Sleeper Fantasy NFL Picks & Predictions: Can’t-Miss Patrick Mahomes Discount (December 3)

Sunday Night Football is an interesting matchup of the up-and-down (but still competing for No. 1 in the AFC) Chiefs traveling to battle the reinvigorated Packers. And as seems the case every SNF slate, Sleeper is offering a sweet New Customer Special for exactly the guy you would expect: Patrick Mahomes higher/lower than 0.5 passing yards!

If you have only played Sleeper Fantasy’s season-long fantasy leagues, their pick’em contests are super simple to get into. All you have to do is predict whether a player will surpass or fall short of the statistical target set by Sleeper, and the more picks you guess correctly, the bigger the boost to your winnings! Having one of those picks be a sure thing like this Mahomes free square is the perfect kickstart for Sleeper entries.

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Sleeper Fantasy NFL Picks & Predictions | Week 13 SNF

Patrick Mahomes H/L 0.5 Passing Yards

We have been here plenty of time with Mahomes, as he is the new customer discount pretty much every time his Chiefs are playing a primetime game. And while the Chiefs have not been blowing fans minds with their explosive offense like in years past — and Mahomes nary a reliable wide receiver to speak of, save for maybe rookie Rashee Rice — 1 yard is 1 yard. All this will require is a dinky checkdown to Travis Kelce to hit the more on this play and get Sleeper entries going in the right direction. It’s that easy; Mahomes more than 0.5 passing yards at a 1.77x multiplier.

OK, it’s almost that easy. We do still need one more pick to create a submittable Sleeper entry, so let’s head to Stokastic Pick’em Pro to cap this one off. The highest-EV play from the Packers is Christian Watson less than 3.5 receptions. Now, this multiplier is not ideal at 1.62, but it does have a 57% win expectancy, so pairing it with the Mahomes free square is the best option for a two-pick Sleeper entry.

If you want to boost your payout potential even more, keep adding picks! You will get better acquainted with Sleeper’s payout structure and strategy for building +EV plays as you get more involved, and if you’re looking for more Sleeper promos, check out Stokastic’s breakdown of everything they offer here!

Sam Smith
Author
Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

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