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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel College Basketball Fantasy Lineup Projections 2/1/22

Matt Gajewski

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College basketball season is in full swing, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the college basketball DFS slate for Feb. 1, a number of core plays stand out. This piece will locate the plays from each college basketball matchup and determine the top CBB DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Basketball

Studs

Armando Bacot ($9,500) — One of the premier games on tonight’s DFS slate, North Carolina is a three-point favorite over Louisville in a game with a 145.5-point total. Dawson Garcia has not been with the team, narrowing usage for the Tar Heels. This is particularly true in the frontcourt, where Armando Bacot has taken on a monstrous role. Bacot has now played 28, 38 and 34 minutes in North Carolina’s last three games, with the 28-minute game occurring in a 20-point victory. In that span, Bacot’s usage has soared above his 17.6% rate on the year. In these contests, Bacot contributes a 21.7% shot rate and 42.4% rebound rate. Improving matters further, Louisville will be without big man Malik Williams for this game, sweetening Bacot’s matchup.

Jabari Smith ($7,200) –The best overall game for DFS purposes on the slate, Auburn is an eight-point favorite over Alabama in a game with a 155.5-point total overall. Both teams play with incredible pace and Alabama in particular struggles on defense. Overall, they rank 214th in defensive efficiency with a weakness inside. This bodes well for potential number one pick Jabari Smith. Smith finds himself slightly priced down here, considering his 19.6% usage rate for the country’s best team. Smith has played 31, 33 and 30 minutes over the last three games, accounting for 22% of the shots, 26.4% of the rebounds and 8.6% of the assists. In the highest-scoring game environment on the slate, Smith is one of the top price-adjusted plays on the board.

Hyunjung Lee ($7,300) — An interesting addition to tonight’s DFS slate, Davidson takes on St. Bonaventure as a four-point underdog in a game with a 139.5-point total. Neither team plays particularly fast, but both have solid offensive efficiency and poor defensive efficiency. With a high total and narrow rotations on each side, this looks like a sneaky DFS game. Looking at specifics, Davidson draws a much easier matchup on the perimeter, avoiding Osun Osunniyi. Second on the team in usage at 18.2%, Hyunjung Lee has played 30, 33 and 36 minutes for Davidson in their last three games. Lee accounts for 19.5% of the shots, 18.8% of the rebounds and 13.4% of the assists on the year, making him a strong buy low. He is also an excellent three-point shooter, hitting them at 39.2%. For those looking to pay down slightly, Foster Loyer also takes advantage of this matchup, shooting 42.7% from three. Loyer gives up some ground in terms of rebounding, but his ceiling is just as high as Lee’s.

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Dominick Welch ($7,100) — On the other side of the Davidson vs. St. Bonaventure game, the Bonnies play one of the narrowest rotations in the country. When attempting to maximize minutes, usage and price, Dominick Welch stands out at his price. Welch has played 39, 40 and 37 minutes for St. Bonaventure over their last three games. In that span, he has a 19.4% shot rate, 18.1% rebound rate and 18.6% assist rate. Davidson ranks 200th in defensive efficiency and they struggle across the board. Welch’s ability to hit a ceiling in a variety of statistical categories stands out here. Overall, all five of the St. Bonaventure starters could pop up for a big game at any given time.

Mid-Range

J.D. Davison ($6,000) — The underdog against Auburn, Alabama still has a 73.75 implied team total despite the tough matchup. With Jaden Shackelford, Jahvon Quinerly, and Keon Ellis all priced up, taking some savings with J.D. Davison could make sense for those stacking this game. Davison has still played 26, 29 and 32 minutes for Alabama in three straight games. More of a peripheral player, Davison’s 29.2% assist rate in that span gives him a solid floor, while his 13.7% shot rate leaves room for some upside. This is still one of the tougher matchups Alabama will play all year. While the pace is enticing, Davison and the Alabama studs are better GPP plays.

Josian-Jordan James ($5,900) — Entering a poor game environment with a strong team total, Tennessee is an 11-point favorite over Texas A&M in a game with a 131.5-point total. Overall, Tennessee plays a fairly deep bench, but a couple of players stand out with consistent roles. Among those, Josiah-Jordan James is on the cheaper end at $5,900. James has now played 32, 38 and 24 minutes in Tennessee’s last three games. After battling an injury to start the year, he has contributed a 15.1% shot rate, 16.4% rebound rate and 12.8% assist rate in Tennessee’s last three games. In the one game below 30 minutes, James committed four fouls, explaining the limited minutes. While any Tennessee player could lose minutes at any time, James looks like one of the safer options.

