The NFL DFS Week 13 slate has taken shape, and the Stokastic Sims have once again made it clear where the sharp money is heading. After thousands of simulated DraftKings lineups, the top 150 lineups (each with at least three unique players) show a slate defined by concentrated value at running back, balanced wide receiver exposure and one of the most efficient tight end pools of the season. This week’s NFL DFS picks are about structure, correlation and salary efficiency. Let’s break down what’s driving the top NFL DFS stacks and value plays heading into Week 13.
NFL DFS Week 13 Picks: Best Stacks and Leverage Plays from Sims
Check out our breakdown of our NFL subscriptions for pricing and a detailed overview of the tools and data available at each.
Quarterbacks: Mahomes Leads, Brissett Returns
- Sam Darnold (35 lineups): The surprise QB1 in Sims exposure. His affordability and pairing with Jaxon Smith-Njigba make him an ideal fit in balanced builds.
- Tyrod Taylor (24): Dual-threat value play who’s appearing in stacks with cheaper WRs and TEs, enabling more premium RB builds.
- C.J. Stroud (19): Consistent projection and stackability with both Nico Collins keep him relevant in tournaments.
- Josh Allen (14) and Justin Herbert (14): Elite ceiling QBs but lower exposure due to price and ownership leverage.
Running Backs: Vidal, Achane & Hall Control the Slate
The Sims show massive concentration at RB this week:
- Kimani Vidal (126 lineups): The slate’s most dominant value. Volume, efficiency and price alignment make him unavoidable in both cash and GPP lineups.
- De’Von Achane (99): Explosive upside is unmatched; his ceiling outcome can break any slate.
- Breece Hall (70): Projects as a high-usage back and correlates well with Jets stacks.
- Bijan Robinson (42): Clear RB4 with upside leverage against heavy Vidal ownership.
- Kenneth Walker III (14): GPP flier showing up in correlated game stacks.
Wide Receivers: Waddle and Olave Lead Balanced Builds
The Sims highlight a deep, efficient WR pool anchored by mid-tier performers:
- Jaylen Waddle (54 lineups): The top overall WR exposure, thriving in both Tua Tagovailoa and one-off builds.
- Chris Olave (48): Consistent target share keeps him locked into mid-range stacks with Tyler Shough.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (46): Core WR play, especially in salary-friendly Seahawks stacks.
- Puka Nacua (40): A steady producer across balanced lineups.
- Keon Coleman (34) and Khalil Shakir (29): Emerging value plays to open cap space for elite RBs.
Other notable appearances: John Metchie III (25), Nico Collins (24) in Stroud builds, and Adonai Mitchell (24) as a sneaky GPP flier.
Want a quick look at how the Week 13 Sims are shaking out? This DraftKings NFL DFS cheat sheet gives you a snapshot of the top stacks, values and leverage plays from the latest Stokastic NFL DFS Sims run.
For more Sims data and projections, sign up for a Stokastic NFL package!
Tight Ends: Oronde Gadsden II Headlines a Tight Pool
Tight end exposure was narrowly distributed across high-usage options:
- Oronde Gadsden II (40 lineups): The TE1 by exposure, showing up in both balanced and Herbert-led builds.
- Kyle Pitts (33): The top leverage play against Gadsden chalk, offering explosive upside at lower ownership.
- Brock Bowers (26): Ceiling TE option with steady target share in contrarian builds.
- AJ Barner (21) and Dalton Schultz (20): Salary-saving pivots with touchdown equity.
Top NFL DFS Week 13 Stacks
Based on exposure frequency, these NFL DFS stacks stood out:
1️⃣ Sam Darnold + Jaxon Smith-Njigba + A.J. Barner: The slate’s most popular mid-tier stack with elite efficiency.
2️⃣ Tyrod Taylor + Adonai Mitchell + John Metchie III: Value stack offering salary flexibility and leverage.
3️⃣ C.J. Stroud + Nico Collins + Dalton Schultz: The classic Texans pairing is strong in projection.
4️⃣ Tyler Shough + Chris Olave: Contrarian mid-tier stack with some upside.
One-Offs and Leverage NFL DFS Picks for Week 13
- Kimani Vidal: Top play by exposure; massive volume at discount pricing.
- De’Von Achane: Perfect tournament RB with slate-breaking upside.
- Jaylen Waddle: WR1 exposure; correlates across multiple QB builds.
- Oronde Gadsden II: Core TE play with steady usage.
- Kyle Pitts: Leverage option in non-Gadsden lineups.
