Stokastic's PGA DFS Weather Splits
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PGA Weather Preview
| Name | DK Salary | SG_Weather | R1TeeTime | R2TeeTime | r1avg | r2avg | R1StrokesGained | R2StrokesGained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 14,400 | 0.00 | 13.4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Rory McIlroy | 12,400 | 0.01 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 11,000 | 0.01 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Xander Schauffele | 10,400 | 0.01 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Jon Rahm | 10,200 | 0.00 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Collin Morikawa | 9,800 | 0.00 | 13.4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Ludvig Aberg | 9,600 | 0.01 | 7.3 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 9,300 | 0.01 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Justin Thomas | 9,000 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 8,800 | 0.01 | 7.3 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Joaquin Niemann | 8,600 | -0.01 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Viktor Hovland | 8,500 | 0.00 | 13.4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Brooks Koepka | 8,200 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 8,000 | 0.01 | 7.3 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Shane Lowry | 7,800 | 0.01 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Sepp Straka | 7,700 | 0.00 | 13.4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 7,600 | 0.00 | 13.4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Jordan Spieth | 7,500 | 0.00 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Russell Henley | 7,400 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Keegan Bradley | 7,400 | 0.01 | 7.3 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Tony Finau | 7,300 | -0.01 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Corey Conners | 7,300 | -0.01 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 3.2 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Cameron Smith | 7,200 | 0.01 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Ben Griffin | 7,200 | 0.01 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Min Woo Lee | 7,100 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Sam Burns | 7,100 | 0.00 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 7,100 | 0.01 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Sungjae Im | 7,000 | 0.00 | 13.4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Wyndham Clark | 7,000 | 0.01 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Jason Day | 6,900 | -0.01 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 3.2 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Justin Rose | 6,900 | 0.01 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Si Woo Kim | 6,900 | 0.01 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Patrick Reed | 6,900 | -0.01 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 3.2 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Tom Kim | 6,800 | 0.01 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Maverick McNealy | 6,800 | 0.01 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Daniel Berger | 6,800 | -0.01 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Ryan Fox | 6,800 | 0.00 | 12.7 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| J.J. Spaun | 6,700 | 0.01 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Robert Macintyre | 6,700 | 0.01 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Dustin Johnson | 6,700 | 0.00 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Akshay Bhatia | 6,700 | 0.01 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Harris English | 6,700 | 0.01 | 7.3 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Adam Scott | 6,600 | 0.01 | 7.3 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Denny McCarthy | 6,600 | 0.00 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| J.T. Poston | 6,600 | -0.01 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 3.2 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Cameron Young | 6,500 | -0.01 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 3.2 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Byeong Hun An | 6,500 | 0.00 | 12.7 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Brian Harman | 6,500 | 0.01 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Taylor Pendrith | 6,500 | 0.01 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Davis Thompson | 6,500 | 0.01 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Aaron Rai | 6,400 | -0.01 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Thomas Detry | 6,400 | 0.01 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 6,400 | -0.02 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Carlos Ortiz | 6,400 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Max Greyserman | 6,400 | 0.00 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Michael Kim | 6,300 | -0.01 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 6,300 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Andrew Novak | 6,300 | 0.01 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Nick Taylor | 6,300 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Matt Wallace | 6,300 | 0.00 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| John Keefer | 6,200 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 6,200 | 0.00 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Cameron Davis | 6,200 | 0.01 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Lucas Glover | 6,200 | 0.01 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Davis Riley | 6,200 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 6,200 | -0.01 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Erik Van Rooyen | 6,100 | 0.00 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Tom Hoge | 6,100 | -0.01 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 3.2 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 6,100 | -0.01 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Bud Cauley | 6,100 | -0.01 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Ryan Gerard | 6,100 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 6,100 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Eric Cole | 6,100 | 0.01 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Gary Woodland | 6,000 | 0.01 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Marc Leishman | 6,000 | -0.01 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Niklas Norgaard Moller | 6,000 | 0.00 | 8.2 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Stephan Jaeger | 6,000 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Richard Bland | 6,000 | 0.00 | 8.2 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 6,000 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Victor Perez | 5,900 | 0.00 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Sam Stevens | 5,900 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Jackson Koivun | 5,900 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Chris Kirk | 5,900 | -0.01 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 5,900 | 0.00 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Sam Bairstow | 5,900 | 0.00 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Doug Ghim | 5,900 | 0.01 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Phil Mickelson | 5,800 | 0.01 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Jinichiro Kozuma | 5,800 | 0.00 | 8.8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Jordan