Top NFL DFS Stacks for Week 11 on DraftKings & FanDuel

The Stokastic NFL DFS stacks tool can really come in handy when building daily fantasy football lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel. In this piece, we’ll look through Stokastic’s team stacks data to see which teams stand out above the rest in stackability for Week 11 NFL DFS.

NFL DFS Week 11 Team Stackability Ratings on DraftKings & FanDuel

See below for an overview of the top stacks tool and the various data points you will see referenced throughout the article.

Top Stack: The probability that the QB + receiver combo will be the highest scoring of the week (averaged the probabilities for top-scoring with one receiver and two receivers together).

QB Own: Ownership projection of the starting quarterback for the given team.

Avg Sal: Average salary of skill position players weighted for ownership projections.

Top Value: Top stack % points per dollar of salary spent.

Rush %: How often the team is expected to rush on any given play during the game. A lower Rush % means the quarterback will be throwing more often!

Overall Rating: Stokastic’s rating of the quality of the stack, taking into consideration key variables like top stack probability, top value probability, and ownership projections.

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Week 11 NFL DFS Top Team Stack: Miami Dolphins

It’s a rather wide-open week when looking at Stokastic’s top stacks tool, as there are a lot of different teams in the mix near the top. We’ve included the Dolphins somewhere in this preview basically every time they’ve been included on a main slate, and that’s not changing in Week 11 for a home date with the Raiders.

At time of writing, the Week 11 top team stacks tool has the Dolphins with the highest top stack probability on DraftKings at 13.4%. They aren’t rating out quite as highly on FanDuel where they’re showing as the top stack 6.8% of the time.

Tua Tagovailoa and company will be looking to bounce back after a disappointing 21-14 loss to the Chiefs in Frankfurt, and there’s a great chance they’ll be able to given their implied team total of 29 points. Looking at the boom/bust data for the week, it’s Tyreek Hill at the top with a 15.0% boom probability on DraftKings, followed by Jaylen Waddle (7.4%). Tagaovailoa has a boom probability of 2.7% on DraftKings, with Raheem Mostert at 1.0% and De’Von Achane at 0.5% as of now.

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 13.4%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 7.1%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 6.8%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 6.5%
Expected Rush Percentage: 41.3%

Week 11 NFL DFS Top Team Stack: Houston Texans

The Texans have been a revelation so far this season, thanks in large part to star rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. He’s putting together one of the best first seasons we’ve ever seen at the position, and for Week 11 he’ll lead out Houston as a four-point favorite against Arizona at home. The Texans are implied for 26 points in a game with a healthy total of 47.5 points.

We can filter Stokastic’s NFL DFS boom and bust probability tool to only show the Texans to get an easier view of who stands out most on an individual level. Devin Singletary has the highest boom probability for the team at 22.1%, with Dalton Schultz (18.4%), Tank Dell (16.1%), Stroud (6.4%) and Nico Collins (6.0%) next in line.

Houston will be down Noah Brown but gets Collins back, and we can’t forget about Robert Woods either. Per the team prop pages at OddsShopper, Stroud has a passing yards prop of 265.5 yards as he tries to keep the momentum going versus the Cardinals.

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 10.1%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 14.0%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 9.3%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 10.1%
Expected Rush Percentage: 44.6%

Other Week 11 NFL DFS Team Stacks to Consider

The top stack probabilities and overall ratings are great by themselves, but having additional data points in projected QB ownership, top value probabilities and expected rush percentages for every team all on one page is extremely handy when doing NFL DFS prep.

Using the top stacks tool as our guide, here are more team stacks to consider for your DraftKings and FanDuel Week 11 daily fantasy football lineups.

Detroit Lions

The Lions are right alongside the Dolphins with the highest implied team total of the week at 29 points and have the second-highest top stack probability on both DraftKings and FanDuel. They’re favored by 10 points at home against the Bears for Week 11.

Who should we be zeroing in on with our NFL DFS picks? The boom and bust data shows Amon-Ra St. Brown with the highest DraftKings boom probability at 11.6%, and he’s showing in 11.3% of optimal lineups based on our simulations. Sam LaPorta is at an 11.0% boom probability, while Jared Goff is at 5.5%. Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery are at 4.2% and 0.5% boom probabilities respectively this weekend.

We saw the Lions dominate via the ground last week, as both Gibbs and Montgomery tore through the Chargers defense, and it’ll be interesting to see what kind of offensive gameplan is cooked up for this one against Chicago.

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 10.2%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 13.6%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 8.0%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 9.6%
Expected Rush Percentage: 40.0%

Jacksonville Jaguars

Though multiple teams could have made it, our final inclusion in the top four is Jacksonville, listed with a 6.2% top stack probability and 7.9% top value probability on DraftKings and a 6.4% top stack probability and 8.8% top value probability on FanDuel.

It’s actually tight end Evan Engram who is popping the most for Jacksonville on an individual level, at least when looking at the boom and bust data. He’s $4,300 on DraftKings and has a sky-high boom probability of 21.1% on DraftKings. Calvin Ridley is at a 9.8% boom probability, while Travis Etienne Jr. is at 8.9%. Christian Kirk (7.7%) and Trevor Lawrence (5.2%) follow.

The Jaguars, implied for 23 points and favored by right around a touchdown, should be reasonably popular for NFL DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to check out our ownership projections for the entire player pool to get a better sense of who the field will be targeting the most.

Top Stack Probability on DraftKings: 6.2%
Top Stack Probability on FanDuel: 6.4%
Top Value Probability on DraftKings: 7.9%
Top Value Probability on FanDuel: 8.8%
Expected Rush Percentage: 42.9%

There are plenty of other team stacks we can add to the list of targets as we prep our teams for Week 11 NFL DFS.

The 49ers and Cardinals are also projecting well in terms of team stackability for NFL DFS, among others. We recommend you go through all of the data for the main slate to see what edges you can find.

Latest NFL DFS Content

These numbers could change as more news is released and we get closer to kickoff. Stokastic will be tracking all slate-relevant injury updates and will be tweaking NFL player projections all the way up until lock on DraftKings and FanDuel.

DFS players should be vigilant about watching for player news and updated player projections/data after initial lock, in case there are better values and stacks to late swap into before the afternoon games kick off.

We should also remember that accurate player projections are just one piece of the NFL DFS puzzle and that other factors like ownership projections, roster construction and game theory should be considered when building lineups.

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Author

Scott Krones

Scott is a writer and editor at Stokastic and OddsShopper with a passion for DFS and sports betting. His previous stops include Better Collective, RotoGrinders and RotoWire, and his favorite team is Liverpool.