After a busy Monday card, the NBA has another tepid slate prepared for Tuesday night. That said, the Miami Heat-Cleveland Cavaliers and Los Angeles Lakers-New York Knicks contests jump off the page as especially exciting. With three other games to handicap, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Brandon Ingram player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Tuesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 31
Caris LeVert Prop O/U 2.5 Rebounds
The Cleveland Cavaliers will host the Miami Heat tonight. Although the Cavs play a slow, deliberate brand of basketball, that means the books may sometimes gas the juice on their overs up a bit too much. Case in point: Caris LeVert. LeVert is averaging 3.9 rebounds per game this year but only needs to make three for bettors to profit nearly a full unit.
LeVert came down with five rebounds in his last game against the Heat, and the NBA Bet Pro model projects him for 3.4 rebounds tonight. That gives this play an expected win rate of 56%, better than the implied odds of 53.5% available at PointsBet. This play is one of nine bets with EV of 5% or more, and bettors looking for the others should consider subscribing for the rest of the plays!
Best NBA Player Prop: Caris LeVert Over 2.5 Rebounds (-115) at PointsBet
Troy Brown Jr. Prop O/U 6.5 Points
The Los Angeles Lakers will play the New York Knicks tonight. With Anthony Davis probable and LeBron James questionable but expected to play, Troy Brown Jr. should see his volume tick down significantly. Brown is averaging 6.8 points per game this year but scored just two the last time both Davis and James were active.
Brown should score 5.5 points tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. That gives the under a projected win rate of 56%, again beating the implied odds. Bettors should head to Caesars Sportsbook to take advantage of this price. Users who have yet to register at Caesars can even secure first-bet insurance of up to $1,250!
Best NBA Player Prop: Troy Brown Jr. Under 6.5 Points (-111) at Caesars
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Brandon Ingram Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
The highest-profile player from today’s picks, Brandon Ingram has a tough late-slate matchup against the Denver Nuggets. Ingram has played just twice since his return from a lengthy absence and is yet to sink a pair of triples. However, his season average (1.7) still points to value on the over — as do the projections built into NBA Bet Pro.
NBA Bet Pro projects Ingram for 1.8 triples tonight. That’s slightly above his season average, but he did shoot 3-for-7 from beyond the arc in his last game against the Nuggets. This play has an expected win rate of 44%, which means bettors are getting quite the deal relative to the implied odds of 39.2% available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Users yet to register at DraftKings can secure $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager. Those in Ohio can access that deal via this link instead.
Best NBA Player Prop: Brandon Ingram Over 1.5 3-Pointers (+155) at DraftKings
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