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Coca-Cola 600 NASCAR Betting Picks & Predictions: Best Odds, Tips & Bets | Sunday, 5/29/22

Phillip Bennetzen



NASCAR Coca-Cola 600 betting picks and predictions odds to win NASCAR Live Charlotte Motor Speedway Sunday 5/29/22

NASCAR caps off a triple-header of racing action with the Coca-Cola 600, live from Charlotte Motor Speedway this Sunday evening. Let’s dive into our expert NASCAR picks this week and go over a few options for the outright market, positional selections, and best Coca-Cola 600 betting picks and predictions for Sunday’s race NASCAR at Charlotte.

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NASCAR Picks & Predictions: Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte

Tyler Reddick to win (+1600)

After Cup Series events at Kansas and Texas, it will be interesting to see just how much recency bias is going to matter to betters. If people are drawing conclusions from the past two races at intermediate tracks, then contenders like Chase Elliott (+700) could see their numbers grow, while the ilk of Ryan Blaney (+1000) and Kurt Busch (+2000) could see their odds shrink. However, leveraging expectations for a 600-mile night race at Charlotte from a 125-lap exhibition race at Texas and a regular 400-mile race at Kansas could be bad paths to meander down this weekend.

To begin with, last weekend’s race at Texas showed that this car combined with a low tire-wear venue like Texas, last repaved in 2017, produces uninspiring racing where the polesitter is kryptonite to the rest of the field. Had Kyle Busch not suffered his punctured tire or Ross Chastain ramped off of him, then it probably wouldn’t have been Ryan Blaney celebrating a second All-Star Race victory. Furthermore, Kansas was last repaved in 2011 and that was ultimately a day race wherein Kurt Busch got his anomalous victory of the season. Sunday at Charlotte will start as the sun begins to set in North Carolina but will end as the clock begins to creep closer towards midnight, at a venue that last saw fresh pavement in 2006.

Therefore, betters are presented with this quandary of competing circumstances. As old as this surface is, combined with the already existing Goodyear tire issues and 600 miles of racing, the Coca-Cola 600 could become a real endurance race and the winner could simply be whoever ended up on the right draw of tire luck. However, with this being a night race, track temperatures should drop throughout the race, and grip should necessarily increase hopefully decreasing the rate at which these tires fail. Thus, should betters plan for an attrition race or something closer to last year’s event that Kyle Larson won, leading 327 laps from the pole en route to victory.

The answer to this question might be both scenarios taking place as the track transitions from day into night. Early forecasts peg the temperature in Concord, North Carolina to peak around 85 degrees on Sunday, meaning when the race begins this track should be hot and slick. However, as racing goes on throughout the evening and track temperatures build while rubber builds, then this race could transition into a lap turner. With this in mind, it makes sense to take shots on larger odds while not going crazy due to the attrition aspect of this race as it should be someone from the larger teams that celebrates in Victory Lane on Sunday night.

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Thus, Tyler Reddick fits this bill at +1600 this week. In his two career Cup starts in the Coca-Cola 600, Reddick has finished both events in the top 10 and at Charlotte’s closest corollary of 2022 (Las Vegas), Reddick finished his afternoon in seventh. Furthermore, don’t forget that at a fellow higher tire wear venue (Auto Club Speedway), Reddick was on his way to victory after leading the majority of the day before he suffered his own cut tire late in the race. However, for those that want even longer odds from a legitimate threat, Daniel Suarez at +4000 pays off even longer odds. He’s basically discount Ross Chastain, with the same team, and car, but less aggressiveness, which could be an odd plus factor this Sunday.

Best Coca-Cola 600 Pick: Tyler Reddick to Win +1600

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More Coca-Cola 600 NASCAR Picks, Parlays and Best Bets

The following is an intriguing list of picks, parlays, and best bets being offered by BetMGM for this Sunday evening’s race at Charlotte:

  • Top Ford Car: Austin Cindric +800
  • Top Toyota Car: Kyle Busch +210
  • Chase Elliott and Kyle Larson to both finish in the top three, +575
  • Kyle Busch and Kyle Larson to both finish in the top five, +240
  • Kyle Busch to be top Toyota and Austin Cindric to be top Ford, +2500
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Phill Bennetzen is a father, husband, and Catholic as well as a self-professed annoying fitness guy. Phill heads up NASCAR content at You can contact Phill by emailing [email protected].

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