Pricing on DraftKings continues to be soft so it’s hard to get away from some of the top lines from these teams tonight. As always, try to get a lineup with different construction than standard 4-3-1 if you’re only playing one. Awesemo will start with his take on each stack, then I (Tommienation1) will follow up.
PIT1: Guentzel-Crosby-Hornqvist ($20,300 DK/$22,400 FD)
“The Penguins have the highest implied total on the night and their top line should do a lot of the heavy lifting once again.”
We want to keep an eye on the Penguins’ lines if Evgeni Malkin is able to play, but this line (“A” points grade) has been fantastic for them this postseason and I expect more of the same tonight. These playoffs, they have posted 39.6 Scoring Chances For per 60 minutes and 16.7 High-Danger Chances For per 60 minutes. They should match the Ovechkin/Kuznetsov line which makes for a high-event matchup both ways at even-strength. They will be the chalk, but they’re the toughest fade on the short slate for me as they’ll all get power-play time as well.
NSH1: Forsberg-Johansen-Arvidsson ($16,700 DK/$21,000 FD)
“The Predators’ top line has played very well at even-strength this series and they should get the same matchup once again tonight.”
NSH1 (“B” points grade) and WPG1 have spent most of their even-strength time against each other and NSH1 has gotten the better of them so far. In almost 34 minutes of even-strength ice time this series, WPG1 has allowed 46 shot attempts, 29 Scoring Chances Against, and 11 High-Danger Chances Against. WPG1 usually hard-matches their top line against the opposing top line, so we could see more of the same for NSH1 tonight even on the road. They’ll all play on the top power-play and they may not even be the highest-owned line in this game tonight.
