DraftKings NFL DFS Cheat Sheet: Best Week 1 TNF Picks From NFL DFS Contest Sims | Get TNF and FNF Sims for Just $1!

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We’ve made it to Week 1, and Thursday Night Football delivers a heavyweight matchup: Cowboys-Eagles. To help you crush your DraftKings NFL DFS lineups, we’ve run the numbers using Stokastic’s NFL DFS projections, ownership data and advanced NFL Sims. After analyzing thousands of scenarios, we’ve compiled the top plays for your Week 1 TNF DFS cheat sheet.

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Data accurate as of publish time. We will update picks as the week goes on, but if you want real-time data, check out Stokastic’s Showdown NFL DFS projections.

DraftKings NFL DFS Picks: Week 1 Thursday Night Football Cheat Sheet

TierCPTNFLEX
SuperstarSaquon Barkley
$16,800; 31.68
Jalen Hurts
$16,500; 31.54
HighA.J. Brown
$14,100; 24.43
Dak Prescott
$13,500; 25.40
George Pickens
$8,000; 12.80
MediumJake Ferguson
$5,200; 9.90
Javonte Williams

$5,400; 9.94
Dallas Goedert
$6,400; 10.74
LowJake Elliott
$4,400; 8.73
Eagles DST
$4,600; 8.10
These DraftKings NFL picks are selected based on exposures in top-300 lineups according to simulated ROI.

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NFL DFS Tools and Data for 2025

NFL Single-Lineup Simulator

Hand-building your lineups? This tool is built for you. The Single-Lineup Simulator lets you craft your entry and then test it against the field using the same algorithms powering our full NFL DFS Sims. Instantly see if your lineup is +EV or if you’re leaving money behind. Beyond ROI checks, you’ll get win probabilities, top-10% odds, and cash-rate insights — everything you need to sharpen your single-entry strategy.

Looking for NBA best bets? Look no further - we've got a couple of +EV bets that are backed by NBA DFS Projections and Portfolio EV.

NFL Data + Projections

Accuracy wins. Stokastic’s DFS and ownership projections, created by players with millions in DFS earnings, are the most trusted in the industry. These projections give you the edge to outsmart the field slate after slate.

NFL Contest Generator

With just a few clicks, build a lineup pool that mirrors projected ownership for your slate. Compare projected vs. actual ownership, then fine-tune exposures with the Boost Ownership feature to lock in your edge.

NFL Pre-Contest Simulator

Run your lineups through thousands of simulated contests to uncover projected ROI and finishing probabilities before lock. It’s a fast, data-driven way to spot the highest-ROI builds.

NFL Post-Contest Simulator

Winning long-term means learning from every slate. The Post-Contest Simulator goes beyond final results, giving you simulated ROI breakdowns, ownership comparisons, and strategy analysis. Identify which approaches paid off and refine for the next slate.

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Author
Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

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