Stokastic friend (and living proof Sims are awesome) Morgan nearly did the impossible: Back-to-back DraftKings NFL DFS Milly Maker wins. After taking down the top prize last week, he came up just short in Week 4, finishing in second place for $100,000. That kind of run doesn’t happen by accident. It comes from using the right DFS tools and trusting the process.
Oh, and also, his final score was SIGNIFICANTLY impacted by Adonai Mitchell dropping the ball just before the goal line. Was it enough to cost Morgan the Milly? Let’s look into it.
Stokastic Morgan won $100K — But Did A.D. Mitchell Cost Him the Milly Win?
The Painful Near-Miss
Morgan’s DraftKings winning lineup was just 7.3 fantasy points away from first place. However, he had Adonai Mitchell in his lineup. The Milly winner didn’t.
You probably remember the play: Mitchell caught a pass, raced toward the end zone … and fumbled the ball out the back between the 1- and 2-yard line.
Let’s be generous and call it the 2. If he held on, Morgan would have received:
- +6 points for the touchdown
- +1 point for not fumbling
- +0.2 points for the extra yardage
That’s 7.2 fantasy points extra. Even with that boost, Morgan would have missed first place by just 0.1 points.
Was it a bad beat? Technically, no. Was it brutal? Yes. But it was also proof that his DFS winning lineup construction was elite.
How Morgan Built His DraftKings Winning Lineup
The truth is, winning six-figure DFS prizes takes more than blind luck. Morgan relies heavily on the Stokastic Sims, advanced simulation software that tests millions of lineups against the actual DraftKings NFL DFS slate.
Here’s what that process delivered:
- Sharp player exposures: The Sims kept highlighting the Rams stack with Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua. It was the highest-ROI simulated stack all week.
- High-EV one-offs: Running backs Christian McCaffrey and Omarion Hampton graded out as top values in the Sims and slotted perfectly into the build.
- Balanced risk: By spreading exposure across chalky but necessary plays like Hampton and contrarian spots like Brenton Strange, the lineup had ceiling and leverage.
The result was a DraftKings winning lineup that nearly made Morgan a millionaire two weeks in a row.
What This Tells Us About How to Win NFL DFS
If you’re wondering how to win NFL DFS tournaments like the Milly Maker, the lesson here is clear:
You need an edge. The field is sharper than ever, but DFS tools like the Stokastic Sims put you in the same position as Morgan: building lineups that consistently rise to the top.
- Simulate millions of outcomes before lock.
- Identify the stacks and one-offs most likely to appear in winning lineups.
- Avoid duplication traps by finding unique constructions that still project well.
Even when variance strikes — like a brutal fumble — you’re live for six-figure paydays.