L. Smith | 5,800 | 0.01 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Laurie Canter | 5,800 | -0.02 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 5,800 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Benjamin James | 5,800 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 5,700 | -0.01 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 5,700 | 0.00 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Matthew McCarty | 5,700 | 0.01 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Guido Migliozzi | 5,700 | 0.00 | 12.7 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Andrea Pavan | 5,700 | 0.00 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Jacques Kruyswijk | 5,700 | 0.01 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Takumi Kanaya | 5,700 | 0.00 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Mark Hubbard | 5,600 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Thriston Lawrence | 5,600 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Adam Schenk | 5,600 | 0.00 | 12.9 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Preston Summerhays | 5,600 | 0.00 | 12.7 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Scott Vincent | 5,600 | 0.01 | 6.8 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Alvaro Ortiz | 5,600 | 0.01 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Matthew Jordan | 5,600 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Frederic Lacroix | 5,500 | 0.00 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Yuta Sugiura | 5,500 | -0.01 | 14.2 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 3.4 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Zachary Bauchou | 5,500 | -0.01 | 9.0 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Zac Blair | 5,500 | 0.01 | 6.8 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Nick Dunlap | 5,500 | -0.01 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| Joe Highsmith | 5,500 | 0.00 | 12.7 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Justin Lower | 5,500 | 0.00 | 8.2 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Riki Kawamoto | 5,500 | -0.02 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Alistair Docherty | 5,400 | 0.01 | 6.8 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Lance Simpson | 5,400 | -0.01 | 9.0 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Chris Gotterup | 5,400 | 0.00 | 8.8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Cameron Tankersley | 5,400 | 0.00 | 8.8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Emilio Gonzalez | 5,400 | -0.02 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Ryan McCormick | 5,400 | -0.02 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Trent Phillips | 5,400 | 0.01 | 6.8 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Joakim Lagergren | 5,300 | 0.00 | 8.8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Chandler Blanchet | 5,300 | 0.01 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| James Hahn | 5,300 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Brian Campbell | 5,300 | 0.00 | 8.2 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Will Chandler | 5,300 | 0.00 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Roberto Diaz | 5,300 | -0.02 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Jackson Buchanan | 5,300 | -0.01 | 9.0 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Lanto Griffin | 5,200 | 0.00 | 8.2 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Noah Kent | 5,200 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Philip Barbaree | 5,200 | -0.01 | 9.0 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Austen Truslow | 5,200 | -0.02 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Jose Luis Ballester | 5,200 | 0.01 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Evan Beck | 5,200 | 0.01 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Justin Hastings | 5,200 | -0.02 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Joey Herrera | 5,100 | -0.02 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Riley Lewis | 5,100 | -0.01 | 9.0 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| James Nicholas | 5,100 | -0.02 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Kevin Velo | 5,100 | 0.01 | 6.8 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Tyler Weaver | 5,100 | -0.02 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Trevor Cone | 5,100 | -0.02 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Bryan Lee | 5,100 | 0.00 | 12.7 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| Maxwell Moldovan | 5,100 | 0.01 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Frankie Harris | 5,100 | -0.02 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Brady Calkins | 5,000 | -0.01 | 9.0 | 14.7 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Mason Howell | 5,000 | 0.00 | 8.8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Justin Hicks | 5,000 | 0.01 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Michael La Sasso | 5,000 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Zach Pollo | 5,000 | -0.02 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Trevor Gutschewski | 5,000 | 0.00 | 8.2 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Grant Haefner | 5,000 | -0.02 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| George Kneiser | 5,000 | -0.02 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Harrison Ott | 5,000 | -0.02 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Matt Vogt | 5,000 | 0.01 | 6.8 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| George Duangmanee | 5,000 | -0.02 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| Chase Johnson | 5,000 | 0.00 | 8.8 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
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About Our PGA DFS Weather Splits
In PGA tournaments, golfers almost always tee up once in the morning and once in the afternoon in the first two rounds - either Thursday morning and Friday Afternoon or vice-versa. In general conditions for golfing are better earlier in the day, so this is done to give each golfer the best chance at even conditions. But wind can make a huge impact on PGA tournaments with what golfers get the better weather for their rounds. That difference can be even more significant for bets and DFS contests involving a single round. Since weather forecasts can predict wind intensity fairly accurately, we can use this information to gain an edge with our bets.
In this table we show what the average wind conditions are forecasted to be for each round, and how we expect that to impact a golfer's score on average. SG_Weather stands for shots gained weather and represents the average number of strokes advantage a golfer has relative to other golfers. These are weighted for the tournament's average conditions so each golfer's SG_Weather averages out to zero. R1avg and R2avg are the average wind speeds expected for that golfer's round. And the R1 and R2 Strokes Gained columns break down the impact on each individual round.
Tee times for round 1 aren't known until Tuesday evening and will be updated by Wednesday morning. Tee times for rounds 3 and 4 are determined after the conclusions of rounds 2 and 3, we will update the weather impacts for those rounds after the conclusions of the previous round.
How To Use Our PGA DFS Weather Splits Data
View the video below to see how our PGA DFS weather splits are used in real PGA DFS line-ups.
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