There are a handful of expensive stacks that are tough to fit in together on DraftKings, so it’s looking like you’ll either have to pick your favorite one between DAL1, ANA1, EDM1, WPG1, and BOS1, or try to jam in two of them and punt a couple spots. It’s hard not to like all these spots, so I love slates like this where I can try to narrow down the absolute best option. Again, just because there’s chalk doesn’t mean you necessarily have to fade in tournaments. We’ll have Awesemo will weigh in on each stack, and then I (Jake Hari/Tommienation1) will follow up with some additional analysis.
DAL1: Benn-Seguin-Radulov ($20,200 DK/$22,300 FD)
“The Stars’ stacked top line is arguably the best stack on the night up against a poor Canucks team at home. They have a 3.5 implied team total, which is by far the highest on the night of any of the 8 teams.”
Seguin, Benn, and Radulov should be able to create a ton of shot volume and scoring chances against a Vancouver team has been, well, less-than-stellar defensively. This trio comes up as “A” grade in Awesemo’s rankings in all three categories (Points, DK value, FD value) and I can’t argue against him here. They will likely be the chalk stack, but with so many other expensive lines in play, you are able to play them on either site and can still differentiate elsewhere. This line creates over 33 Scoring Chances and 13.5 High-Danger Chances For per 60 minutes at even-strength, and with them all being on the top power-play (against the 78.3% penalty-kill) they are going to be a tough fade in tournaments.
MIN1: Zucker-Staal-Granlund ($18,700 DK/$20,500 FD)
“You’ll have to spend up on DraftKings to fit in this top line, but with ownership likely going to other top lines in Dallas, Winnipeg, and the Ducks, this is a chance to pay up to be contrarian in GPPs.”
Of any line on the slate that has played over 30 minutes together at even-strength, this Wild line is the only to reach over 20 High-Danger Chances For per 60 minutes. Even with the likely return of Patrice Bergeron, the great part about the Staal line is that they’ll mostly avoid him at even-strength, instead spending most of their ice time against the second and third lines for the Bruins. The ownership angle here is key, as they should come in at a lower percentage than some of all of the top lines in Dallas, Winnipeg, Anaheim, and Edmonton.
VAN1: Sedin-Sedin-Gagner ($11,200 DK/$14,700 FD)
“On DraftKings, the Sedin line (“B” DK value) makes for a solid value even though they have the lowest team total on the night. They should get 18-20 minutes of ice time in mostly favorable matchups.”
The Sedins may have the pleasure of going up against the Tyler Seguin line for an extended period of time tonight, which is actually a great offensive matchup. The Stars’ top line plays at a crazy-high pace, allowing 73 Corsi Against per 60 minutes, 42.4 Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes, and 14.1 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes. It’s not the most exciting play with quite a few studs on tonight’s slate, but the top power-play time for all three of these guys boosts their value against a Dallas team that has been short-handed the 2nd-most times in the NHL this year.