With the Western Conference Finals wrapping up last night, the focus now turns to Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals where the Boston Celtics have an opportunity to punch their ticket to the NBA Finals at home tonight. Tonight’s game features a high spread for a game at this point of the postseason with the Celtics being favored by 8.5 at home over the Miami Heat. The Heat are coming into this game banged up, and may not have much more to give. The defense has certainly ramped up in the series of late, and in a pivotal Game 6, the over/under is set at only 201 points. With the NBA season coming to a close, be sure to use OddsShopper to finish your betting season strong and lock in the best possible NBA player prop lines both tonight and throughout the NBA Finals. With that said, let’s get into some of the best NBA player prop picks for Game 6.
Best NBA Player Props Today: Heat vs Celtics Betting Picks
Marcus Smart O/U 8.5 Rebounds + Assists
As we head into the game tonight, I fully expect the Celtics to close this series out on their home court. With that being said, I am not completely sold on them covering an 8.5-point spread, and thus, the bets tonight will come from the NBA player prop market. In a close-out game from the Celtics, let’s have a look at Marcus Smart and his rebounds + assists prop for tonight, which is set at 8.5. Although Smart has been dealing with an injury of his own, he is expected to suit up tonight and play significant minutes. When the Celtics are clicking, Smart is usually the primary facilitator in their offense. He has gone over 8.5 in five of six matchups against the Heat this season, and has hit it at a consistent nine of 13 games so far this postseason. OddsShopper currently has him projected at five rebounds and six assists, which surpasses the 8.5 total with ease. With the game expected to, once again, be very low scoring, focusing on props that don’t necessarily need a ton of scoring are usually the way to go and in this one. The -120 odds for his rebounds and assists prop is great value.
NBA Player Prop Pick Today: Marcus Smart Over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (-120)
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Bam Adebayo O/U 9.5 Rebounds & Double-Double
The Miami Heat seem to be beaten down physically, but a guy who can still step up is Bam Adebayo. Adebayo has shown flashes so far this series where he is able to completely take over certain parts of the game, as we saw in Game 3 where he stuffed the stat sheet with a 31-10-6 line. If the Heat want any chance of extending this series to Game 7, they are going to need Bam to have a similar performance tonight. In the series when Bam plays full minutes, he has surpassed 9.5 rebounds in two of three games. With the season on the line and the game expected to be low scoring, I expect the Heat starters to play close to 40 minutes as they have to leave it all out there to stay alive. Throughout the season, Adebayo was a player to target in the NBA prop market for us and with his potential last game tonight, the loyal thing to do is to turn right back to him. In this game tonight, Bam currently sits with an over/under 9.5 rebounds prop at +105 odds and his double-double prop coming in at +125. OddsShopper currently has his rebound projection at 10.6, which gives the rebounding prop a 62% chance at winning and holds a strong 26% ROI. With a points projection well over 15, adding in his double-double prop at +125 odds is hard to pass up on, which leads us to two official plays. When targeting the same player with two separate props, I usually divide the unit size in half and go half on each to preserve your exposure to injury, as we all know it can happen so easily in the prop market. In a must win game for the Heat, lets target a key piece to their team with two plus-money prop bets.
NBA Player Prop Picks Today: Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds (+105) & Bam Adebayo Double/Double (+125)Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Check out the StokasticOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.
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