The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, for an exciting light heavyweight fight between Thiago Santos vs. Jamahal Hill. The Main card will also feature, The Ultimate Fighter finals with a heavyweight bout between Mohammed Usman vs. Zac Pauga and a Flyweight bout Brogan Walker vs. Juliana Miller. Below are some MMA DFS picks and analysis with the help of Stokastic’s UFC expert projections. Let’s see what’s on tap for UFC Vegas 59 and find some of the best UFC DFS pick for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
UFC Vegas 59 : Santos vs. Hill MMA DFS Picks
Top-End Pick: Jamahal Hill | DraftKings: $9,000 , FanDuel: $22
Hill’s confidence is strong, and he is willing to endure pain to get the job done. He is coming into this matchup off an impressive first-round knockout over Johnny Walker in February. Hill is a kickboxer, with excellent timing and footwork. He has won six out of the 10 victories via knockout. I expect this to be an exciting fight, with Hill’s explosive striking being more than the aging Santo’s can endure. The Top Fighters Tool gives Hill 53.8% chance of being in the top six on this card. Stokastic’s Stokastic’s MMA DFS give him 75% win odds. According to the model he has the second highest chance of ending up in the optimal today.
Mid-Priced Pick: Serghei Spivac | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $20
Spivac is a heavyweight that prefers grappling over standing and banging, which is unusual in the heavyweight division. He will move around the octagon, using his jab to keep the heavy hitters at bay, always looking to clinch and drag his opponent to the mat. Spivac will use smothering pressure in route to find the finish. He has 73% win odds and a 55% chance for a knockout in Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections , while the Top Fighters Tool gives him 46.3% chance of being in the top six on this card.
Mid-Priced Pick: Juliana Miller | DraftKings: $8,300 , FanDuel: $16
Miller is more experienced than her record suggests, with a 7-0 record to go with her impressive run in The Ultimate Fighter. She was Julianna Pena’s second pick and kicked off her run with a unanimous decision win over Claire Guthrie, who was Miller’s sole career loss before the tournament. Then, she followed that victory up with an impressive submission over Kaytlin Neil to stamp her ticket to the finale. Miller has 25.7% chance of being in the top six on the card, while Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections give her 54% win odds. With Miller coming in at 25% ownership and 25.7% top-six odds, rostering her comes with a bit of leverage on the field today.
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Value Pick: Priscila Cachoeira | DraftKings: $7,800 , FanDuel: $10
Cachoeira is a reckless fighter, that will always pose a threat until the fight is over. She will fight from a grounded stance and throw big shots in hopes of inflicting damage to her opponent. There is risk in rostering Cachoeira but could pay of nicely with a knockout over Ariane Lipski, who has been knocked out three times in her career. Cachoeira has a 38% win odds according to Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections. With Cachoeira coming in at 18% ownership, rostering her comes with a bit of leverage as well.
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