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Best 2022 U.S. Open First Round Leader Picks & Golf Prop Bets




For the third major of the season, the PGA Tour heads to The Country Club (par 70, 7,254 yards) in Brookline, Mass., for the U.S. Open 2022. This event marks the first time in the new millennium that The Country Club has hosted a PGA event. Targeting elite ball strikers who make minimal mistakes has always been a recipe for success at the U.S. Open, and with 7 of the 12 par 4’s at The Country Club falling between 450 and 500 yards, bettors should also pursue players who are efficient on this specific length of hole. Furthermore, golfers who have compelling track records on poa greens certainly have a ton of merit since The Country Club has that green type. As of Tuesday, the weather forecast for Thursday is calling for much stronger wind gusts in the afternoon, giving an edge to the players teeing off the morning.

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Below are some of the best 2022 U.S. Open first-round leader picks using Stokastic’s Expert PGA Betting Tool and the OddsShopper Betting Tools. Note that the dead-heat rule applies for almost every major sportsbook when it comes to the 2022 U.S. Open golf betting predictions, meaning if the golfer you have a wager on for first-round leader wins but ties with other golfers, your winnings will be divided by the number of players he ties with. For example, if you bet on a golfer who is 40-1 and he is the first-round leader at the end round but ties with one other player, you will be paid out 20-1.

Best 2022 U.S. Open First-Round Leader Picks & Golf Bets

First Round Leader: Rory McIlroy (+2000, Caesars)

While betting the favorite is never ideal, McIlroy is too strong of an option to ignore this week, especially for the first round. Fresh off his second straight win at the RBC Canadian Open, McIlroy has produced six top-10 finishes in only 11 starts this season and is the PGA Tour’s leading player in strokes gained tee to green. He was impressively the first-round leader for 3 of those 11 events and ranks third in this field in strokes gained during the first round this season. To put the icing on the cake, McIlroy is at his best on poa, ranking first in total strokes gained over the field’s last 50 rounds at venues with poa greens. He should also see some of the best scoring conditions of Thursday’s opening round as one of the first players of the week to tee off at 7:40 a.m. Holding the highest expected win percentage of any first-round leader wager in Stokastic’s Expert PGA Betting Tool, McIlroy is a must-bet for Thursday.

Ben Rasa and Eric Lindquist break down the best U.S. Open 2022 golf betting picks and predictions. See who they’re building their card around this week.

First Round Leader: Daniel Berger (+5000, PointsBet)

Just like McIlroy, Berger has an ideal opening-round tee time at 7:40 a.m. and heads to Boston on the heels of one of his best finishes of the season. At the Memorial two weeks ago, Berger gained 5.1 strokes with his irons and 6.6 strokes with his flat stick en route to a tie for fifth at Muirfield Village. Berger will now look to carry this momentum over to The Country Club, which is a perfect setup for his skill set. He ranks eighth in total strokes gained over the field’s last 50 rounds on par 70s and has been brilliant on poa over the last few years, with a pair top-five finishes in his last three attempts at venues with this green type. That includes a win at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am last February. Plus, Berger has a serious knack for making noise early at tournaments; he opened this season as the first-round leader at the Hero World Challenge, which was one of the four times in 11 starts this year that Berger finished the first round inside the top three.

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First Round Leader: Aaron Wise (+7000, PointsBet)

Sticking with the strategy of attacking the early wave of tee times, Wise tees off at 8:02 a.m. on Thursday and is an excellent investment for first-round leader at these odds. He has been extremely close to reaching this feat numerous times this year, with four top-10 first-round results on his season resume. Wise ranks seventh in first-round scoring average this season. As for his current form, Wise is coming off his best result of the season, finishing runner-up at the Memorial while ranking third in strokes gained on approach for the week. In addition to being dialed in with his irons, Wise ranks first in strokes gained on par 4’s ranging from 450 to 500 yards over his last 24 rounds, which bodes extremely well for a trip to The Country Club, with 7 of the 12 par 4’s at this course landing in this range.

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