NASCAR DFS Picks: Top Value Plays on DraftKings and FanDuel for the Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas (September 11)

The field is set for Sunday’s race at Kansas with Tyler Reddick and Joey Logano on the front row. Let’s delve into this week’s top Fantasy NASCAR DFS picks and value plays for DraftKings and FanDuel NASCAR DFS lineups for the Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway.

Finding an Anchor to Build Around

Tyler Reddick, 1st ($9,800 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel)

After posting the fastest short and long runs in practice, Reddick backed up those numbers and ran the fastest qualifying efforts in his first group and in the final group – even without the aid of the clouds. It goes without saying that Reddick has brought a rocket to Kansas and should see his opening +1200 odds jump to the top of the board once books like BetMGM refigure their numbers.

History-wise at Kansas, it hasn’t been fantastic for Reddick with just three lead lap finishes in his six Cup starts at this track. Those numbers include finishing 30th here in the Spring. However, Reddick did lead 24 laps before wrecking out early after making contact with the wall. At other immediate tracks this season like Las Vegas and Charlotte, Reddick finished seventh and six, respectively.

Besides having a fast car that looked absolutely glued to the outer groove, there is the track history angle of the pole sitter at Kansas. As previously addressed in this week’s Kansas Preview, during the generation six era of NASCAR, the polesitter has led the most or second-most laps in 14 of 19 races with an average of 83 laps led and 38 fastest laps per event with an average finish of sixth. Considering Reddick’s propensity to run the high line at Kansas, he could very well crush that fastest laps average and not even need to lead the most laps to be the race’s highest scoring driver on DraftKings.

Fantasy NASCAR DFS Value Picks: Hollywood Casino 400

Kyle Larson, 7th ($10,700 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

The decision point of this slate, especially for cash games, is whether to roster a secondary dominator or chase the myriad of high-priced place differential options like Kyle Busch (20), Chase Elliott (22), and Denny Hamlin (24). All of these drivers have race-winning potential, not to mention place differential upside that helps offset their high salaries. At a cheaper salary, Ryan Blaney (17) enters this discussion as well. However, his upside is that of a fifth-place finishing driver with less access to place differential.

Siding with any one of these four drivers as an accessory play to Tyler Reddick is a viable strategy for cash purposes. However, the upside selection is Kyle Larson who could leave with a second-straight Fall victory at Kansas. In both Kansas races last season, Larson led the field in laps led with 130 in the Fall and 132 in the Spring. Even in a down race in the spring with just 29 laps led and 19 fastest laps, Larson still managed to land on the optimal lineup with his second-place finish. Don’t forget, Larson was leading in the spring with nine laps remaining before getting passed by Kurt Busch.

If the foursome above do nothing but work their way into the top 10, they’re all peaking out around 60 DraftKings points. On the other hand, Larson has the ability to approach the 90+ range if he’s able to ascend to the lead as he’s done in the past three Kansas races.

Todd Gilliland, 32nd ($5,400 DraftKings, $3,500 FanDuel)

There’s nothing special to highlight about Gilliland this week. He just happens to be the best cheap option on both DraftKings and FanDuel this week when considering price, equipment and starting position. He has finished 25th or better in all three intermediate track races this season. Cole Custer got priced up, not out of cash consideration though, and Harrison Burton and Corey Lajoie got the luck of the draw with the clouds and posted qualifying efforts that put them in tournament territory only.

Thanks to the following drivers listed below, DFS players may find themselves not needing to punt the final position with Gilliland.  Although for those needing salary relief, Gilliland is a strong play.


Latest NASCAR DFS Content


Ricky Stenhouse Jr, 35th ($6,300 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)

During the first practice session, Stenhouse was running respectable times as the minutes wound down. However, as he drove into the corner, he cut his rear-right tire and scraped his rear quarter-panel against the wall. Instead of going to a backup car, or spending qualifying trying to smooth out the crumpled panel, the 47 team decided to qualify anyways. They were subsequently rewarded with the worst qualifying effort, no doubt thanks to his damaged car. With this lack of speed in mind, it only makes sense that Stenhouse will “go to the rear” as this team swaps out cars or fixes the damage from practice.

For the season, Stenhouse was good at intermediate tracks with back-to-back top-10 finishes at Kansas and Charlotte. While a top 10 probably isn’t in Stenhouse’s range of outcomes this weekend, a finish in the 20th through 15th range is. That would place him firmly in cash and tournament consideration at these price points on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Aric Almirola, 36th ($6,500 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel)

After running horribly in practice, Almirola and the 10 team decided to forego qualifying to diagnose whether they have an engine or ECU issue. In post-qualifying remarks, Almirola stated that with him being out of the playoffs, his team came into Kansas with an out-of-the-box setup, and it appears that approach may have cost them more time in the garage than anyone had bargained for. Regardless, Almirola is a lock in cash games with his place differential potential starting dead last as the team will make the necessary changes. With a clean race and cooperative engine, Almirola should finish around 20th which could easily push him into being optimal.

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Phill Bennetzen is the creator of the RaceSheets; all-inclusive stats and data NASCAR DFS spreadsheets for the Trucks, Xfinity, and Cup Series. Phill and the RaceSheets can be found at racesheetsdfs.substack.com

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