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Aaron Wheeler ($5,700) — A fairly strong game environment overall, St. John’s is a 2.5-point favorite over Providence in a game with a 144 point total. With Julian Champagnie and Posh Alexander getting increasingly expensive, some of St. John’s big men look like solid plays. Playing an increased role of late, Aaron Wheeler‘s 15.1% usage rate is worth a target in this range. Wheeler dealt with early foul trouble in St. John’s most recent game, limiting him to 17 minutes. However, he played 30 and 25 minutes in the two games prior. He now has a consistent 14.7% shot rate, 16% rebound rate and 11.7% assist rate in St. John’s last three games. One potential concern is St. John’s history of rotating big men this year. Both Dylan Addae-Wuse and Montez Mathis have popped up for big games at times. Mathis is $4,700 and played 28 minutes in St. John’s most recent game. For those with an appetite for risk, Mathis is a GPP pivot off of Wheeler.

Shakeel Moore ($5,200) — Another middling game environment, but solid implied team total, Mississippi State is an eight-point favorite over South Carolina in a game with a 138.5-point total. Playing a far more consistent role of late, Shakeel Moore has played 20, 38 and 32 minutes in Mississippi State’s last three games. His 20 minute game in their most recent contest occurred due to foul trouble. However, Moore has a 14.5% usage rate, which has been maximized by his increased role. Within that role, Moore has a 12.8% shot rate and 29.7% assist rate. While Moore is more of a peripheral player overall, he is still a positive regression candidate based on his recent foul trouble.

Value Plays

Michael Jones ($4,900) — For those looking at cheap attachments to the Davidson vs. St. Bonaventure game, Michael Jones finds himself priced below $5,000. Jones provides consistent play in a number of ways, including his minutes. He has played 35, 35 and 33 minutes over Davidson’s last three games. With a 15.4% usage rate on the year, Jones’ consistent minutes help him maximize his rates. Over the last three, Jones has had a 15.2% shot rate, 10.9% rebound rate and 14.3% assist rate in the offense. On a slate short on value, Jones provides some legitimate consistency.

A.J. Reeves ($4,400) — On the Providence side, the Friars use a relatively consistent rotation with spread usage. One potential buy-low is AJ Reeves. A focal point of this team prior to injury, Reeves now has one game under his belt since returning. Reeves only played 19 minutes, but there is room for growth here. On the year, Reeves has a 17.2% usage rate, which ranks second to only Jared Bynum. With the potential for more minutes, Reeves is a pure GPP dart with upside on this slate.

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Allen Flanigan ($4,000) — For those looking at cheaper attachments to the elite Auburn offense, Allen Flanigan continues to work his way back from an offseason Achilles injury. Flanigan has now played 24, 28 and 29 minutes for Auburn in his last three games. More of a peripheral player, Flanigan has an 8.5% shot rate, 10% rebound rate and a 22.9% assist rate in that span. As mentioned above, this is a poor value slate. Taking stabs with the highest implied team total on the slate could end up being a better move than taking a safer minute floor with lower usage.

Juwan Gary ($3,700) — If Alabama wants to remain competitive in this game, they will need a positive performance from their big men. Returning from a multi-game absence, Juwan Gary immediately stepped in to play 27 minutes for Alabama in their win over Baylor. Coming off the bench, Gary played excellent in that game with 15 points and three boards. Gary faces a far more difficult task against Smith and Walker Kessler, but he is also extremely cheap. Like the other Alabama players, he is best left for GPPs.

Zap Jasper ($3,200) — Similar to Flanigan above, Zep Jasper is another cheap attachment to the elite Auburn offense. While risky, Jasper has played increased minutes of late. In Auburn’s last three contests, Jasper played 28, 23 and 17 minutes. Jasper only has an 11.9% usage rate on the season, but without and clear value poor usage with decent minutes in a solid game environment could be enough to get there. Notably, Jasper provides more savings than Flanigan.

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Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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