NFL DFS Week 3 is here, and DraftKings has already adjusted salaries after two full weeks of action. That means it’s time to dig into the biggest takeaways from DFS DraftKings pricing: Who’s undervalued, who’s fairly priced and who looks like a risky overpay. Here’s your NFL DFS First Look with players to keep on your radar across all formats.
NFL DFS Week 3 Picks and DraftKings Strategy Guide
Underpriced Smash Plays
Daniel Jones – QB, Colts ($5,400)
Through two weeks, Jones has been one of the league’s most efficient passers, throwing for 588 yards at a 71% completion rate. He shredded Denver for 316 yards in Week 2 and also added rushing production in Week 1. At only $5,400 on DraftKings, Jones gives you 25-point upside at a mid-range salary. He’s viable in cash but truly pops as a tournament play in NFL DFS Week 3.
Javonte Williams – RB, Cowboys ($6,100)
Williams looks completely healthy and is finally commanding bell cow touches again. He logged 24 touches for 130 yards and a touchdown in Week 2, averaging over 20 DraftKings points through 2 games. Against a Bears defense that just got torched, Williams is severely underpriced.
Rome Odunze – WR, Bears ($5,300)
Caleb Williams’ favorite target has emerged. Odunze has 20 targets through two weeks, including a 31.8-point breakout in Week 2. With Dallas suffering some injuries, Odunze should continue seeing WR1 usage at a WR3 salary. In DFS DraftKings contests, he’s a must-consider value play who offers tournament-winning upside.
Fairly Priced Options
Justin Herbert – QB, Chargers ($6,200)
Herbert already posted a 300-yard, three-touchdown outing in Week 1, so DraftKings pricing put him in the low-$6,000 range, which is fair relative to his ceiling. He’s a safe floor play for cash lineups and can be paired with Chargers stacks in GPPs for NFL DFS Week 3.
Bijan Robinson – RB, Falcons ($7,900)
Robinson has looked every bit the superstar, tallying 168 scrimmage yards in Week 2. His role as both a runner and receiver gives him consistent high usage, and the $7,900 salary reflects that. He’s not underpriced, but he’s appropriately valued as one of the safest running backs to anchor DraftKings NFL DFS lineups this week.
Puka Nacua – WR, Rams ($7,700)
Nacua continues to rack up targets despite the arrival of Davante Adams in Los Angeles. He posted 23.1 and 27.6 DraftKings points in the first two weeks, making him one of the steadiest receivers in DFS. His price sits right in line with that production. He’s not a discount, but as a reliable 20-point scorer, he’s a fair piece in both cash and GPP builds.
Overpriced or Risky DFS Picks
Ja’Marr Chase – WR, Bengals ($8,100)
Chase erupted for 36.5 DraftKings points in Week 2, but with Joe Burrow out after toe surgery, he’s now tied to backup quarterback Jake Browning. Chase will still command heavy targets, but efficiency is a major concern. At $8,100, he carries more risk than reward in cash. For NFL DFS Week 3 GPPs, he’s purely a ceiling swing.
Final Thoughts on NFL DFS Week 3
For DFS DraftKings tournaments, target underpriced smash plays with ceiling outcomes, mix in fairly priced anchors, and stay away from traps that don’t align with recent production. Staying ahead of the pricing curve is the edge that separates profitable NFL DFS Week 3 lineups from the rest.
