PGA Weather Splits
In PGA tournaments, golfers almost always tee up once in the morning and once in the afternoon in the first two rounds – either Thursday morning and Friday Afternoon or vice-versa. In general conditions for golfing are better earlier in the day, so this is done to give each golfer the best chance at even conditions. But wind can make a huge impact on PGA tournaments with what golfers get the better weather for their rounds. That difference can be even more significant for bets and DFS contests involving a single round. Since weather forecasts can predict wind intensity fairly accurately, we can use this information to gain an edge with our bets.
In this table we show what the average wind conditions are forecasted to be for each round, and how we expect that to impact a golfer’s score on average. SG_Weather stands for shots gained weather and represents the average number of strokes advantage a golfer has relative to other golfers. These are weighted for the tournament’s average conditions so each golfer’s SG_Weather averages out to zero. R1avg and R2avg are the average wind speeds expected for that golfer’s round. And the R1 and R2 Strokes Gained columns break down the impact on each individual round.
Tee times for Round 1 aren’t known until Tuesday evening and will be updated by Wednesday morning. Tee times for rounds 3 and 4 are determined after the conclusions of Rounds 2 and 3, we will update the weather impacts for those rounds after the conclusions of the previous round.
Key:
- SG_Weather: Represents the average number of strokes a golfer will gain or lose in a given round relative to other golfers, due to weather.
- R1avg: Average wind speeds predicted for Round 1 for that golfers round
- R2avg: Average wind speeds predicted for Round 2 for that golfers round
PGA Weather
Name | DK Salary | SG_Weather | R1TeeTime | R2TeeTime | r1avg | r2avg | R1StrokesGained | R2StrokesGained |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | DK Salary | SG_Weather | R1TeeTime | R2TeeTime | r1avg | r2avg | R1StrokesGained | R2StrokesGained |
Scottie Scheffler | 12,800 | 0.03 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 5.8 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Rory McIlroy | 11,600 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 13.7 | 4.4 | 9.1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
Xander Schauffele | 11,300 | 0.02 | 8.4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 9.0 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
Justin Thomas | 10,600 | 0.03 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 5.8 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Patrick Cantlay | 10,300 | -0.02 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
Viktor Hovland | 10,100 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 13.7 | 4.4 | 9.1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
Will Zalatoris | 9,900 | 0.00 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 6.2 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
Hideki Matsuyama | 9,800 | 0.04 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 5.7 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
Wyndham Clark | 9,700 | 0.01 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Max Homa | 9,600 | 0.04 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 5.7 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
Jordan Spieth | 9,500 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 13.7 | 4.4 | 9.1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
Collin Morikawa | 9,400 | 0.01 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Ludvig Aberg | 9,300 | -0.02 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
Sam Burns | 9,200 | 0.02 | 8.4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 9.0 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
Shane Lowry | 9,100 | 0.00 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 6.2 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
Cameron Young | 9,000 | 0.00 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 6.2 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
Jason Day | 8,900 | 0.03 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
Tommy Fleetwood | 8,800 | 0.02 | 8.4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 9.0 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
Sahith Theegala | 8,700 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 6.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
Russell Henley | 8,600 | -0.02 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
Tony Finau | 8,500 | 0.00 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 6.2 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
Sungjae Im | 8,400 | -0.05 | 9.1 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
Corey Conners | 8,300 | 0.01 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | 8,200 | 0.04 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 5.7 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
Tom Kim | 8,100 | -0.03 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
Byeong Hun An | 8,100 | 0.09 | 12.8 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 5.1 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
Min Woo Lee | 8,000 | 0.05 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
Si Woo Kim | 8,000 | 0.03 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
Brian Harman | 7,900 | 0.01 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Keegan Bradley | 7,900 | -0.06 | 9.3 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 9.5 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
Harris English | 7,800 | 0.03 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 5.8 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Tom Hoge | 7,800 | 0.03 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
J.T. Poston | 7,700 | 0.03 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 5.8 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Eric Cole | 7,700 | -0.03 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 6.6 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Adam Scott | 7,600 | -0.02 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
Chris Kirk | 7,600 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 6.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
