Sleeper Fantasy NFL Picks & Predictions: No-Brainer Justin Herbert Special (November 26)

Sunday Night Football is a battle of the network stars, even if one of the teams is a cluster of mediocrity and confounding decisions — at the end of the day, it’s Lamar Jackson vs. Justin Herbert making this game a worthwhile watch. And one of those is getting Sleeper’s killer New Customer Special of higher/lower than 0.5 passing yards to finish off your Sunday Sleeper entries with a bang!

If you have only played Sleeper Fantasy’s season-long fantasy leagues, their pick’em contests are super simple to get into. All you have to do is predict whether a player will surpass or fall short of the statistical target set by Sleeper, and the more picks you guess correctly, the bigger the boost to your winnings! Having one of those picks be a sure thing like this Herbert free square is the perfect kickstart for Sleeper entries.

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Sleeper Fantasy NFL Picks & Predictions | Week 12 SNF

Justin Herbert H/L 0.5 Passing Yards

The one bright spot in a Chargers season filled with disappointment is Herbert maintaining his status as one of the game’s best young passers. The eye test proves that; it’s his middling pass catchers, a miserable Los Angeles defense and stupefying coaching that are dragging him down. Luckily, we don’t have to worry about Herbert’s teammates holding him back with this play, as he simply needs to throw for 1 yard. All it takes is one dump-off to Austin Ekeler or Keenan Allen — the two reliable playmakers on the team — to connect on this discount. What a relief it is to basically not have to depend on anyone other than Herbert.

Boom! One pick down. Now we just need one more to create a submittable Sleeper entry, so let’s hit up Stokastic Pick’em Pro to finish this thing out. The No. 1 +EV play for this game at the moment attacks the other quarterback, only we’re fading him by going Jackson lower than 1.5 passing touchdowns. Jackson projects for just 1.65 yards and has a 52% chance of falling shy of his target. That win rate is not ideal, but the 1.82x multiplier makes this a solid-EV play overall.

If you want to boost your payout potential even more, keep adding picks! You will get better acquainted with Sleeper’s payout structure and strategy for building +EV plays as you get more involved, and if you’re looking for more Sleeper promos, check out Stokastic’s breakdown of everything they offer here!

Sam Smith
Author
Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

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