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The NEW Stokastic NFL DFS Boom Bust Tool

Alex Baker



Stokastic's NFL DFS Boom-Bust Tool

Below you can see Stokastic’s NFL Boom/Bust Probability Tool for this week's DraftKings and FanDuel slate. This data gives the user an idea how likely a player is to meet their ceiling and floor, relative to their median projections. You're seeing a PREVIEW of our industry-leading NFL DFS data for today's DraftKings slate. The preview does not contain all the data for today's slate. Join for the full list of our NFL DFS booms and busts!

About Our NFL DFS Boom-Bust Tool

In all DFS sports, being able to compare the strength of a player each day versus their popularity is key to success. For each player, I calculate the standard deviation based on a variety of factors and use that to calculate the ceiling (75th-percentile performance) the floor (25th-percentile performance) and the probability that they will bust (not meeting value) or boom (large field GPP winning player). Combining these metrics, you will be able to gain an edge on everyone by identifying under-owned or over-owned players.

The Boom and Bust percentages are determined by the probability that each player will reach a target score determined by position and salary. For instance on DK the average points/$1k for QB's is about 3x while other positions about 2.4x. On top of that on a full slate your team has to overperform by about 100 points, which is divvied up across the 9 roster spots.

How To Use Our NFL DFS Boom-Bust Tool

View the video below to see how our NFL DFS booms and busts can be used to build successful lineups.

Don't forget to check out all our premium NFL DFS content for DraftKings and FanDuel, including NFL DFS projections, NFL DFS ownership, NFL DFS stacks and much more!

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A self-proclaimed U.S. history buff, stats enthusiast, and rabid fan of anything Detroit (yes, even the Lions), Alex started playing daily fantasy sports in 2013 and never looked back. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill-set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. He has since dominated DFS, becoming a fixture on leaderboards and cementing his position as the top-ranked overall player according to RotoGrinders. Competing in most guaranteed prize pool tournaments, he has ranked in the top 3 across major sports, including NBA, NFL, NHL, PGA, and MLB. He enjoys sharing his knowledge of fantasy sports with new and experienced players alike. Career Highlights: No. 1 Overall Ranking; 14x FanDuel $100k winner, 11x DraftKings Hundred-Thousandaire; 20x Live Final qualifier. You can contact him on Twitter @awesemodfs or by emailing [email protected].

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