Below you can see Stokastic's NFL Boom/Bust Probability Tool for this week's DraftKings and FanDuel slate. This data gives the user an idea how likely a player is to meet their ceiling and floor, relative to their median projections. You're seeing a PREVIEW of our industry-leading NFL DFS data for today's DraftKings slate. The preview does not contain all the data for today's slate. Join for the full list of our NFL DFS booms and busts!
Stokastic's Week 1 NFL DFS Boom-Bust Tool Preview
⚠️ You need an NFL Core membership or above to view all of this data.
Join Stokastic now to start using our NFL DFS data, sims and other tools. Take your DFS game to new heights!
Already a member? Sign in here. Please email [email protected] if you have any questions.
About Our NFL DFS Boom-Bust Tool for Week 1
In all DFS sports, being able to compare the strength of a player each day versus their popularity is key to success. For each player, we calculate the standard deviation based on a variety of factors and use that to calculate the ceiling (75th-percentile performance) the floor (25th-percentile performance) and the probability that they will bust (not meeting value) or boom (large field GPP winning player). Combining these metrics, you will be able to gain an edge on everyone by identifying under-owned or over-owned players.
The Boom and Bust percentages are determined by the probability that each player will reach a target score determined by position and salary. For instance on DK the average points/$1k for QB's is about 3x while other positions about 2.4x. On top of that on a full slate your team has to overperform by about 100 points, which is divvied up across the 9 roster spots.
Boom% is the probability of achieving positional target score based on chance of being the top 1 QB, top 2 RB, etc. Bust% is the probability of failing to achieve positional value – 2 fpts. Ceiling is the 75th percentile performance and the Floor is the 25th percentile performance. Finally, Optimal% is the probability that player will be in perfect lineup that slate.
How To Use Our NFL DFS Boom-Bust Tool
View the video below to see how our NFL DFS booms and busts can be used to build successful lineups.
Sign up for a premium NFL DFS membership now to get:
- Advanced data for all Daily Fantasy Sports leagues, including FanDuel, FanDuel and Yahoo!
- Real-time updates throughout the day for ALL PLAYERS every time a new lineup is released or an injury happens
- File downloads for all data in Excel, CSV, and other formats
- Sorting, filtering, and search built in to tables
- Ownership for all NFL slates, including express, night, Primetime, and more
- Access to a DFS Lineup Generatorfor great hand building recommendations
- Access to premium Discord, and a whole lot more
To get access to the LATEST DATA for ALL SITES in REAL TIME please sign up for a Premium Membership
