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NBA DFS Picks and Fantasy Basketball Building Blocks for Today

Eric MacPherson



NBA DFS Building Blocks: Luka Doncic Tops the Player Pool

Sunday, November 20, brings a front loaded seven-game slate tipping off at 6:00 p.m. ET on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Let’s look at the player pool to discuss the top NBA DFS building blocks today for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups. Be sure to check out the Stokastic NBA DFS & Fantasy Basketball home page, where you can find fantasy basketball picks and analysis for each slate of games.

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NBA DFS Building Blocks Today: Sunday, November 20

Core Play of the Day — Luka Doncic: Dallas Mavericks-Denver Nuggets

  • Stokastic’s Preliminary Point Projections: DraftKings: 60.13 | FanDuel: 57.31
  • Stokastic’s Preliminary Rostered Projections: DraftKings: 16.7% | FanDuel: 27.1%
  • DFS Salary: DraftKings: $12,700 | FanDuel: $12,000

Even with 14 teams in action tonight, Luka Doncic stands out since only two other players project to be within 10 fantasy points of his median output. FanDuel has kindly bestowed point guard and shooting guard eligibility on the Slovenian, and he should be a priority in the majority of our “main” lineups. Looking at OddsShopper, we can see that Doncic is among the top three leading contenders for the NBA MVP this season.

Through 14 games this season, the 23-year-old is leading the league with a career-high 34.3 points per game. He has been dialed in from the field, making 49.7% of his attempts, and while he is struggling from behind the arc this season, he does have a decent 33.5% conversion rate for his career on 3-point attempts, so there is ample room for improvement. Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic are in the health and safety protocol, and Aaron Gordon has missed the last two games with a non-COVID illness. Although the Mavericks are double-digit home favorites, most of their production is still going to come from Doncic who is leading the team in points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks.

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Stephen Curry: Golden State Warriors-Houston Rockets

  • Stokastic’s Preliminary Point Projections: DraftKings: 53.28 | FanDuel: 50.45
  • Stokastic’s Preliminary Rostered Projections: DraftKings: 20.8% | FanDuel: 24.1%
  • DFS Salary: DraftKings: $10,700 | FanDuel: $10,500

Tonight Stephen Curry and the Warriors are hosting the Houston Rockets. Although Golden State is favored by 10 points, for those of you worried about “blowout risk,” think again. The Dubs are two games under .500 at 7-9 and have won just four of their last 11 games. Curry is averaging over 50 fantasy points per game for only the second time in his career, with the other season being all the way back in 2015-2016. Though his torrid 52.8% conversion rate on field goal attempts is likely to slide back under 50%, he can pile up points in a hurry. Curry is averaging 5.7 made 3-pointers and 6.7 rebounds, both of which are highwater marks for the former NBA MVP.

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Additional NBA DFS Building Blocks Picks Today – Sports Wagering Opportunities

Tonight Bojan Bogdanovic is an intriguing option with a 20.5 over/under line on his points prop for his road matchup in Sacramento against the Kings. The Stokastic NBA player projections have him for 23.0 points and a 62% likelihood that he surpasses this threshold. While that is a slimmer margin of success at -105 on this prop, that provides a 21% expected ROI (xROI) per OddsShopper.

Saddiq Bay, Cade Cunningham and Isaiah Stewart are all out, which further increases the scoring responsibility on Bogdanovic, who already leads the team with 20.5 points per game. The Kings play at a top-10 pace with a bottom-five defensive efficiency, making this a great time to roll with Bogdanovic.

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Memphis Grizzlies-Brooklyn Nets

Memphis will be a major source of value today, with Ja Morant week-to-week with a sprained ankle, Desmond Bane (toe) out for at least two weeks, and Jaren Jackson Jr. getting tonight off as part of his injury management and having played yesterday. Tyus Jones is once again the punt du jour, and he can be rostered on a majority of our lineups. Brandon Clarke, John Konchar and Santi Aldama are all steady selections, while the mercurial Dillon Brooks is a viable tournament option, though if his popularity heads over 30%, we should let the field assume that risk and pivot elsewhere.

Kyrie Irving theoretically is going to play tonight, but keep an eye on the news to see what information comes out since he has been suspended for nearly three weeks. Kevin Durant, of course, would be a top-three option if Irving remains out, and he is a neutral tournament play if Irving returns. Ben Simmons is coming off his best game of the season, with 15 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists collected over 32 minutes prior to fouling out. Simmons has multi-position eligibility on both DraftKings and FanDuel, along with a palatable salary, making him an intriguing under-the-radar option in all formats.

Miami Heat-Cleveland Cavaliers

Miami will be without Jimmy Butler (knee) tonight, and Tyler Herro (ankle) is going to miss a seventh consecutive game. Duncan Robinson (hand) is doubtful, and Gabe Vincent (knee), Dewayne Dedmon (flu) and Bam Adebayo (knee) are all questionable. This will be a game of musical chairs, though there are likely to be several available seats once the music stops. The Heat had only seven healthy players on Friday, and they still managed to take the Wizards to overtime in Washington before falling 107-106. Kyle Lowry and Caleb Martin are core options tonight, but the rest of the cards still need to be turned over with the upcoming NBA injury report. Tune in to the Stokastic NBA Live Before Lock show on YouTube tonight at 5:00 p.m. ET for all of the updated fantasy analysis.

The Cleveland backcourt has been impressive this season, with both Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland meshing well. The crowded frontcourt is likely to be without Kevin Love (thumb), which opens up additional opportunities for Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley in the starting lineup and Caris LeVert on the second unit.

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Final Thoughts on NBA DFS Picks Today

Crazy and NBA Sunday news go hand-in-hand, so be sure to keep abreast of late-breaking news by turning on notifications for the Stokastic NBA Twitter handle and let them do the heavy lifting. Plus, if you are a premium member, be sure to check out the Stokastic Discord for all up-to-the-minute analyses.

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Eric "EMac" MacPherson won the 2007 Fantasy Baseball grand prize (trip for two to the MLB All-Star game) in the Roto format on ESPN. He won again in 2008, this time in the H2H format. As one of the early adopters of daily fantasy sports, EMac has been providing content for baseball and basketball as well as both professional and college football since 2012 for a variety of websites including DraftKings Playbook, FanVice, RotoWorld, Daily Fantasy Bootcamp, and RotoGrinders. He is well into his third decade of fantasy sports and has a wealth of knowledge and experience. Follow him on Twitter @EMacDFS or contact EMac by emailing [email protected].

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