2 more NHL games to sift through tonight, and as usual, the home teams are favored to win in both games. As always, Awesemo will give his take on each players’ outlook tonight, then I (Tommienation1) will follow up with some additional analysis.
BOS1: Marchand-Bergeron-Pastrnak ($21,500 DK/$23,800 FD)
“The Bruins return home for Game-3 with the highest implied total of 3.2, and their top line has been the best line in the series so far.”
This top line (“A” points grade) will have a different matchup tonight at home, as they will likely hard-match the Stamkos line for the Lightning. JT Miller, Stamkos, and Kucherov posted a 29.5 Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes and 11.8 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes in the regular season, while BOS1 was one of the best lines in all of the NHL. They’re expensive, yes, but it’s hard to imagine them not creating a ton of shots and Scoring Chances tonight at even-strength, and they’re of course all on the top power-play as well.
VGK2: Tuch-Haula-Neal ($14,400 DK/$17,600 FD)
“The 2nd line for the Golden Knights comes at a solid price tonight despite great possession numbers in the playoffs.”
This trio (“B” DK value) has been fantastic in their 7 playoff games this season, posting a 55.5 Corsi For Percentage, 38.0 Scoring Chances For per 60 minutes, and 14.2 High-Danger Chances For per 60 minutes. Tuch is still playing on the top PP unit with Neal and Haula on the 2nd unit, but nonetheless, all of these guys get a bunch of power-play time. The Sharks jumbled their lines around in Game-3, so if they stack the top line again with Couture-Pavelski-Kane, that should open things up even further for the Haula line.
