MLB DFS Picks, Spotlight Pitchers & Top Stacks: Superlative Stacking Scenarios! (Aug. 13)

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Wednesday brings split-slate action with the largest contests locking at 6:35 p.m. ET on FanDuel and 7:05 p.m. ET on DraftKings and Yahoo. Our MLB DFS picks today are packed with value if you’re using the right tools. Stokastic’s MLB DFS Sims optimizer and MLB DFS projections spotlight the top stacks, elite pitchers, and high-upside plays that have the strongest ROI.

MLB DFS Optimizer Picks Today: Spotlight Pitchers & Stacks


MLB DFS Optimizer Picks Today: Spotlight Pitchers

Main Slate Primary Pitching Target: RHP Hunter Brown (HOU vs. BOS)

Astros vs. Red Sox – 3.6 implied runs
First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
$10,000 at DraftKings
$10,300
at FanDuel
$46 at Yahoo

The Stokastic MLB DFS Top Pitchers tool has RHP Hunter Brown with the best median fantasy point projection against a highly variant Boston offense. The Red Sox plated at least eight runners in five of their last 13 games, but also three or fewer runs in a trio of tilts.

Brown has slipped out of contention for the American League Cy Young Award, though he is still most definitely a frontline starter and borderline ace. The 26-year-old is posting career numbers across the board, and going against an inconsistent lineup on the young side plays in his favor.

FanDuel is including the games in the 6 o’clock hour, which adds three more viable options into the mix with RHP Logan Gilbert in Baltimore and RHPs Eury Perez and Gavin Williams squaring off in Cleveland as the Guardians host the Miami Marlins.

The next two pitchers in the DraftKings projections are RHP Kevin Gausman in a tough matchup against the visiting Chicago Cubs and RHP Joe Ryan with the unenviable task of taking on the Yankees in New York.

Early Slate Primary Pitching Target: RHP Brandon Woodruff (MIL vs. PIT)

Brewers vs. Pirates – 3.1 implied runs
First Pitch: 2:10 p.m. ET
$10,500 at DraftKings
$10,900
at FanDuel
$54 at Yahoo

Yesterday it was RHP Freddy Peralta holding Pittsburgh scoreless for six innings, with three relievers each adding their own scoreless frame. Oneil Cruz left Tuesday’s game in the sixth inning after having collided with Jack Suwinski in the fourth inning on a defensive play. There is a good chance he will be out today as a minimum precaution.

In the absence of Cruz, the projected lineup for the Pirates has a sub-.100 ISO and a 21.1% strikeout rate. In 2023, RHP Brandon Woodruff made two starts for Milwaukee before landing on the injured list with a shoulder issue. This turned into quite the injury saga, as the subsequent surgery and rehabilitation, plus a few setbacks, cost the now 32-year-old over two seasons of opportunities.

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Since returning to action in early July, Woodruff has made six starts, and while he has been effective, it is important to note that he also has been incredibly efficient, with the team happy to keep in the 80- to 85-pitch count range.

In this stretch, he closed out the sixth inning in five games while racking up an impressive 45 strikeouts in 35.1 innings. Luck has been on his side with a .143 batting average on balls in play, and nearly every runner that got on base was stranded there. He allowed seven home runs and nine earned runs in total, which is going to regress at some point, though that doesn’t have to be this afternoon.

It is going to be a tough needle to thread for Woodruff to return much of a profit given his lofty salary and safe workload, especially with Milwaukee not needing to push him, as the Brewers are on their third 11-game winning streak of the season — something that has been done only two other times in the last 90 years. The team is looking to make a deep postseason run, and it is going to need a healthy Woodruff to enhance its chances of grabbing the brass ring.

Other options include RHP Merrill Kelly in a “Remember Me?!” game against his former Arizona teammates as the Rangers host the Diamondbacks. In St. Louis, rookie RHP Michael McGreevy gets to face the hopeless Colorado offense, though the 25-year-old has not exhibited a lot of strikeout upside, so this is a matchup- and salary-based recommendation.

MLB DFS Optimizer Picks Today: Top Stacks

Main Slate Primary Target: Tampa Bay Rays

Rays at Athletics – 5.3 implied runs
First Pitch: 10:05 p.m. ET
Opposing Starter: RHP J.T. Ginn
DK Top Stack %: 7.8%
FD Top Stack %: 9.2%

The Stokastic MLB DFS Top Stacks Tool sees a target-rich environment tonight with the Los Angeles Dodgers in Anaheim against RHP Kyle Hendricks, the Mets in New York against RHP Carlos Carrasco and the Houston Astros hosting RHP Walker Buehler.

