Tuesday, Sept. 20, keeps the week rolling along with a spectacular 11-game main slate locking at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s get into the top MLB DFS picks today for pitchers and stacks for DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy baseball lineups.
DraftKings & FanDuel MLB DFS Picks Today (9/20)
Main Slate Stack:
Atlanta Braves vs. LHP Patrick Corbin — 5.7 implied runs
It is going to be a warm evening in Atlanta with game time temperatures in the mid-80s and a light breeze out to right field. Patrick Corbin somehow survived in two of his last three starts, limiting the Mets and Orioles to just two combined earned runs across 13 innings. Of course sandwiched in between these outings was a dumpster fire of a performance against the Phillies where the erstwhile ace suffered 12 hits, giving up five earned runs and allowing two home runs. In three previous starts against Atlanta, Corbin has allowed a 9.88 ERA, 2.42 WHIP and a trio of round-trippers in 13.2 innings.
Austin Riley has become one of the best in the game against lefties, boasting a .400 wOBA and .267 ISO over the last two seasons. Ronald Acuna Jr., Dansby Swanson and William Contreras are also elite when holding the platoon-advantage with each player carrying a .194 ISO or better. Finally, we get the perfect situation for Matt Olson, who is continually overlooked by gamers in same-handed matchups. Over his last 432 plate appearances against fellow lefties, Olson has a .367 wOBA and a .274 ISO, which is actually better than his production against right-handed hurlers in the same timeframe.
Late Slate Stack:
Seattle Mariners at LHP JP Sears — 4.2 implied runs
The Stokastic Top Stacks Tool has turned notifications on to be reminded of any time JP Sears is drawing a start. The 26-year-old rookie spent three years as a starting pitcher for The Citadel before being selected in the 11th round of the 2017 MLB Draft. In his first two seasons in the minors, he never made it above Single-A and then the pandemic scrapped the 2020 MiLB season.
Last year Sears worked his way up to Triple-A, but it was more a function to see if he could handle it, rather than earning his way up the ladder. Sears came over from the Yankees as part of the Frankie Montas trade, but he was not a key piece of the deal.
Over his last four outings, Sears has lasted only 18 innings while issuing seven walks, allowing six home runs and recording only 13 strikeouts. This has resulted in an 8.00 ERA, which is not too far off of his 7.33 FIP, which indicates he has pretty much earned this disastrous stat line and it is not due to bad luck.
Seattle is able to put out a solid lineup against southpaws. Rookie Julio Rodriguez has been amazing this year and the Mariners have already inked him to a 12-year, $209 million contract to keep him in the fold. Mitch Haniger has been dealing with a myriad of injuries, but he has a long track record of success against opposite-handed hurlers.
Dylan Moore and switch-hitting Sam Haggerty are excellent salary savers on both the main and late slates. It is unfortunate that Eugenio Suarez (fractured finger) is on the injured list, but that should give Ty France and Carlos Santana a boost in the batting order.
Best MLB DFS Pitchers
Primary Pitching Target:
RHP Luis Castillo at Oakland Athletics — 3.9 implied runs
- DFS Salary: DraftKings $9,100 | FanDuel $9,700
Since being acquired by Seattle earlier this summer, Luis Castillo has been impressive in eight starts for his new team. During this stretch he has logged 49.1 innings with a 2.37 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP and a stellar 13.5 strikeouts per nine innings rate.
Oakland has scored the second-fewest runs in the league this season and are currently in a 4-13 skid. The Athletics have been a bottom-five team for most of the season against right-handed pitching and aside from Sean Murphy and Seth Brown, there are no other imposing hitters to worry about.
Primary Pitching Target:
RHP Charlie Morton vs. Washington Nationals — 3.1 implied runs
- DFS Salary: DraftKings $9,000 | FanDuel $9,200
Dylan Cease is also an excellent option against Cleveland. However, the salary discount received by turning to Charlie Morton can be quite helpful in gaining access to the hitters participating in the Coors Field Extravaganza tonight. The current projected run total in that game is pressing 12 and the mercury is likely to be touching 90 degrees during first pitch.
Back to Morton, he has a cherry matchup against Washington. The 38-year-old is coming off a stretch that makes it seem like he is 10 years younger. In his last 10 starts, the venerable veteran has tallied a 3.68 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP and a whopping 73 strikeouts in 58.2 innings. The Nationals have been struggling all season, but even more so after trading away Juan Soto and Josh Bell. Their best hitters right now are journeyman Luke Voit and 30-year-old rookie Joey Meneses. Tonight’s projected lineup has a 26.3% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the last two seasons, which plays into the strength of Morton.
Currently, Shane McClanahan has a 4.5 over/under strikeout prop in his matchup with the the Astros. Houston is a daunting lineup and while we do not want to tangle with them in DFS, we definitely can look at this matchup for a sports wager. The Stokastic projections are forecasting 5.9 strikeouts and a 65% win probability. There is a somewhat heavy -148 moneyline on this over, so pairing this with another reasonably attainable wager as part of a parlay can help increase the payout upside.
If this wager feels a bit risky, you can still navigate things at an advantage with a RISK FREE BET up to $1,000 on BetMGM.
Other Pitching Options
- RHP Christian Javier at Tampa Bay Rays (Early)
- RHP Pablo Lopez vs. Chicago Cubs (Early)
- RHP Dylan Cease vs. Cleveland Guardians (Main)
- LHP Nestor Cortes vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Main)
- LHP Tyler Anderson vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (Late)
Latest MLB DFS Content
- MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Live Before Lock (September 29)
- MLB DFS Picks, Spotlight Pitchers & Top Stacks: SP1s Carlos Rodon and Nick Pivetta Look Strong Tonight (September 29)
- MLB DFS Picks Today: DraftKings Stacks, HR Predictions & Weather (September 29)
- MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: Main Slate DraftKings Fantasy Baseball Picks | Ronald Acuna (September 29)
- MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: Main Slate FanDuel Fantasy Baseball Picks | Matt Olson (September 29)
- Stokastic DFS on Youtube
Other Hitting Options
- Bryce Harper vs. RHP Ross Stripling (Early)
- Coors Field Extravaganza (Both sides, all slates)
- Ryan Mountcastle vs. LHP Joey Wentz (Main)
- Josh Donaldson vs. RHP Luis Ortiz (Main)
- Freddie Freeman vs. RHP Drey Jameson (Late)
Final MLB DFS Thoughts & MLB Weather Notes
It is going to be warmer than usual at a few venues, which should give a boost to offenses. It is going to be in the upper-80s in Atlanta and Colorado, with Kansas City looking at temperatures in the low-90s.
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