The UFC is live from the Apex in Las Vegas, featuring a women’s strawweight main event Marina Rodriguez vs. Amanda Lemos, with the co-main featuring a interesting welterweight bout Neal Magny vs. Daniel Rodriguez. Below are some MMA DFS picks and analysis with the help of Stokastic’s UFC expert projections. Let’s see what’s on tap for UFC Vegas 64 and find some of the best UFC DFS picks, including Darrick Minner, for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
UFC Vegas 64 Picks: Rodriguez vs. Lemos DFS Plays
Top-End Pick: Miranda Maverick | DraftKings: $9,400 , FanDuel: $23
Maverick is coming off a brilliant performance, submitting Sabina Mazo in the second round in March. This will be the second meeting with Shanna Young, first time out was a Pro-Exhibition match in 2019, where Maverick won via first-round submission. I expect Maverick will look to get this fight to the mat early, looking for the armbar or taking the back to lock in a rear-naked choke. According to Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections she has 84% win odds and The Top Fighters Tool gives her 41.6% chance of being the top six fighter on this card.
Top-End Pick: Jake Hadley | DraftKings: $9,200 , FanDuel: $21
Hadley has fast-hands, power striking, and solid kickboxing. He is coming off a disappointing unanimous decision loss to Allan Nascimento in May. Hadley’s grit, cardio, technical striking, and solid one-two combination should dictate the pace early and seal an impressive win over Carlos Candelario. I expect Hadley will look for the finish early in route to an impressive performance and possible Fight of the Night bonus. Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections give 70.4% win odds.
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Mid-Priced Pick: Marina Rodriguez | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $22
Marina Rodriguez headlines her third UFC card, this one was thanks to Movsar Evloev pulling out of his fight due to injury. She is a high-volume striker with solid combinations, with exceptional Muay Thai and dangerous elbows. I expect Rodriguez will come out and dictate the pace, which will frustrate Amanda Lemos, forcing her to throw big bombs and causing Lemos to drain the gas tank. Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections have Rodriguez as the top projected fighter on this card giving her 66.4% win odds. The Top Fighters Tool is also high on Rodriguez giving her 52.1% chance of being the top six on this card.
Value Pick: Darrick Minner | DraftKings: $7,300 , FanDuel: $10
Darrick Minner is a very-well rounded fighter with a dangerous submission game. He can be a bit of a wildman inside the octagon and swing with a reckless abandon. That said, there is risk with high reward rostering Minner, due to his dangerous submission game always looking for the choke. I expect Minner will start fast looking for any opportunity to lock in a submission and finish Shayilan Nuerdanbieke early. According to Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections he has 35.5% win odds.
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