On Saturday, the promotion will stay in Las Vegas live from T-Mobile for UFC 285. The main card will air on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN and ESPN+. The main event will feature the return of Jon “Bones” Jones in a heavyweight title bout against Ciryl Gane. The co-main event features Valentina Shevchenko who puts her women’s flyweight championship on the line against Alexa Grasso. Below are some MMA DFS picks the with the help of Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections. Let’s see what’s on tap for UFC 285, as we focus on our Jon Jones-Ciryl Gane pick.
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UFC 285 Picks: Jon Jones-Circyl Gane Picks And More
Ian Garry $9,300 vs. Kenan Song $6,900
Ian Garry
- Age: 25
- Height: 6-foot-3
- Weight: 171 lbs.
- Reach: 74.5 ins.
- Record: 10-0-0
- Striking Accuracy: 59%
- Betting Odds: -850
Ian Garry is an Irish sensation that has impressed with his flashy style. He made his UFC debut in November of 2021 with an impressive knockout of Jordan Williams. Garry followed that up with two wins via decision over Darian Weeks and Gabriel Green. He is a well-rounded fighter with big power that can finish his opponent and also has a solid grappling game with one win via submission. Expect Garry to use his speed, creativity, power and flashy style to test the chin of Kenan Song early and often. He is fast and sharp enough to get past Song’s pressure, striking, and if they hit the mat Garry will have a clear advantage over Song there as well.
Kenan Song
- Age: 32
- Height: 6-foot-0
- Weight: 171 lbs.
- Reach: 71.5 ins.
- Record: 16-6-0
- Striking Accuracy: 47%
- Betting Odds: +540
Kenan Song is coming of a disappointing knockout loss against Max Griffin in March 2021. He will be fighting for the first time in two years and there could be ring rust looming in this anticipated fight with Garry. Song is a powerful striker that brings heavy pressure with aggressive combinations that has led to 9 wins via knockout in his 19 professional fights. He will be looking to make a statement and stop the hype train of Garry and earn some respect back for himself. Expect Song to bring heavy pressure early and look to land fast combinations that has put opponents lights out.
The pick on DraftKings and FanDuel is Garry. Expect his sharpness , power, and durability will be too much for Song to overcome. According to Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections Ian Garry has 85.2% win odds with a 54.4% chance for a knockout.
UFC DFS Pick: Ian Garry via Second Round KO/TKO.
Mateusz Gamrot $8,600 vs. Jalin Turner $7,600
Mateusz Gamrot
- Age: 32
- Height: 5-foot-10
- Weight: 156 lbs.
- Reach: 70.5 ins.
- Record: 21-2-0
- Striking Accuracy: 54%
- Betting Odds: -215[
Despite Mateusz Gamrot accepting this fight on three weeks short notice, Vegas odds still have him as a -215 favorite with Jalin Turner back at a close +172. He is coming off a decision loss to Beneil Dariush in October and will be eager to bounce back with a win against Turner. Prior too, Gamrot was riding a four-fight winning streak with an impressive decision over Arman Tsarukyan that earned him Fight of the Night bonus. Gamrot was the KSW double champion at featherweight and lightweight prior to entering the UFC. He is a well-rounded fighter with elite grappling and a dangerous submission game. Gamrot’s boxing is top-notch with precise striking and extremely technical. Expect Mateusz to be motivated to push the pace and bring smothering pressure.
Jalin Turner
- Age: 27
- Height: 6-foot-3
- Weight: 155 lbs.
- Reach: 77 ins.
- Record: 13-5-0
- Striking Accuracy: 51%
- Betting Odds: +172
Jalin Turner is coming off an impressive win over talented kickboxer Brad Riddell in his last time out. He rocked Riddell within the first minute and jumped on him with a nasty guillotine to finish the fight. Turner is massive for this division at 6-foot-3 and a 77-inch reach. He is well-rounded and extremely dangerous with big volume, speed, huge power, and pin-point accuracy. His grappling has shown improvements in every bout with three of his last four wins coming via submission. Expect Turner to use his six-inch reach advantage to keep Gamrot at distance while using his speed, power, and high volume to seal another victory.
The Pick on DraftKings and FanDuel is Turner. Expect his power, speed, volume, and heavy pressure to get the job done against Gamrot. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give Jalin Turner 33.9% win odds with a 23.5% chance for a knockout.
UFC DFS Pick: Jalin Turner via Unanimous Decision.
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Valentina Shevchenko $9,400 vs. Alexa Grasso $6,800
Valentina Shevchenko
- Age: 34
- Height: 5-foot-5
- Weight: 125 lbs.
- Reach: 66.5 ins.
- Record: 23-3-0
- Striking Accuracy: 68%
- Betting Odds: -750
Valentina Shevchenko will be looking to show she is still the pound-for-pound best fighter in this division after a shaky title defense last time out. After a controversial split decision win over Talia Santos at UFC 275. Shevchenko rallied late to turn the tide against Santos and secured her seventh successful title defense. She is coming into this fight with a 23-3 overall record and she is riding a nine-fight winning streak. After showing vulnerability in her last fight against Santos, we can expect to see Shevchenko to return to form. This is a more favorable matchup against Alexa Grasso, she is no slouch inside the octagon, but expect Shevchenko to take full advantage of the very hittable Grasso and get the job done in impressive fashion.
Alexa Grasso
- Age: 29
- Height: 5-foot-5
- Weight: 125 lbs.
- Reach: 66 ins.
- Record: 15-3-0
- Striking Accuracy: 53%
- Betting Odds: +490
Alexa Grasso is riding a four-fight winning streak after going 3-3 in her previous six fights. Since moving up to flyweight Grasso has been on a tear with impressive wins over Maycee Barber and Viviane Araujo. She is relentless inside the octagon and could find herself hanging with Shevchenko early, however Grasso’s marching forward style will play right into Shevchenko’s game plan. Grasso gets hit a lot and will need to protect herself in this fight against a striker of Shevchenko’s caliber to have any shot at pulling off the victory.
The pick on DraftKings and FanDuel is Shevchenko. Expect her power punching, timing, technical boxing, and heavy pressure to overwhelm Grasso. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give Valentina Shevchenko 83.8% win odds with a 54.1% chance for a knockout.
UFC DFS Pick: Valentina Shevchenko via Second Round KO/TKO.
Jon Jones $8,400 vs. Ciryl Gane $7,800
Jon Jones
- Age: 35
- Height: 6-foot-4
- Weight: 205 lbs.
- Reach: 34.5 ins.
- Record: 26-1-0
- Striking Accuracy: 63%
- Betting Odds: -170
Jon Jones is widely regarded as one of the greatest mixed martial artists of all time and will be making his debut in the heavyweight division after dominating the light heavyweight division for many years. He will be looking to cement his status as MMA goat by moving up weight class and claiming the championship. The last time Jones stepped inside the octagon was 2020 when he defeated Dominick Reyes. He put on a clinic in the championship rounds to seal a unanimous decision over Reyes. Since then, Jones vacated his 205-pound belt to move up in weight and focus on becoming the heavyweight champion. Expect Jones to be fully ready and motivated on this run in the heavyweight division.
Ciryl Gane
- Age: 32
- Height: 6-foot-4
- Weight: 247 lbs.
- Reach: 81 ins.
- Record: 11-1-0
- Striking Accuracy: 62%
- Betting Odds: +138
Ciryl Gane is coming off an impressive third-round knockout of Tai Tuivasa, which earned him Fight of the Night bonus in September. He is very well-rounded with excellent foot work, speed, athleticism, elite technical striking, and solid kickboxing. Gane’s first loss came at the hands of Francis Ngannou who brought the element of surprise and used his wrestling to outwork Gane on the mat. So, expect a much better prepared Gane that’s focused on his takedown defense since that disappointing loss to Ngannou. Expect Gane to look and keep this fight standing where he should be able to out strike Jones and rack up points on the score cards.
The lean on DraftKings and FanDuel is Gane. Expect his athleticism, timing, footwork, technical striking, and ability to read his opponent will seal the victory. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give Ciryl Gane 40% win odds.
UFC DFS Pick: Ciryl Gane via Third Round KO/TKO.
