Below you can see Stokastic’s UFC DFS Top Fighter Tool for DraftKings and FanDuel, which synthesizes our MMA DFS Projections and Ownership Projections to help you build competitive UFC DFS tournament lineups. If you’re not yet ready to up your game with our premium tools, head to MMA home page for FREE DraftKings and FanDuel UFC DFS content, including FREE UFC DFS Strategy shows, UFC DFS cheatsheets, and MMA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel MMA.
How to Use the UFC DFS Top Fighters Tool
When making decisions about what fighters to put in your lineups you should consider more than just projection. You should consider upside as well as how highly owned they will be. In the top fighters tool we do just that! We run thousands of simulations on every fight card. For that card we tell you how often a fighter ends up as a top 6 fighter and scores over 100 points. 100 points has typically been a score that is high enough to be in the winning lineups for most contests. You can compare those probabilities to their ownership to get a good approximation if the public likes the fighter as well as our simulations. If a fighter’s ownership is below these metrics then they are probably a good play and you can gain an advantage on the field when they perform well and vice versa.
UFC DFS Top Fighters Tool
Legend:
Fight projections: The combined projection of both fighters in a match
Average Length: Minutes it takes to finish fight on average
Pace: Average fantasy points per minute scored for both fighters combined not including the points awarded for wins
Top 6% – Probability of being one of the six highest scoring players
2-6% – Probability of being the 2nd-6th highest scoring player
>100 fpts% – Probability of the fighter scoring more than 100 points
DraftKings
Name | Fight | Projection | Rounds | Average Length | Fight Projection | Salary | WinOdds | KO win | Ownership | Pace | Top 6% | >100 Fpts% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Fight | Projection | Rounds | Average Length | Fight Projection | Salary | WinOdds | KO win | Ownership | Pace | Top 6% | >100 Fpts% |
Matheus Nicolau | 1 | 85.90 | 5 | 14.91 | 151.78 | 8,700 | 62.2 | 34.4 | 35 | 6.5 | 33.6 | 23.6 |
Alex Perez | 1 | 65.88 | 5 | 14.91 | 151.78 | 7,500 | 37.8 | 25.6 | 30 | 6.5 | 20.0 | 14.1 |
Ryan Spann | 2 | 72.69 | 3 | 6.94 | 119.70 | 8,900 | 64.3 | 56.7 | 31 | 7.0 | 33.6 | 35.5 |
Bogdan Guskov | 2 | 47.01 | 3 | 6.94 | 119.70 | 7,300 | 35.7 | 31.2 | 24 | 7.0 | 18.7 | 20.4 |
Karine Silva | 3 | 68.15 | 3 | 9.18 | 121.88 | 8,500 | 58.7 | 38.8 | 47 | 6.9 | 25.1 | 24.7 |
Ariane Lipski | 3 | 53.73 | 3 | 9.18 | 121.88 | 7,700 | 41.3 | 24.7 | 24 | 6.9 | 17.8 | 13.0 |
