DraftKings NFL DFS Cheat Sheet: Best Week 1 MNF Picks From NFL DFS Contest Sims | Get 30% Off NFL Sims!

Football is back! Get 10% off any annual NFL or All-Access package with code BIRD or get 30% off any monthly NFL package with code FOOTBALL

The NFL season hits primetime with Vikings-Bears on Monday Night Football. To get you set, we’ve built the ultimate DraftKings NFL DFS cheat sheet. Backed by Stokastic’s elite NFL DFS projections, ownership data and advanced Sims, we’ve simulated thousands of outcomes to bring you the sharpest NFL DFS Picks for Week 1.

Get your first month of NFL DFS Sims and projections for 30% off!

Sign up for any NFL monthly package with promo code FOOTBALL and you’ll be able to use industry-leading Sims, projections and ownership for the first slates of the NFL season.

Hurry — deal ends Monday, Sept. 8!

DraftKings NFL picks accurate as of publish time. We’ll update our picks as the week progresses, but for real-time insights, make sure to check out Stokastic’s Showdown NFL DFS projections.

DraftKings NFL DFS Picks: Week 1 Monday Night Football Cheat Sheet

TierCaptainUtility
SuperstarJustin Jefferson
$16,200; 27.23

HighCaleb Williams
$13,800; 27.92
J.J. McCarthy

$13,500; 26.22
D.J. Moore
$14,400; 21.83

D’Andre Swift

$8,800; 13.32
Rome Odunze
$8,000; 11.77
MediumT.J. Hockenson
Aaron Jones Sr.

$7,400; 13.52
LowBears DST
$3,400; 6.70
Kyle Monangai
$2,800; 5.30
These DraftKings NFL picks are selected based on exposures in top-300 lineups according to simulated ROI.

If you’re crushing it in DFS, why not let the experts at Tails guide you in sports betting? Get sharp, FREE expert picks from industry pros, or take it further with Tails packages for premium insights and in-depth analysis to maximize your profits.

NFL DFS Tools and Data for 2025

NFL Single-Lineup Simulator

Perfect for hand-builders and single-entry players. Build your lineup and test it against the field with the same algorithms behind our full Sims. Instantly see if it’s +EV or bleeding value, along with cash rates, top-10% odds, and win probabilities.

Looking for NBA best bets? Look no further - we've got a couple of +EV bets that are backed by NBA DFS Projections and Portfolio EV.

NFL Data + Projections

Trusted by DFS pros with millions in winnings, Stokastic’s projections are the industry benchmark. Continuously updated fantasy and ownership data keep you one step ahead every slate.

NFL Contest Generator

In seconds, create a lineup pool that mirrors real ownership. Compare projected vs. actual ownership, then fine-tune exposures with Boost Ownership to maximize leverage.

NFL Pre-Contest Simulator

Run thousands of simulations before lock to stress-test lineups. Spot ROI, finish probabilities, and identify the most profitable builds before you ever enter a contest.

NFL Post-Contest Simulator

True long-term success comes from analysis. Review simulated ROI, ownership trends, and projection accuracy to see what worked—and sharpen your edge for the next slate.

Author
Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics

Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.