UFC 317 DFS Picks: Topuria vs Oliveira

It’s time for one of the most anticipated cards of the year: UFC 317 in Las Vegas, headlined by Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira. There are plenty of exciting DFS contests to dive into, and with the help of our MMA Sims and Tools, we’re here to give you an edge with some of our top picks for UFC 317.


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UFC 317 DFS Picks: Topuria vs Oliveira

UFC 317 DFS Picks – Alexandre Pantoja ($9,000)

Let’s start with the flyweight title bout between Alexandre Pantoja and Kai Kara-France. Pantoja is coming in as a clear favorite with a projected 94.7 fantasy points and is showing up in 64.3% of top lineups – the highest on the slate – along with a massive 23.6% leverage mark over the field.

That high exposure, combined with a solid floor thanks to his grappling and submission upside, makes Pantoja a top-tier core play for all contest types this weekend.

Jose Delgado ($8,500)

Jumping down to the prelims, Jose Delgado squares off with Hyder Amil in a featherweight bout.

Delgado is showing up in 45% of top lineups, with our Sims getting to him about 14% more than the field.

He’s projected for around 72.5 fantasy points, a mark well within reach thanks to his reach advantage and ability to dominate both on the feet and on the mat.

Delgado looks like a strong addition to any lineup on Saturday night and should deliver an exciting matchup against Amil.

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UFC 317 DFS Picks – Ilia Topuria ($9,300)

Ilia Topuria steps in to defend his spotless 16–0 record in the lightweight title bout against Charles Oliveira. Our Sims are landing on Topuria in 39% of top lineups, about 5% more than the field, with a projection north of 94 fantasy points – elite numbers for a main event fighter.

Topuria averages nearly 5 significant strikes landed per minute, while absorbing under 4, showing solid output and defensive responsibility. His 92% takedown defense will be crucial in keeping this fight upright against Oliveira’s dangerous submission game.

Add in a 61% takedown accuracy and the ability to control pace, and Topuria shapes up as a strong DFS target with a high floor and a massive ceiling if he can stay off his back.

Viaceslav Borshchev ($7,600)

Borshchev is set to square off with Terrance McKinney in a lightweight matchup that could get wild early. He’s showing up in 38% of top lineups, a solid +10.9% leverage spot, making him a sneaky underdog with legitimate upside.

Borshchev relies on clean, efficient striking, landing 5.25 significant strikes per minute with a sharp 54% accuracy. While he hasn’t shown much wrestling offense, his 75% KO/TKO win rate highlights just how dangerous he can be if he’s able to keep the fight on the feet.

He’ll need to manage McKinney’s aggressive wrestling and early submissions, but if Borshchev can survive the opening flurries, his powerful striking and knockout upside could turn this into a slate-breaking spot for GPPs.

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Author
Danny Burke is a DFS/betting analyst and has been involved in sports media for the past 10 years. He began his career while attending the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, where he shared his picks weekly on the local ESPN affiliate. After graduating, Burke made his mark in Las Vegas, hosting various shows for VSiN. He then returned to his hometown of Chicago, where he launched "Rush Hour," the first-ever daily sports betting show to broadcast from an Illinois casino. Additionally, Burke co-hosted “Props & Locks,” which was the first betting segment to air during the Bears’ pregame show on Fox32 Chicago, and ran the program “Bet On, Chicago,'' on WLS-AM 890.

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