That still leaves the Tampa Bay Rays and the Athletics in West Sacramento. It is going to be a little cooler than what we have seen for the last two months, with game-time temperatures in the mid-70s, but given RHP J.T. Ginn is on the mound, it is hard not to love the Tampa power bats. Ginn is coming off a career-high nine strikeouts, mowing down the Orioles in Baltimore and easily besting his prior high of seven strikeouts. That is the lone highlight for the 26-year-old this season, other than rejoining the rotation after the All-Star Break.

Brandon Lowe and Junior Caminero are the priority plays, with on-base maven Yandy Diaz and pesky Josh Lowe comprising the second tier. Ha-Seong Kim has been effective against fellow righties this season, though he may slide down the lineup card. Speedster Chandler Simpson has 33 steals, which is only two shy of the league lead held by former teammate Jose Caballero, who is now with the Yankees. This is an impressive feat, considering Simpson spent nearly a month in the minors at the start of the season, also getting a three-week follow-up in June, to work on his offense.

The A’s are also in play against RHP Drew Rasmussen, focusing on the core four of rookie Nick Kurtz, catcher Shea Langeliers, and the lefty-righty combo of Tyler Soderstrom and Brent Rooker. On the late slate, differentiation can be found with JJ Bleday and a slumping Lawrence Butler, who will likely be in the bottom third of the order.


Stokastic’s MLB DFS Single Lineup Simulator is a game-changing tool that transforms lineup construction through powerful, data-driven simulations — essential for serious DFS players. See how the Simulator analyzes this single lineup for this sample MLB DFS slate:


Early Slate Primary Target: St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals vs. Rockies – 5.2 implied runs
First Pitch: 2:15 p.m. ET
Opposing Starter: LHP Austin Gomber
DK Top Stack %: 14.8%
FD Top Stack %: 13.9%

This afternoon there are plenty of options. In Chicago, the Detroit Tigers will be taking on RHP Shane Smith, who was the White Sox representative to the All-Star Game. He is coming off the injured reserve after spraining his ankle, though this also appeared to be a bit of a bid to help limit his innings.

In Kansas City, RHP Jake Irvin will be toeing the rubber for the Nationals against an improved Royals squad. Adding Mike Yastrzemski and Randal Grichuk at the trade deadline helped to lengthen the lineup, and it is expected that Yastrzemski will be leading off against right-handed hurlers. Add in superstar Bobby Witt Jr., slugger Vinnie Pasquantino, veteran Salvador Perez and a vastly improved Maikel Garcia, and the Nationals could be in trouble.

In St. Louis, LHP Austin Gomber will be going against his former team, and the southpaw has been pitching like he is at Coors Field, even when he is on the road. In his last four appearances outside of Denver, he allowed 16 runs, nine walks and five longballs while striking out only 13 across 19.1 innings.

The Cardinals have not exactly been performing up to franchise standards for the last couple of campaigns, though the team will be able run out a mostly right-handed lineup against Gomber, should that be what they choose. Let salary, positional constraints and personal preference be your guide, with Ivan Herrera as the lone “must play” for the Redbirds.

Today’s Top Sports Betting Picks

If you’re serious about making sharp MLB DFS picks, you already know that long-term success starts with using the right information. The same approach applies to sports betting — and that’s where Tails By OddsShopper shines.

Take a bet like Hunter Feduccia to record more than 1.5 total bases tonight. On the surface, it’s a simple play. But behind the scenes, it’s a +EV bet, meaning it’s mathematically profitable based on the best odds available. With Tails, you can follow experts who provide tons of other +EV bets just like this. Upgrade to full Tails packages to join expert Discords, or check out the Free Picks page for daily updates.

The Rays acquired Feduccia from the Dodgers at the trade deadline, sending RHP Zack Littell to the Cincinnati Reds and catcher Ben Rortvedt to Los Angeles. Opposing baserunners can take advantage of Feduccia, which kept him in the minors with veteran Will Smith and fellow prospect Dalton Rushing making Feduccia expendable. In June, Feduccia celebrated his 28th trip around the sun, so now is the time for him to make some noise in The Show; otherwise he is going to be a luxury backup for the rest of his time in the league. In 258 lefty-righty matchups at Triple-A this season, Feduccia posted a .308/.426/.514 triple-slash line, and Ginn is not much better than a Triple-A hurler.


How to get the most out of your MLB DFS picks with Stokastic Sims — it’s more than just an MLB DFS optimizer!

Eric "EMac" MacPherson won the 2007 Fantasy Baseball grand prize (trip for two to the MLB All-Star game) in the Roto format on ESPN. He won again in 2008, this time in the H2H format. As one of the early adopters of daily fantasy sports, EMac has been providing content for baseball and basketball as well as both professional and college football since 2012 for a variety of websites including DraftKings Playbook, FanVice, RotoWorld, Daily Fantasy Bootcamp, and RotoGrinders. He is well into his third decade of fantasy sports and has a wealth of knowledge and experience. Follow him on Twitter @EMacDFS or contact EMac by emailing [email protected].

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