There are three NBA playoff games on the schedule tonight. With injuries controlling the narrative of the postseason so far, it can make creating lineups tough for Fantasy NBA.
However, No House Advantage brings gamers a different twist on NBA DFS. NHA offers props for various players at different point levels. The optimal way to win prop bets is by utilizing the Awesemo No House Advantage NBA projections to find the biggest discrepancy between the NHA prop and the tool itself. Let’s go over some NBA picks today for tonight’s slate and dive into some of the No House Advantage prop picks.
No House Advantage: NBA Picks Today | April 28
Tobias Harris: Over 7.5 Rebounds
This is a case where No House Advantage hasn’t adjusted to his postseason play, because Tobias Harris has grabbed over 7.5 rebounds in three of the last four games in the series. Not only that, but he grabbed double-digit rebounds in those three games. This brings his series average to 9.2 rebounds.
Harris is a pretty good rebounder, but the fact of the matter is he is playing essentially the entire game, so he has plenty of time to soak up boards. He has averaged 44 minutes over the past three games. With a chance to close the series out tonight, look for Harris to play heavy minutes, as he had in the other opportunities to close out the series. The Awesemo NBA Player Props Tool projects Harris for 8.27 rebounds tonight, giving this prop a 58% chance to go over.
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Mikal Bridges: Over 1.5 Made 3s
With Devin Booker out with an injury, there is a massive void for the Suns offense. A similar situation happened last NBA playoffs with an injury to the Suns, and when that happened Mikal Bridges props became the focus as sportsbooks and DFS sites alike were slow to adjust to him, especially with his 3-point props. There may be games where he doesn’t put up a ton of points, but Bridges will see more 3-point looks, which he usually knocks down.
Last game Bridges hit all four of his shots from downtown in a game that Phoenix controlled, and he should have a similar performance tonight. And if the Pelicans make it a more competitive game, it gives Bridges more opportunities to put up shots as Phoenix looks to be more aggressive.
Jalen Brunson: Over 17.5 Points
The Utah Jazz have had zero answer for Jalen Brunson. Through five games he has averaged 28.6 points. He still put up 23 and 24 points in the games Doncic returned for, showing he can still produce alongside the Mavericks’ highest-usage player.
It’s also not a case where Brunson is putting up outliers in efficiency. He’s getting to take as many shots as he would like right now, putting up 20 or more shots in all but one game this series. There is no reason for this to stop tonight, especially if Donovan Mitchell is limited with his hamstring. Utah’s defense could be even worse. The Awesemo NBA Player Props Tool projects Brunson for 18.09 points tonight, which is over this prop, but he should be able to score more than this.
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