 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Jonas Blixt | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.12 | 0.00 | ||
| Kevin Chappell | 6,300 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| William McGirt | 6,300 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Scott Harrington | 6,300 | -0.02 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Bill Haas | 6,300 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Trevor Werbylo | 6,300 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Trevor Cone | 6,300 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Camilo Villegas | 6,200 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Nick Watney | 6,200 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Michael Gligic | 6,200 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Cody Gribble | 6,200 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Kyle Westmoreland | 6,200 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Brandon Matthews | 6,200 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| Jason Dufner | 6,200 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Richy Werenski | 6,200 | -0.01 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Anders Albertson | 6,200 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Carson Young | 6,100 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Wesley Bryan | 6,100 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Kyle Stanley | 6,100 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Martin Trainer | 6,100 | 0.07 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| John Pak | 6,100 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| RJ Manke | 6,100 | -0.06 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.5 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Greg Chalmers | 6,100 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Tom Johnson | 6,100 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Charles Porter | 6,100 | 0.07 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Ted Potter Jr. | 6,000 | 0.07 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 6,000 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Tommy Gainey | 6,000 | 0.07 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| Robert Garrigus | 6,000 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 6,000 | -0.01 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Garett Reband | 6,000 | -0.03 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| D.A. Points | 6,000 | -0.05 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Arjun Atwal | 6,000 | 0.00 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Ben Crane | 6,000 | -0.03 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 0.01 | -0.04 |
| Paul O'Hara | 6,000 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.12 | 0.00 |
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About Our PGA DFS Weather Splits
In PGA tournaments, golfers almost always tee up once in the morning and once in the afternoon in the first two rounds - either Thursday morning and Friday Afternoon or vice-versa. In general conditions for golfing are better earlier in the day, so this is done to give each golfer the best chance at even conditions. But wind can make a huge impact on PGA tournaments with what golfers get the better weather for their rounds. That difference can be even more significant for bets and DFS contests involving a single round. Since weather forecasts can predict wind intensity fairly accurately, we can use this information to gain an edge with our bets.
In this table we show what the average wind conditions are forecasted to be for each round, and how we expect that to impact a golfer's score on average. SG_Weather stands for shots gained weather and represents the average number of strokes advantage a golfer has relative to other golfers. These are weighted for the tournament's average conditions so each golfer's SG_Weather averages out to zero. R1avg and R2avg are the average wind speeds expected for that golfer's round. And the R1 and R2 Strokes Gained columns break down the impact on each individual round.
Tee times for round 1 aren't known until Tuesday evening and will be updated by Wednesday morning. Tee times for rounds 3 and 4 are determined after the conclusions of rounds 2 and 3, we will update the weather impacts for those rounds after the conclusions of the previous round.
How To Use Our PGA DFS Weather Splits Data
View the video below to see how our PGA DFS weather splits are used in real PGA DFS line-ups.
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A self-proclaimed U.S. history buff, stats enthusiast, and rabid fan of anything Detroit (yes, even the Lions), Alex started playing daily fantasy sports in 2013 and never looked back. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill-set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. He has since dominated DFS, becoming a fixture on leaderboards and cementing his position as the top-ranked overall player according to RotoGrinders. Competing in most guaranteed prize pool tournaments, he has ranked in the top 3 across major sports, including NBA, NFL, NHL, PGA, and MLB. He enjoys sharing his knowledge of fantasy sports with new and experienced players alike. Career Highlights: No. 1 Overall Ranking; 14x FanDuel $100k winner, 11x DraftKings Hundred-Thousandaire; 20x Live Final qualifier. You can contact him on Twitter @awesemodfs or by emailing [email protected].
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