Adam Hadwin | 7,500 | -0.06 | 9.3 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 9.5 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
Keith Mitchell | 7,500 | 0.06 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.4 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 7,400 | 0.05 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
Emiliano Grillo | 7,400 | -0.03 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
Rickie Fowler | 7,300 | 0.03 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 5.8 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Erik Van Rooyen | 7,300 | -0.05 | 9.1 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
Alex Noren | 7,200 | 0.05 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
Stephan Jaeger | 7,200 | 0.06 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.4 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Nicolai Hojgaard | 7,100 | 0.08 | 12.9 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 5.2 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Jake Knapp | 7,100 | 0.05 | 13.3 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 5.6 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
Cameron Davis | 7,000 | 0.06 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.4 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Justin Rose | 7,000 | -0.03 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
Denny McCarthy | 6,900 | 0.08 | 12.9 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 5.2 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Nick Taylor | 6,900 | -0.03 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
Beau Hossler | 6,800 | 0.08 | 12.9 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 5.2 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Doug Ghim | 6,800 | 0.09 | 12.8 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 5.1 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
Matthieu Pavon | 6,700 | 0.05 | 13.3 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 5.6 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
Luke List | 6,700 | 0.00 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 6.2 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
Billy Horschel | 6,600 | -0.05 | 9.1 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
Kurt Kitayama | 6,600 | 0.02 | 8.4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 9.0 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
Sepp Straka | 6,500 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 13.7 | 4.4 | 9.1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
Austin Eckroat | 6,500 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 6.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
Brendon Todd | 6,500 | -0.05 | 9.1 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
Aaron Rai | 6,400 | 0.06 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.16 | -0.10 |
Andrew Novak | 6,400 | -0.02 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 6.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
Patrick Rodgers | 6,400 | 0.09 | 12.8 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 5.1 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
Andrew Putnam | 6,300 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 6.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
Lucas Glover | 6,300 | -0.05 | 9.1 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
Maverick McNealy | 6,300 | -0.03 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 6.6 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Akshay Bhatia | 6,200 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 6.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
Ryo Hisatsune | 6,200 | -0.09 | 9.7 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
Ryan Fox | 6,200 | -0.06 | 9.3 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 9.5 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
Davis Thompson | 6,100 | -0.02 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 6.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
Adam Svensson | 6,100 | 0.04 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 5.7 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
Kevin Yu | 6,100 | 0.09 | 12.8 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 5.1 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
Taylor Pendrith | 6,000 | 0.08 | 7.7 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
Taylor Montgomery | 6,000 | 0.08 | 7.7 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
Ben Griffin | 6,000 | -0.02 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 6.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
Webb Simpson | 5,900 | -0.05 | 9.1 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
Taylor Moore | 5,900 | -0.03 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
Adam Schenk | 5,900 | 0.02 | 8.4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 9.0 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
Kyoung-Hoon Lee | 5,800 | -0.06 | 9.3 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 9.5 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
Mark Hubbard | 5,800 | 0.06 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.4 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Chan Kim | 5,800 | -0.04 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Seamus Power | 5,800 | 0.05 | 13.3 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 5.6 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
Justin Suh | 5,700 | -0.07 | 9.5 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 9.6 | 0.10 | -0.17 |
Thomas Detry | 5,700 | 0.05 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
Nick Dunlap | 5,700 | 0.05 | 13.3 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 5.6 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
Mackenzie Hughes | 5,700 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 6.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
Chesson Hadley | 5,700 | 0.08 | 7.7 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
Justin Lower | 5,700 | -0.07 | 9.5 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 9.6 | 0.10 | -0.17 |
C.T. Pan | 5,600 | -0.06 | 9.3 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 9.5 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
