We’ve got an early one this Saturday as the UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan for Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Prelims get going at 12 p.m. ET, with the main card starting at 3. This one’s got plenty of DFS appeal and below you’ll find several of our favorite UFC Fight Night picks.
UFC DFS Picks: Fight Night (June 21)
UFC DFS Picks: Fight Night – Jamahal Hill ($7,800)
We might as well start with the main event — and our MMA Sims are firmly backing Jamahal Hill.
He’s showing up in 59% of lineups, the highest on the slate, and carries +20% leverage. Pair that with a strong 71.68 FP projection, and Hill becomes a clear core piece to build around.
Muhammad Naimov ($8,800)
Let’s stay in the main card, but take you to the featherweight bout between Muhammad Naimov and Bogdan Grad.
Naimov enters as roughly a -200 favorite and our Sims back that price. He’s showing up in 48% of top lineups, with a solid +13.3% leverage mark over the field.
He averages 10:50 of cage time, which gives him plenty of opportunity to rack up strikes, but don’t overlook his 50% KO/TKO rate — there’s real finishing upside here too.
UFC DFS Picks: Fight Night – Tofiq Musayev ($7,700)
Musayev will have the home crowd behind him in this lightweight showdown with Myktybek Orolbai.
While his projected ownership sits around 26%, our Sims are getting to him at a much higher clip — 37% of Top-300 lineups, which gives him a strong +11.3% leverage.
What makes Musayev even more intriguing is that this marks his UFC debut. Of his 22 career wins, a staggering 82% have come via KO/TKO. If he can keep this fight standing and avoid Orolbai’s grappling, the hometown kid could deliver a statement finish.
Curtis Blaydes ($9,100)
The salary is steep, but Curtis Blaydes is still pulling solid exposure (36.3%) with +5.6% leverage and a strong 79.55-point projection.
It’s a heavyweight bout, so there’s a good chance it ends early — and Blaydes is a solid bet to be on the right side of that. He holds an 18-5 record, with 72% of his wins coming by KO/TKO, plus a 5-inch leg reach and 4-inch arm reach advantage that could make the difference.
