The NFL season is flying by, and Week 14 starts tonight with a vital matchup in each conference’s playoff race. The Pittsburgh Steelers head north to face the Minnesota Vikings for Thursday Night Football, which is a perfect opportunity to use OddsShopper to build some NFL Parlay Picks today. Using this fantastic site can help place smart wagers in an easy-to-use fashion and maximize the ROI on the wagers. It is truly betting made simple since you can find the best bet in 30 seconds or less.
Steelers vs. Vikings Same-Game NFL Parlay Picks Today
The first step is finding which sport you are going to wager on, so the banner at the top of the screen has the sports separated. Once you are on the NFL page, it is super simple to customize what you are looking for as far as teams and players on the left-hand side of the page.
Now, if you miss one of the odds highlighted in the article because it changed, do not worry. The lines do not always stay the same as they are updated every two minutes. There will be examples of when you can still wager based on the Awesemo projections. It is also easy to sort the props by what style you want to bet them, meaning that you can choose the highest ROI or the highest expected win rate.
Generally, the best approach is a mix of the highest ROI and expected win rate, and this whole process should take under 30 seconds to filter what you are looking for. The highlighted wagers in the article can also be bet individually, so if the parlay misses by one leg, it is not a total loss. Let’s find out what the best-projected bets are for Thursday Night Football and build some NFL parlay picks tonight.
Ben Roethlisberger Over 22.5 Completions
The records for the Steelers and Vikings are not inspiring, but it should bring desperation from each team to this game. Both still have postseason hopes, and Ben Roethlisberger has played better football in portions of the last three weeks. After getting destroyed by the Cincinnati Bengals, Roethlisberger responded with 236 yards passing and two touchdowns, including what became the game-winning drive in the fourth quarter last week. His completion rate on the season is 64.7%, while the Vikings are allowing a completion rate of 62.4%. That is seventh in the league, but Roethlisberger is just 29th in yards per attempt (6.6). That works to his advantage for his completion rate, and OddsShopper has an expected win rate of 71%, one of the highest for this game.
Pat Freiermuth Over 3.5 Receptions
The sportsbooks have underestimated this prop for about two months now. Pat Freiermuth has been stuck around 3.5 receptions for weeks, and he constantly has hit the over since Week 6, with last week being the only exception. There is a clear reason Week 6 appears to be the line in the sand for Freiermuth, and it was the loss of receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster from the Pittsburgh offense. Smith-Schuster was injured in Week 5, and since then Freiermuth has a target share of 16.7% and is behind only Diontae Johnson in total targets. What is even more evidence that Freiermuth’s role was linked to Smith-Schuster not being active is his average depth of target of 4.6 yards. When he played, Smith-Schuster was at 6.5. Freiermuth has a higher target share than Smith-Schuster did (14.4%), and his role is crystal clear. OddsShopper has this at an expected win rate of 59%, and he is somewhat linked to completions for Roethlisberger.
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Kirk Cousins Over 250.5 Yards Passing
This game is a bit tougher to bet on, and much of it comes from the Minnesota side. Receiver Adam Thielen has been ruled out, but that has forced props for receiver Justin Jefferson to go sky high. Betting either side could be a disaster because he should easily see 10 targets tonight. The secondary players in the passing game in receiver K.J. Osborn and tight end Tyler Conklin are now higher than normal, as they should be. On top of that, running back Dalvin Cooks appears to be playing 11 days after suffering a labrum injury. The offensive side is very messy as far as skill position players go.
The smart play is Kirk Cousins, who is sixth in yards and is averaging 279.4 per game. OddsShopper has a 58% expected win rate for this wager, and even though some sportsbooks have the number at 255.5, Cousins is projected for 269 yards. Cousins is also 10th in completion rate under pressure (50%), seventh in deep completion rate (42.4%) and 11th in yards per attempt (7.5). The Steelers will be missing cornerback Joe Haden again and are down to 20th in DVOA against the pass. Cousins has only been sacked 18 times and can handle pressure, both vital when playing a Steelers defense that leads the league in sacks and has linebacker T.J. Watt hounding opposing quarterbacks. These three legs give a return of about +542, as shown by the Awesemo Parlay Calculator, and they stand out in a difficult game to bet. Both teams have been extremely inconsistent this season, but some facets look strong every week.
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