In the playoffs, teams tend to play their star players more minutes and reserves fewer. In addition, there aren’t any new injuries to create pricing inefficiencies. So what I’m seeing in today’s slate is opportunities to get the star players at lower prices than they deserve getting playoff minutes.
8500 DK, 9400 FD
A points, A value both sites
John Wall averages nearly 40 minutes a game in his playoff career, and I don’t expect that to be any different this year. In the playoffs last year, he was priced in the mid 10ks on DraftKings, and his production this year has only been slightly lower on a per minute basis. Toronto is a negative matchup, but none of the teams in the playoffs are easy matchups defensively.
7400 DK, 7000 FD
A points both sites, B value DK, A value FD
Draymond Green also is at a discount compared to last year’s playoffs: on DK he averaged around 8k and on FD he was about 8.5k on average. His production has been slightly worse in games without Curry this year, but I expect that to be an aberration because his usage and assists were higher in those games. Those factors combined make him one of the most inefficiently priced players on today’s slate.
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