Jhonata Diniz | 4 | 79.83 | 3 | 6.92 | 120.34 | 9,000 | 71.4 | 66.9 | 44 | 7.2 | 39.3 | 36.2 |
Austen Lane | 4 | 40.51 | 3 | 6.92 | 120.34 | 7,200 | 28.6 | 21.2 | 15 | 7.2 | 13.3 | 14.9 |
Jonathan Pearce | 5 | 75.03 | 3 | 8.95 | 133.93 | 8,600 | 60.2 | 35.4 | 51 | 9.6 | 35.2 | 21.7 |
David Onama | 5 | 58.90 | 3 | 8.95 | 133.93 | 7,600 | 39.8 | 30.6 | 35 | 9.6 | 26.3 | 17.5 |
Uros Medic | 6 | 82.68 | 3 | 8.84 | 125.21 | 9,100 | 73.4 | 53.9 | 26 | 7.7 | 36.4 | 33.2 |
Tim Means | 6 | 42.53 | 3 | 8.84 | 125.21 | 7,100 | 26.6 | 13.3 | 20 | 7.7 | 12.1 | 7.5 |
Victor Henry | 7 | 85.56 | 3 | 10.32 | 127.12 | 9,500 | 79.1 | 38.7 | 16 | 7.7 | 33.8 | 23.1 |
Rani Yahya | 7 | 41.56 | 3 | 10.32 | 127.12 | 6,700 | 20.9 | 12.4 | 15 | 7.7 | 11.5 | 8.7 |
Michal Figlak | 8 | 69.79 | 3 | 11.82 | 123.56 | 8,400 | 61.5 | 22.8 | 2 | 6.9 | 20.8 | 16.0 |
Austin Hubbard | 8 | 53.77 | 3 | 11.82 | 123.56 | 7,800 | 38.5 | 11.9 | 14 | 6.9 | 12.2 | 8.6 |
Caio Machado | 9 | 62.15 | 3 | 10.93 | 121.64 | 8,300 | 52.3 | 21.1 | 7 | 6.6 | 20.3 | 14.5 |
Don'Tale Mayes | 9 | 59.49 | 3 | 10.93 | 121.64 | 7,900 | 47.7 | 23.3 | 17 | 6.6 | 16.6 | 14.0 |
Ketlen Souza | 10 | 78.90 | 3 | 11.98 | 123.92 | 9,200 | 75.4 | 24.7 | 28 | 6.9 | 24.4 | 16.9 |
Marnic Mann | 10 | 45.02 | 3 | 11.98 | 123.92 | 7,000 | 24.6 | 8.2 | 1 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 5.2 |
James Llontop | 11 | 85.81 | 3 | 8.51 | 122.61 | 8,200 | 78.9 | 58.2 | 38 | 7.2 | 40.1 | 33.9 |
Chris Padilla | 11 | 36.80 | 3 | 8.51 | 122.61 | 6,900 | 21.1 | 12.6 | 12 | 7.2 | 8.7 | 9.3 |
Ivana Petrovic | 12 | 86.24 | 3 | 7.86 | 120.48 | 9,400 | 80.3 | 62.2 | 11 | 6.9 | 37.4 | 36.0 |
Liang Na | 12 | 34.24 | 3 | 7.86 | 120.48 | 6,800 | 19.7 | 15.7 | 8 | 6.9 | 9.7 | 10.9 |
Maheshate | 13 | 74.69 | 3 | 9.04 | 122.93 | 8,800 | 65.5 | 47.1 | 15 | 7.2 | 30.9 | 29.9 |
Gabriel Benitez | 13 | 48.24 | 3 | 9.04 | 122.93 | 7,400 | 34.5 | 17.9 | 21 | 7.2 | 13.3 | 10.8 |
FanDuel
Name | Fight | Projection | Rounds | Average Length | Fight Projection | Salary | WinOdds | KO win | UtilOwn% | Pace | 2-6% | >100 Fpts% | Top Scorer | MVP Own |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Fight | Projection | Rounds | Average Length | Fight Projection | Salary | WinOdds | KO win | UtilOwn% | Pace | 2-6% | >100 Fpts% | Top Scorer | MVP Own |
Matheus Nicolau | 1 | 86.29 | 5 | 14.91 | 152.69 | 21 | 62.2 | 34.4 | 30.2 | 6.46 | 23.60 | 33.6 | 6.1 | 5.5 |
Alex Perez | 1 | 66.40 | 5 | 14.91 | 152.69 | 16 | 37.8 | 25.6 | 24.4 | 6.46 | 14.10 | 18.8 | 2.3 | 3.7 |
Ryan Spann | 2 | 76.72 | 3 | 6.94 | 126.10 | 17 | 64.3 | 56.7 | 42.3 | 7.01 | 35.50 | 47.2 | 7.3 | 1.2 |
Bogdan Guskov | 2 | 49.39 | 3 | 6.94 | 126.10 | 12 | 35.7 | 31.2 | 24.7 | 7.01 | 20.40 | 27.9 | 4.9 | 0.3 |
