FanDuel NFL DFS Cheat Sheet: Best Week 1 TNF Picks From NFL DFS Contest Sims | NFL Showdown Sims are $1!

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The NFL season kicks off with a bang as the Cowboys and Eagles square off on Thursday Night Football. And we’ve got everything you need to supercharge your FanDuel NFL DFS picks. Powered by Stokastic’s industry-leading NFL DFS projections, ownership data and advanced Sims, we’ve simulated thousands of scenarios to deliver the ultimate Week 1 TNF DFS cheat sheet.

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FanDuel NFL picks accurate as of publish time. We’ll update our picks as the week progresses, but for real-time insights, make sure to check out Stokastic’s Showdown NFL DFS projections.

FanDuel NFL DFS Picks: Week 1 Thursday Night Football Cheat Sheet

TierMVPAnyFLEX
SuperstarJalen Hurts
$18,300; 31.04
Dak Prescott

$16,200; 25.17
Saquon Barkley
$21,600; 27.47
A.J. Brown
$11,200; 13.06
HighGeorge Pickens
$12,600; 16.16
MediumDallas Goedert
$7,400; 8.71
Javonte Williams

$6,600; 8.46
Brandon Aubrey
$6,200; 7.11
LowJake Ferguson
$5,000; 7.85
Jake Elliott

$5,800; 8.73
These FanDuel NFL picks are selected based on exposures in top-300 lineups according to simulated ROI.

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NFL DFS Tools and Data for 2025

NFL Single-Lineup Simulator

Perfect for hand-builders and single-entry players. Build your lineup manually, then test it against the field using the same advanced algorithms behind our full NFL DFS Sims. Instantly see whether you’ve built a +EV lineup — or if you’re leaving money on the table. You’ll also get insights into your chances of cashing, finishing in the top 10%, or taking down a contest.

Looking for NBA best bets? Look no further - we've got a couple of +EV bets that are backed by NBA DFS Projections and Portfolio EV.

NFL Data + Projections

Trusted by pros with millions in DFS winnings, Stokastic’s projections are unmatched for accuracy. With constantly updated DFS and ownership projections, you’ll have the sharpest tools in the industry to outsmart the competition.

NFL Contest Generator

Build a custom pool of lineups that mirrors projected ownership across the slate. Compare projected vs. actual ownership, then use the Boost Ownership feature to fine-tune exposures for any player.

NFL Pre-Contest Simulator

Before lock, simulate contests with your lineups to see projected ROI and finishing probabilities. Thousands of simulations give you a clear picture of where your edges lie — in minutes.

NFL Post-Contest Simulator

Winning long-term means learning from every slate. Go beyond box scores with detailed simulated ROI feedback. Review ownership, compare projections, and uncover which strategies were truly profitable. For a deep dive, check out Steve Buzzard’s full tutorial on mastering the Post-Contest Simulator.

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Author
Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

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