UFC 280 DFS Picks & Value Plays: Charles Oliveira a Strong Value in the Main Event (October 22)

The UFC will make its annual visit to the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates for UFC 280. Below are some MMA DFS picks and analysis with the help of Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections. Let’s see what’s on tap for UFC 280 and find some of the best UFC DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

$10 for 10 days of Premium!
Use promo code HARDWOOD to get 10 days of Stokastic Premium for only $10!

UFC 280 Picks: Oliveira vs. Makhachev DFS Plays

Top-End Pick: Muhammad Mokaev | DraftKings: $9,400 , FanDuel: $23

Mokaev is a former IMMAF junior champion who racked up an impressive 22-0 amateur record, and he recorded a 58-second submission win in his UFC debut against Cory Durden. Mokaev should steamroll over Malcolm Gordon and find an early finish. According to Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, Mokaev is the top projected fighter on this card, with 91.6% win odds and a 62.9% chance for a knockout. The Top Fighters Tool is also high on him, giving Mokaev 49.4% chance of being in the top six on this card.

Mid-Priced Pick: Nikita Krylov | DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $16

Krylov is a pure finisher. He is coming off an impressive performance, with a first-round knockout over Alexander Gustafsson in June. Prior to that, Krylov was beating Paul Craig until making a positional mistake on the mat, allowing Craig to find a submission. That said, Krylov should take advantage Volkan Oezdemir’s hesitance to pull the trigger in his fights. Krylov has the striking to finish Oezdemir on the feet and the grappling chops to find an early submission if the fight hits the canvas. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give Krylov 62.3% win odds and a 40.8% chance for a knockout.

Latest MMA & UFC DFS Content

Value Pick: Charles Oliveira | DraftKings: $7,800 , FanDuel: $13

The price point is way off on Oliveira given his elite jiu-jitsu, laser-point striking, nasty combinations and how dangerous he is off his back once the fight hits the mat. Out of his 41 professional fights, Oliveira has only seen the scorecards four times. He holds the UFC record for most submissions (16) and most finishes (19). His striking, combinations and pressure will pose problems for Islam Makhachev in this fight. According to Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, Oliveira has 34.9% win odds and a 29.9% chance for a knockout.

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!


Stokastic +

Premium Data and Tools
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims MLB
Top Stack %s
MLB Data Central
SoRare MLB Rankings
DraftKings Night Owl
MLB Lineup Study
MLB Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Fantasy Cruncher (ADD-ON)
NHL Lineup Study
NHL Discord Server
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims PGA
Ownership Projections
Top Golfers Tool
PGA Tournament Models
PGA Lineup Study
PGA Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Drivers Tool
NASCAR Discord Server
NASCAR Fantasy Cruncher
Formula 1 Projections
F1 Discord Server
USFL Projections
USFL Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Fighters Tool
MMA Discord Server
MMA Fantasy Cruncher
NFL Betting Tools
Stokastic Discord Server
Best Ball
Best Ball Rankings
Best Ball Stat Projections
Stokastic Discord Server
Season Long Fantasy (Coming Soon)

Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics