I ran through the top 300 lineups from Stokastic’s latest NFL Sims for the DraftKings Week 3 main slate. Below are the biggest edges I see for NFL DFS stacks, high-value one-offs and leverage based on lineup exposures from this run. If you’re trying to figure out NFL DFS picks for Week 3, this is a great place to start.
NFL DFS Week 3 Picks: Best Stacks and Leverage Plays from Stokastic’s Sims
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QB Pool: How the Sims are Building
- Caleb Williams — 25.3% (76/300)
- Dak Prescott — 16.3% (49)
- Carson Wentz — 7.3% (22)
- Marcus Mariota — 7.3% (22)
- Mac Jones — 7.0% (21)
- Trevor Lawrence — 6.0% (18)
- Daniel Jones — 6.0% (18)
- Geno Smith — 3.7% (11)
This is a Williams- and Prescott-led slate in the Sims, with a second tier (Wentz/Mariota/Jones/Lawrence) spreading ownership and creating natural leverage spots in tournaments.
Best NFL DFS stacks (by QB)
Caleb Williams
Top pairs (exposure in the top 300 lineups):
- D.J. Moore (21.3%)
- Rome Odunze (20.0%)
Top double stack:
- Moore + Odunze (16.0%)
Dak Prescott
Top pairs:
- Jake Ferguson (13.3%)
- CeeDee Lamb (11.0%)
Top double stack:
- Lamb + Ferguson (9.0%)
Carson Wentz
Top pairs:
- Jordan Mason (6.7%)
- Justin Jefferson (5.0%).
Mac Jones
Top pairs:
- Jauan Jennings (5.0%)
- Christian McCaffrey (4.7%)
- Ricky Pearsall (3.7%)
Priority One-Offs
- Jordan Mason — 68.7% RB exposure
- Garrett Wilson — 57.7% WR exposure
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba — 48.3% WR
- Trey McBride — 29.0% TE
- Christian McCaffrey — 30.7% RB
- Jonathan Taylor — 19.0% RB
- Juwan Johnson — 13.0% TE
- Brock Bowers — 13.3% TE
- Puka Nacua — 12.7% WR
Position Notes: Exposure Snapshots
RB
Jordan Mason 68.7%, Christian McCaffrey 30.7%, Bijan Robinson 30.0%, Jonathan Taylor 19.0%, Javonte Williams 17.7%, Bucky Irving 9.0%
WR
Garrett Wilson 57.7%, Jaxon Smith-Njigba 48.3%, DJ Moore 28.0%, Rome Odunze 14.0%, Puka Nacua 12.7%, CeeDee Lamb 12.7%, Drake London 10.3%
TE
Trey McBride 29.0%, Jake Ferguson 12.7%, Brock Bowers 13.3%, Juwan Johnson 13.0%, Tyler Warren 11.3%, Tucker Kraft 8.0%
DST
Steelers 24.0%, Jets 18.7%, Browns 8.3%
