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DraftKings Night Owl (FREE)

Alex Baker

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The Night slates are the perfect place to hone your skills in MLB DFS and win some nice prizes after your main slate lineups lock!  These tools are the full suite that we recommend using for building your lineups for the night slate.

The Stokastic MLB DFS Projections represent the average (mean) outcomes for each player’s fantasy performance. All metrics can be sorted in ascending/descending order by clicking through their headers at the top of the table.

The MLB DFS Ownership Projections display the projected percentage of tonight’s lineups that will contain each player. All metrics can be sorted in ascending/descending order by clicking through their headers at the top of the table.

The MLB DFS Top Stacks Tool gives the highest projected stacks for today’s slate. All metrics can be sorted in ascending/descending order by clicking through their headers at the top of the table.

The MLB DFS Top Pitchers Tool gives the probabilities of each pitcher being one of the highest scoring pitchers for today’s slate. All metrics can be sorted in ascending/descending order by clicking through their headers at the top of the table.

 

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Projections

 

Projections Legend:

 

Select the correct slate for your contest.

View each player’s projected fantasy points under Fpts.

Toggle through the Positions to narrow the player pool to a specific position as you craft your lineup.

Use the Team feature to categorize players by team.

Team Total displays the projected number of runs scored for the player’s corresponding team, as implied by Vegas odds. Sorting by team total is a valuable way to see how a player’s team is expected to perform when considering adding that player to your lineup.

Postponement Chance is our estimate for the likelihood that the game will be postponed or suspended after the scheduled first pitch. This estimate assumes that the game will reach the scheduled first pitch before being postponed, since you can late swap to different players if the game is postponed prior to scheduled first pitch.

Salary is a crucial metric to consider to build the best lineup without exceeding your salary cap.

Pts/$ represents the player’s projected fantasy points per thousand dollars of their salary.

Value displays the player’s projected points above or below their salary-based expectation. Salary-based expectation is the projected fantasy points implied by each player’s salary.

Ownership

 

Ownership Projections Legend:

 

Select the correct slate for your contest.

Salary is a crucial metric to consider to build the best lineup without exceeding your salary cap.

Toggle through the Positions to narrow the player pool to a specific position as you craft your lineup.

Matchup lists the game that each player will be playing in today.

Use the Team feature to categorize players by team.

Opponent displays the opposing team that each player’s team will face for today’s game.

Ownership represents the projected ownership percentage of a given player –that is, the projected percentage of lineups that will contain this player.

Top Stacks

 

Top Stacks Legend:

 

Select the correct slate for your contest.

Each team’s Matchup and the starting pitcher they will face (VsSP) is displayed.

SPOwn% displays the projected ownership percentage of the starting pitcher that the corresponding team will face.

Team Total represents the number of runs that a team is projected to score, as implied by Vegas odds. Sorting by team total is a valuable way to see how a team is expected to perform when considering adding that stack to your lineup.

Top Stack % represents the probability that a given team will be the highest scoring stack of the slate.

Top Value % represents the probability that a given team will be the highest valued stack of the slate.

Ownership Share represents the projected ownership percentage of a given stack, or the projected percentage of players that will belong to that team, out of all lineups made on the given slate.

Leverage is determined by subtracting the team’s ownership share from 75% Top Stack % and 25% Top Value %. Leverage can be a very useful tool for finding a balance between projection and differentiation of each stack.

Top Pitchers

 

Top Pitchers Legend:

 

Select the correct slate for your contest.

Salary is a crucial metric to consider to build the best lineup without exceeding your salary cap.

Use the Team feature to categorize pitchers by team.

The MU (matchup) column lists the opposing team that the pitcher is facing and the OpTotal column lists the opposing team’s projected runs scored.

For Fanduel, Top1% gives the probability of a given pitcher being the highest scoring pitcher of the slate, in terms of fantasy points. 

Similarly, Top1Val% gives the probability of a given pitcher being the highest valued pitcher of the slate, where Value = fantasy points / $ of salary.

Since lineups on DraftKings and Yahoo have 2 pitchers, these platforms use Top2% and Top2Val% instead, which represent the probability of a given pitcher being 1 of the top 2 highest scoring pitchers and 1 of the top 2 highest valued pitchers of the slate, respectively.

Own% represents the projected ownership percentage of a given pitcher, that is, the projected percentage of lineups that will contain this pitcher.

Leverage is calculated by subtracting a pitcher’s Own% from their Top1% or Top2%, depending on the contest’s platform. For example, if a pitcher has positive leverage, it means that the percentage chance that the pitcher will be one of the highest scoring pitchers is greater than the percentage of lineups that are projected to contain the pitcher. Leverage can be a very useful tool for finding a balance between projection and differentiation of your lineup.

 

Alex is better known to fantasy players by his handle "Awesemo" from seeing him in every big tournament in the industry. Playing poker professionally from 2009-2015, he heard that daily fantasy was the next big game picking up steam, and he quickly saw the potential of the relatively new game. Growing his bankroll from 2015-2016, he made a big step in 2017 by claiming the #1 overall ranking on RotoGrinders for the year. After completing his primary objective, he was looking for what's next. Attending dozens of fantasy events, Alex realized that everyone was repeating the same story: wanting to be a great DFS player while holding down a full-time job. He realized that the resources available to fantasy players while great weren't enough to help hobbyists get to the level of competing with the top pros. Having met Tom Kennedy during the FanDuel Scottish Open, the two decided to take on the realm of fantasy content along with co-founder Eddie Lai. Alex creates his own projections for each sport he plays, publishing rankings derived directly from them updated for each major slate. He also writes strategy content for how to become a better DFS player in his Game Plan series. You can contact Alex by emailing [email protected].

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