Garrick Higgo | 5,600 | -0.02 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 6.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
Brandon Wu | 5,600 | 0.06 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.16 | -0.10 |
Vincent Norrman | 5,600 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 13.7 | 4.4 | 9.1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
Charley Hoffman | 5,600 | -0.04 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Robert Macintyre | 5,600 | -0.09 | 9.7 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
Sam Ryder | 5,600 | 0.06 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.4 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Greyson Sigg | 5,500 | -0.07 | 9.5 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 9.6 | 0.10 | -0.17 |
Matt Wallace | 5,500 | 0.04 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 5.7 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
Sami Valimaki | 5,500 | -0.04 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Carson Young | 5,500 | 0.06 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.16 | -0.10 |
Joseph Bramlett | 5,500 | 0.05 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
Ben Silverman | 5,500 | -0.09 | 9.7 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
Jimmy Stanger | 5,500 | -0.04 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Matt Kuchar | 5,400 | 0.03 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
Gary Woodland | 5,400 | 0.00 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 8.1 | 6.2 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
Martin Laird | 5,400 | -0.07 | 9.5 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 9.6 | 0.10 | -0.17 |
Nicolas Echavarria | 5,400 | 0.03 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 5.8 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Lee Hodges | 5,400 | 0.03 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
Michael Kim | 5,400 | 0.06 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.16 | -0.10 |
Alex Smalley | 5,400 | 0.08 | 12.9 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 5.2 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Sam Stevens | 5,300 | -0.04 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Ben Kohles | 5,300 | -0.09 | 9.7 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
Nick Hardy | 5,300 | 0.04 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 5.7 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
Brice Garnett | 5,300 | -0.02 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
Nate Lashley | 5,300 | -0.09 | 9.7 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
Seonghyeon Kim | 5,300 | -0.02 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 6.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
Chad Ramey | 5,300 | 0.02 | 8.4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 9.0 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
Tyler Duncan | 5,300 | -0.03 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 6.6 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Aaron Baddeley | 5,200 | -0.02 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 6.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
J.J. Spaun | 5,200 | 0.01 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Scott Stallings | 5,200 | -0.03 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
Steve Stricker | 5,200 | -0.02 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
Peter Malnati | 5,200 | 0.08 | 12.9 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 5.2 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
David Skinns | 5,200 | -0.04 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Troy Merritt | 5,200 | 0.08 | 7.7 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
Ben Martin | 5,200 | -0.03 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 6.6 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Matti Schmid | 5,100 | 0.09 | 12.8 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 5.1 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
Dylan Wu | 5,100 | 0.06 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.4 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Robby Shelton | 5,100 | -0.09 | 9.7 | 14.8 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
Carl Yuan | 5,100 | 0.06 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.16 | -0.10 |
Joel Dahmen | 5,100 | 0.05 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
Grayson Murray | 5,100 | 0.05 | 13.3 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 5.6 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
Davis Riley | 5,100 | 0.01 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
Francesco Molinari | 5,100 | 0.05 | 13.3 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 5.6 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
Matthew NeSmith | 5,100 | 0.08 | 12.9 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 5.2 | -0.03 | 0.10 |
Kevin Streelman | 5,000 | -0.06 | 9.3 | 14.4 | 5.1 | 9.5 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
Harry Hall | 5,000 | -0.03 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 6.6 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Hayden Buckley | 5,000 | 0.09 | 12.8 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 5.1 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
Ryan Moore | 5,000 | 0.08 | 7.7 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
Zac Blair | 5,000 | 0.08 | 7.7 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
Chez Reavie | 5,000 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 13.7 | 4.4 | 9.1 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
Camilo Villegas | 5,000 | 0.03 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
David Lipsky | 5,000 | -0.07 | 9.5 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 9.6 | 0.10 | -0.17 |
Callum Tarren | 5,000 | -0.03 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 6.6 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
Tyson Alexander | 5,000 | -0.07 | 9.5 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 9.6 | 0.10 | -0.17 |
Ben Taylor | 5,000 | 0.06 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 8.7 | 0.16 | -0.10 |