NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Magic-Raptors Filled With Value (March 15)

We’re back with yet another six-game NBA slate on Friday that tips off at 7 p.m. EST on DraftKings. Remember that there is no late swap tonight on DraftKings, so build lineups accordingly. Using Stokastic’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust tool, let’s dive into the player pool to discuss the best NBA DFS contrarian picks for today’s action, which include Immanuel Quickley and Cole Anthony. One of the keys to a winning NBA DFS lineup is differentiation, so without contrarian picks like the ones below, you’ll struggle to separate from the pack in tournaments. Subscribe today for access to our industry-leading resources, including our lineup generator (available for NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA), our DFS simulation tools (available for NFL, NBA, MLB, PGA and MMA) and our industry-leading projections for every sport.

NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Friday, March 15

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NBA DFS High-Priced Contrarian Pick

Magic-Raptors: Immanuel Quickley

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 11.90%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $8,600

Since being traded from New York, Immanuel Quickley has ascended into a top tier fantasy point guard, and there’s a lot to like about him tonight despite a tough matchup against the Magic. Quickley comes into this evening’s action in great form, averaging 51.8 DraftKings points over the past three games, and with both Scottie Barnes and R.J. Barrett out, Quickley will again be the engine that drives the Raptors offense. Despite his consistent nightly production, Quickley is falling through the cracks in a big way on DraftKings.

Quickley is projected to be in just 8.00% of lineups on DraftKings. With an optimal percentage of 11.90%, Quickley stands out as one of the best plays on the slate from a leverage perspective. He is undoubtedly an elite tournament piece at $8,600.


NBA DFS Mid-Priced Contrarian Pick

Magic-Raptors: Bruce Brown

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 12.50%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $5,900

Bruce Brown’s production has been up and down since arriving in Toronto at the trade deadline, but with both Barnes and Barrett out, he’s playing his best basketball of the season.

Brown averages 23.0 fantasy points per game on the season, but he’s been much more of a boom/bust GPP player than he ever has been in years past. Embracing that volatility is key in GPPs, and Brown has emerged as one of the best tournament plays on the slate. Like Quickley, Brown also is playing well right now, totaling 66.5 DraftKings points over the past two games.

Brown is projected to be in just 5.40% of lineups but has a 12.50% optimal percentage. Currently projecting as the second-highest-graded leverage play on the slate, Brown is clearly someone to target in GPPs. While his floor might be lower than other players in his price range due to a tough matchup against the Magic, Brown has massive upside at $5,900.


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NBA DFS Low-Priced Contrarian Pick

Magic-Raptors: Cole Anthony

Stokastic’s Optimality Projection
DraftKings: 17.20%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $4,600

Going to the other side of the Magic-Raptors game, Cole Anthony is currently the highest-graded leverage play in Stokastic’s tools. Anthony finds himself in a great spot against the depleted Raptors, and he’s one of the top tournament plays on the board. Although he’s stuck in a deep guard rotation with Jalen Suggs, Markelle Fultz and Gary Harris, Anthony has real upside at $4,600, and the field is sleeping on him on DraftKings.

Stokastic’s tools currently have Anthony optimal 17.20% of the time this slate plays out on DraftKings. While he’s not getting completely forgotten about, Anthony is projected to be in only 9.10% of lineups.


Final Thoughts on NBA DFS Contrarian Picks Today

Check out the Stokastic NBA DFS Strategy Show, where we break down all of the key elements for today’s slate. Brought to you by BetMGM – new users, use this link to receive $150 in Bonus Bets when you bet $5! Full details here.

Matt Belman graduated from Tulane University with a degree in Consumer Behavior. He has been playing and analyzing DFS full time since 2018. He has qualified for the 2023 DraftKings NBA World Championship (5x), the 2023 DraftKings MLB World Championship (2x), the 2023 FanDuel MLB World Championship (2x) and the 2023 DraftKings NFL World Championship. You can find him on X at @fantasytipsmatt.

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