Karine Silva | 3 | 69.49 | 3 | 9.18 | 124.29 | 18 | 58.7 | 38.8 | 21.0 | 6.90 | 24.70 | 32.1 | 4.7 | 23.3 |
Ariane Lipski | 3 | 54.80 | 3 | 9.18 | 124.29 | 14 | 41.3 | 24.7 | 15.0 | 6.90 | 13.00 | 19.1 | 3.7 | 15.4 |
Jhonata Diniz | 4 | 84.30 | 3 | 6.92 | 126.80 | 18 | 71.4 | 66.9 | 44.3 | 7.20 | 36.20 | 48.3 | 7.0 | 1.6 |
Austen Lane | 4 | 42.49 | 3 | 6.92 | 126.80 | 12 | 28.6 | 21.2 | 19.4 | 7.20 | 14.90 | 19.5 | 2.5 | 0.1 |
Jonathan Pearce | 5 | 76.84 | 3 | 8.95 | 137.01 | 16 | 60.2 | 35.4 | 33.5 | 9.64 | 21.70 | 30.2 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
David Onama | 5 | 60.17 | 3 | 8.95 | 137.01 | 15 | 39.8 | 30.6 | 15.0 | 9.64 | 17.50 | 25.5 | 4.7 | 21.6 |
Uros Medic | 6 | 84.79 | 3 | 8.84 | 128.30 | 19 | 73.4 | 53.9 | 21.2 | 7.73 | 33.20 | 43.7 | 7.3 | 0.3 |
Tim Means | 6 | 43.52 | 3 | 8.84 | 128.30 | 11 | 26.6 | 13.3 | 16.2 | 7.73 | 7.50 | 9.7 | 1.1 | 8.9 |
Victor Henry | 7 | 85.77 | 3 | 10.32 | 127.59 | 22 | 79.1 | 38.7 | 17.6 | 7.74 | 23.10 | 30.7 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
Rani Yahya | 7 | 41.82 | 3 | 10.32 | 127.59 | 9 | 20.9 | 12.4 | 15.7 | 7.74 | 8.70 | 12.9 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
Michal Figlak | 8 | 68.29 | 3 | 11.82 | 121.24 | 17 | 61.5 | 22.8 | 24.0 | 6.90 | 16.00 | 21.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
Austin Hubbard | 8 | 52.95 | 3 | 11.82 | 121.24 | 13 | 38.5 | 11.9 | 14.2 | 6.90 | 8.60 | 10.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
Caio Machado | 9 | 61.76 | 3 | 10.93 | 120.88 | 15 | 52.3 | 21.1 | 7.7 | 6.62 | 14.50 | 18.7 | 2.0 | 0.1 |
Dontale Mayes | 9 | 59.13 | 3 | 10.93 | 120.88 | 15 | 47.7 | 23.3 | 10.8 | 6.62 | 14.00 | 18.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 |
Ketlen Souza | 10 | 76.80 | 3 | 11.98 | 121.31 | 19 | 75.4 | 24.7 | 22.8 | 6.95 | 16.90 | 24.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
Marnic Mann | 10 | 44.51 | 3 | 11.98 | 121.31 | 10 | 24.6 | 8.2 | 15.6 | 6.95 | 5.20 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
James Llontop | 11 | 88.50 | 3 | 8.51 | 126.24 | 20 | 78.9 | 58.2 | 24.2 | 7.23 | 33.90 | 45.2 | 5.4 | 4.5 |
Christopher Padilla | 11 | 37.74 | 3 | 8.51 | 126.24 | 10 | 21.1 | 12.6 | 4.7 | 7.23 | 9.30 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
Ivana Petrovic | 12 | 89.90 | 3 | 7.86 | 125.25 | 23 | 80.3 | 62.2 | 3.2 | 6.90 | 36.00 | 48.7 | 6.2 | 0.1 |
Na Liang | 12 | 35.35 | 3 | 7.86 | 125.25 | 8 | 19.7 | 15.7 | 4.8 | 6.90 | 10.90 | 15.3 | 2.2 | 0.0 |
Hayisaer Maheshate | 13 | 76.34 | 3 | 9.04 | 125.62 | 18 | 65.5 | 47.1 | 20.1 | 7.16 | 29.90 | 39.6 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
Gabriel Benitez | 13 | 49.29 | 3 | 9.04 | 125.62 | 13 | 34.5 | 17.9 | 7.5 | 7.16 | 10.80 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 |