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PGA DFS Picks: Data Driven Analysis for The Valero Texas Open | DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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PGA DFS Picks for the FedEx St. Jude Championship FREE DraftKings + FanDuel daily fantasy golf advice and more.

PGA DFS is filled with tons of useful information, but at times it can be overwhelming. The Awesemo golf team created a format to provide one condensed article that will analyze the four most important statistics for daily fantasy golf. This statistical overview will focus on recent form, course history, strokes gained and old-school statistics. I will provide notes and a data sheet to help with your PGA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel contests in each category. This week the focus is on The Valero Texas Open.

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PGA DFS Picks: Valero Texas Open

Recent Form

Spanning 11 weeks of action, four golfers have teed it up 10 times: Patrick Rodgers, Brian Stuard, Pat Perez and Xinjun Zhang.  

It’s no surprise to see Tony Finau and Jordan Spieth projected as some of the highest-owned golfers by Awesemo this week (click here for the full field), as they are the only two golfers with four top-10s over the last 11 weeks. Scottie Scheffler, Andrew Putnam, Sam Ryder and Rafael Campos all come in with three.

Chris Kirk has been as consistent in his play over these past 11 weeks as anyone in the field, coming in with five top-25s, matching Spieth and Finau. Other consistent performers in this timespan include Cameron Tringale, Brendan Steele, Charley Hoffman, Abraham Ancer and Chase Seiffert, all of whom have four top-25s.

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Hunter Mahan’s story continues to be told throughout the golfing world, but he is going to need something to change soon, having missed eight straight cuts over the last 11 weeks. Nick Watney and Luke Donald, along with Mahan, are the only golfers in the field to have at least five starts and no cuts made.

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Course History at TPC San Antonio 

Tough golf courses always add to the variability of an event, and thus it is hard to find consistent performs. Take Ryan Palmer, for example, who is the only golfer in the field to accumulate three top-10s since 2014; he has missed his last two cuts. Spieth is 3-for-3, including two top-10s. He and Hoffman, who projects to score 74.4 points this week (click here to view the full set of projections), have the best course history here since 2014. Others that have played well include Matt Kuchar, Branden Grace, Ryan Moore, Kevin Chappell and Jimmy Walker, all with at least two top-10s in the time frame.

Click here to view in google sheets.

Strokes Gained

A big focus this week will be on off-tee games, as TPC San Antonio has some of the toughest fairways to hit on the PGA Tour. Utilizing a few strokes gained stats, the goal is to find a good statistical fit this week for the Valero Texas Open.


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Strokes Gained Off Tee

Luke List (8), Cameron Champ (9), Jhonattan Vegas (10), Corey Conners (14), Cameron Davis (16), Finau (17), Scheffler (18)

Strokes Gained On Approach

Keegan Bradley (6), Matthew NeSmith (10), Finau (11), Conners (12), Lanto Griffin (17), Hoffman (18)

Strokes Gained Around Green

Adam Hadwin (7), Byeong Hun An (8), Kirk (13), Rickie Fowler (15), J.B Holmes (17), Si Woo Kim (18), Robby Shelton (22), Scheffler (25), Spieth (28)

Strokes Gained Putting

Zach Johnson (10), David Hearn (11), Brice Garnett (15), Griffin (16), Chesson Hadley (17)

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

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Old School Statistics for PGA DFS Analysis

Here are two driving statistics used to capture golfers that may beat the field this week, leading to better results.

Total Driving

Gary Woodland (1), Doc Redman (9), Scheffler (13), Vegas (16), Conners (18)

Good Drive Percentage

Jim Furyk (1), Hearn (9), Woodland (10), Cameron Percy (12), Andrew Landry (16)

Proximity on Approach

Steele (8), Ted Potter Jr. (14), Furyk (16), Joel Dahmen (17), Doug Ghim (18), Percy (19)

Putting Outside 20 Feet

Spieth (1), Fowler (20), Beau Hossler (8), Rodgers (8), Woodland (11), Putnam (11)

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Data-Driven PGA DFS Picks for Valero Texas Open

That was a lot of information to digest. At the end of each weekly article, I will provide some of the names that appear with positive data in at least two of the four. These should make for good PGA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel.

  • Jordan Spieth
  • Corey Conners
  • Scottie Scheffler

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Looking for more fantasy golf and PGA DFS picks content for The Valero Texas Open? We have loads of PGA DFS picks and fantasy golf articles, data, cheat sheets, and more for DraftKings and FanDuel on the Awesemo PGA home page. Just click HERE.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now four years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of two boys, James & Myles. A dog and more specifically Lab lover (Bella), he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, at Disney World, on a hike, or somewhere in between. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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