Welcome UFC fans, UFC will return to ABC for the third time, with a featherweight main event Brian Ortega vs. Yair Rodriguez. It will take place at UBS Arena in Belmont Park N.Y. Below are some MMA DFS picks and analysis with the help of Stokastic’s UFC expert projections. Let’s see what’s on tap for UFC Long Island and find some of the best UFC DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
UFC Vegas Long Island: Ortega vs. Rodriguez MMA DFS Picks
Top End UFC Picks
Su Sumudaerji | DraftKings: $9,100 , FanDuel: $22
Mudaerji is currently riding a three-fight winning streak, with two wins via decision and one via knockout. He has looked solid in his last three fights, though Sumudaerji is technically the better striker. Sumudaerji will look to keep this fight standing and the longer it stays on the feet he will have the clear edge over Matt Schnell. Our Top Fighters Tool gives Sumudaerji a 34’2% of being in the top-6 on this card. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give Sumudaerji 71% win odds. For UFC DFS lineups today, Sumudaerji is a solid play in all formats, even with high ownership.
Mid Range UFC Picks
Brian Ortega | DraftKings: $8,500 , FanDuel: $21
Ortega will enter this fight as the betting favorite at odds of -178 and Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections give Ortega 62% win odds. He is an extremely dangerous and powerful striker, but his best attribute is his black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and his dangerous submission game. Ortega is a master grappler on the mat and can end this fight via submission from any position – 4 of his 7 submission wins have come by way of the tringle choke. Our Top Fighters Tool has Ortega with 50% of being in the top-six on this card – the highest on the slate. I expect this fight will be an all-out battle, with Fight of the Night written all over it.
Jack Shore| DraftKings: $8,400 , FanDuel: $17
Shore is a technical boxer and will have the speed advantage over Ricky Simon. He is currently riding a five-fight winning streak, with three coming via decision and two via submission. Our Top Fighters Tool has Shore with 33.8% of being in the top-six on this card’ Shore’s lowest DraftKings MMA DFS score in his previous fights 87.2 and highest 109. He will fight behind his solid jab, keeps high volume, and lands at a 61% clip. Shore’s ground game is slick, and he averages five takedowns per fight at a 42% clip. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give Ortega 58% win odds.
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UFC Value Picks
Charles Jourdain | DraftKings: $7,200 , FanDuel: $12
Jourdain is enjoying his first streak in the UFC after a rough start to his tenure. He is coming into this matchup off a unanimous decision over Andre Ewell and an impressive submission over Lando Vannata in April. If Jourdain can survive his early awkwardness, he gets better as the fight goes on. I expect this fight to be a battle, but Jourdain has the slicker submission skills and could find another submission victory in the later rounds. Stokastic’s projections give Jourdain 39% win odds.
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