Perfect DraftKings MLB DFS Lineup: Sneaky Cardinals Stack & Other Optimal Lineup Strategy | July 8

When building the perfect DraftKings MLB DFS lineup, every decision counts — especially on a massive 13-game Tuesday slate. Today’s breakdown uses Stokastic’s MLB DFS Sims and Top Stacks to highlight two standout pitchers, a high-upside stack and the sneaky value plays that can make your MLB DFS lineup stand out.

Perfect DraftKings MLB DFS Lineup: Optimal Strategy

Top Pitchers for Your DraftKings MLB DFS Lineup

Top Pitcher: Hunter Brown ($11,000)

If you’re paying up, pay up for dominance. Brown has been one of the most reliable DFS pitchers in baseball this season. He allowed two or fewer runs in 14 of 16 starts, including one or none in 11 of those. Add in a 32% strikeout rate and a 50% ground ball rate, and you’re looking at an ideal anchor for your DraftKings MLB DFS build.

Consider this:

  • 35% strikeout rate against lefties (higher than against righties)
  • 6% barrel rate
  • Cleveland is a below-average offense (only five more runs scored than the Rockies)

Brown is matchup-proof right now and has the second-best AL Cy Young odds behind only Tarik Skubal.

SP2: Brayan Bello ($6,600)

Need salary relief? Bello offers elite value. Facing a weak Rockies lineup with one of the slate’s lowest implied totals, Bello is underpriced and in excellent form. He’s gone six-plus innings in five of his last six outings and is showing signs of being stretched out for consistent volume.

With a 5.5-strikeout prop and juice on the outs prop (17.5 outs), he’s projecting as a must-have SP2 in optimal builds.

This Stokastic user took home $100K with Stokastic’s MLB DFS Tools! Sign up for Stokastic+ MLB to join them.

Top DraftKings MLB DFS Stack: Cardinals

Lefties have crushed Jake Irvin this season (280 xISO), and the Cardinals have the bats to take advantage. While the ballpark isn’t ideal for power, St. Louis has affordable mid-tier hitters who are in excellent spots.

Target Bats:

  • Willson Contreras (1B) — Good pop in the middle of the order
  • Nolan Gorman (3B) — Big power at a thin position
  • Alec Burleson (OF) — Salary-saver with upside
  • Brendan Donovan (2B) — Positional flexibility and contact skills
  • Masyn Winn (SS) — Value at shortstop

This Cardinals stack brings positive leverage in tournaments: Top 5 in stack score with just mid-tier ownership.

Filling Out the Rest: Use Sims for the Optimal Finish

Using the Single Lineup Simulator the final optimized build plugged in:

The result is a perfect DraftKings lineup with 113% simulated ROI and a 0.4% chance to ship first — excellent for a large-field GPP.

Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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