Sunday afternoon hockey may not be the best quality of hockey, but this time of year we should get some entertaining games as teams duke it out for playoff spots and seeding. I’m usually looking to stack teams that have something to play for, but I also can’t ignore a great matchup if I see one. We’ll get some words from Awesemo to start, then I (Tommineation1) will follow up with some analysis on each stack.
TB2: Gourde-Point-Johnson ($16,000 DK/$17,800 FD)
“The second line for the Lightning has a great chance to get in on the 3.4 implied goal total tonight, as the Predators have been resting players and are on a back-to-back.”
The second line will have shutdown duties tonight against the Predators’ top line, which will likely have Filip Forsberg back. It’s hard not to like attacking a team on a back-to-back that has nothing to play for, especially when you have a line that has posted over 45 Scoring Chances For per 60 minutes and 23 High-Danger Chances For per 60 minutes. These are some of the best numbers we’ll see all season for a line that plays even a few games together, so now would be a good time to take advantage, as they may not even be the highest-owned line on their own team in tournaments.
MTL1: Byron-Drouin-Gallagher ($13,900 DK/$16,600 FD)
“Even though they are on a back-to-back, the Canadiens’ top line should have a high-event matchup against the top Devils’ line which gives it up defensively.”
The Devils’ top line, while great offensively, allows over 33 Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes as well as 14 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes. The Canadiens as a team are underwhelming for DFS usually, but they have a nice team total here, and this line should play a lot of minutes tonight at even-strength and the top power-play. This line (“A” DK value) is much too cheap for the upside they have in this spot, and they likely will go overlooked in most tournaments.
ANA1: Rakell-Getzlaf-Perry ($18,600 DK/$20,800 FD)
“The Ducks are in another must win game, and their implied total of 3.2 suggests they could put up some goals at home against the Avalanche, who don’t have much to be worried about outside of their top line.”
The Ducks top line (“A” points grade) almost always avoids the opposing top line on home ice, and that should be the case tonight for the Getzlaf line. They should see a lot of the JT Compher line, which allows 33.9 Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes and 13.9 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes. The Avalanche are also one of the most penalized teams in the NHL on the road, as they have the third-most Times Short-Handed in the NHL this season, which means this top line could flourish at both even-strength and the PP.