NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Timberwolves-Bulls Filled with Value Plays (February 6)

We’re back to the madness on Tuesday, with another six-game NBA slate tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on DraftKings. Using Stokastic’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust tool, let’s dive into the player pool to discuss the best NBA DFS contrarian picks for today’s action, including Anthony Edwards and Ayo Dosunmu . One of the keys to a winning NBA DFS lineup is differentiation, so without contrarian picks like the ones below, you’ll struggle to separate from the pack in tournaments.

NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Tuesday, February 6

NBA DFS High-Priced Contrarian Pick

Anthony Edwards: Timberwolves-Bulls

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 17.70%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $8,400

Anthony Edwards is the highest-graded leverage play in Stokastic’s tools and he’s the obvious top contrarian stud on DraftKings at $8,500. Edwards comes into tonight averaging 25.6 points, 5.1 rebounds, 5.1 assists and 1.7 stocks per game, as he has continued his ascent into becoming one of the 10 best players in the entire league. Despite his nightly production and fair price point, the field is finding it difficult to prioritize Edwards, and he stands out as arguably the top differentiator on the slate.

Edwards is projected to be in just 10.10% of lineups on DraftKings but has a 17.70% optimal percentage. Averaging 42.7 DraftKings points per game, Edwards is appropriately priced for his median outcome but too cheap for his ceiling. Edwards has slate-breaking upside every time he steps on the floor, and it’s clearly worth getting over the field on him in tournaments.

NBA DFS Mid-Priced Contrarian Pick

Ayo Dosunmu: Timberwolves-Bulls

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 13.70%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $5,600

Going to the other side of the Timberwolves-Bulls game, Chicago guard Ayo Dosunmu is the top mid-tier contrarian play on DraftKings at $5,600. Since Zach LaVine got injured on Jan. 18, Dosunmu has become a staple in the Bulls rotation, and he’s playing the best basketball of his career.

After being a fringe rotation piece for much of the early portion of the season, Dosunmu has logged 39 minutes exactly in three straight games. His production has risen as well, as Dosunmu is putting up 34.03 DraftKings points over those three contests after averaging 18.7 fantasy points per game on the season. Despite the obvious buying signs, the field isn’t getting to Dosunmu at nearly the rate they should be. Dosunmu is currently projected to be optimal 13.70% of the time this slate plays out on DraftKings. With only 6.60% of lineups expected to roster him, it’s easy to see why Dosunmu sits behind only Edwards as the second-highest-graded leverage play on the board.

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NBA DFS Low-Priced Contrarian Pick

Cam Whitmore: Rockets-Pacers

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 16.90%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $4,600

Cam Whitmore is the third-highest-graded play in Stokastic’s tools, and he’s DraftKings’ top contrarian value play at $4,600. Whitmore was one of the most tantalizing players in college basketball last season, and his upside has never been in question. And despite playing limited minutes, that upside has been on full display recently, and the field isn’t getting to him at nearly the rate they should be.

Although his minutes come with a decent amount of uncertainty, Whitmore should presumably play more tonight with Fred VanVleet out due to an adductor strain. Matched up with the defenseless Pacers, it’s surprising the field isn’t targeting him more. While these numbers tend to change as more news comes in closer to lock, Whitmore is currently projected to be only 10.30% owned on DraftKings. With an optimal percentage of 16.90%, the masses are missing the boat on Whitmore.

Final Thoughts on NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today

Check out the Stokastic NBA Process Show with Josh Engleman on YouTube, breaking down all of the key elements for today’s slate. Brought to you by BetMGM – new users, use this link to receive $158 in Bonus Bets when you bet $5 ahead of Super Bowl 58! Full details here.

Matt Belman graduated from Tulane University with a degree in Consumer Behavior. He has been playing and analyzing DFS full time since 2018. He has qualified for the 2023 DraftKings NBA World Championship (5x), the 2023 DraftKings MLB World Championship (2x), the 2023 FanDuel MLB World Championship (2x) and the 2023 DraftKings NFL World Championship. You can find him on X at @fantasytipsmatt.

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