We have a strong seven-game MLB DFS slate on tap tonight featuring the return of a top-end arm and a target-worthy stack against one of the league’s weakest pitchers. Whether you’re building for single-entry contests or large-field GPPs, this breakdown covers top pitching options, team stacks, and how to finish your lineup with +EV plays using the Stokastic Single Lineup Simulator. Let’s dive into today’s perfect MLB DFS lineup.
Perfect DraftKings MLB DFS Lineup: Optimal Strategy
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Top Pitcher: Logan Gilbert vs. Red Sox
Logan Gilbert returns to the mound for the first time since late April after a rehab stint that concluded with 72 pitches over five scoreless innings. There may be some pitch count concerns, but if he gets close to 90 pitches, he’s fully viable in DFS.
Here’s why:
- Boston’s offense just traded Rafael Devers and now ranks 28th in wRC+ against righties.
- Only Colorado strikes out more against righties.
- The Red Sox have a slate-low 3.4 run implied total.
- Gilbert ranks No. 1 in Top 2 Pitcher Probability in the Stokastic Top Pitchers Tool.
Despite this being his first start off the IL, he’s in a smash spot at home and offers massive upside.
Top Stack: Washington Nationals vs. Carson Palmquist
The top stack of the night comes from a somewhat unexpected place: The Washington Nationals. But this is all about the matchup and the metrics.
Washington is:
- No. 2 in both implied total and top stack probability.
- No. 2 in stack score yet just No. 5 in ownership.
- Carson Palmquist has a 6.16 FIP, 15% strikeout rate and 12% walk rate over 22 innings. He doesn’t have MLB-quality swing-and-miss stuff.
While the Nationals have been middle of the road against lefties, their stack value jumps in this context. DFS is about value and leverage, not team brand.
Bats to Target in the Stack:
- Alex Call (OF)
- Amed Rosario (3B)
- Andres Chaparro (1B)
- Keibert Ruiz (C)
- CJ Abrams (SS)
This stack is easy to build around and opens up elite filler options.
SP2: Clarke Schmidt vs. Angels
Schmidt pairs beautifully with Gilbert, especially in single-entry or smaller-field formats:
- Solid strikeout matchup against an Angels lineup with swing-and-miss risk.
- Yankees are heavy home favorites (win equity bump).
- Mild weather conditions at Yankee Stadium.
- Pops in both the Top Pitchers Tool and Sims for small-to-mid-sized contests.
If you’re playing large-field tournaments, consider mixing in other viable mid-range arms like:
- Ryan Pepiot (vs. BAL)
- Dylan Cease (at LAD)
- Jake Irvin (vs. COL)
- Lucas Giolito (at SEA)
Final Lineup & Simulation Results
Using the Stokastic Single Lineup Simulator, we ran a full lineup with:
- Pitchers: Logan Gilbert, Clarke Schmidt
- Stack: Nationals 5-man (Ruiz, Chaparro, Rosario, Abrams, Call)
- Fillers: Jose Altuve, Mauricio Dubon (Astros mini-stack), Shohei Ohtani
Simulation Results
These are outstanding numbers for a single-entry build. And with the lineup simulator, you can instantly swap players in and out to re-run projections based on your contest size or preference.
