DeAndre Hopkins is currently being drafted higher than any other free agent in best ball contests, with an ADP of 46.5 on Underdog and 46.7 on DraftKings. This is not surprising following a year in which Hopkins earned 96 targets in just nine games following an early suspension. Whether his ADP rises or falls throughout the summer depends on his ultimate landing spot, though. According to DraftKings betting odds, three teams have much greater odds of signing Hopkins than the rest of the league. Let’s get on with our DeAndre Hopkins Best Ball landing spots.
Best Landing Spots For DeAndre Hopkins For Best Ball
The Tennessee Titans are the betting favorites, with an implied 53.5% chance of signing Hopkins at a line of -115. The Titans would be a disappointing landing spot for anybody who has drafted a lot of Hopkins. In 2022, the Titans ranked 28th in the NFL with a 54% pass rate, per NFELO. They were even worse in Pass Rate Over Expectation (PROE), ranking 30th at -10.6%.
For a player like Hopkins who is pretty reliant on volume, this would be a decidedly bad landing spot. The pass rate may come up after adding a receiver of Hopkins’s quality, but it’s not likely to be enough to Tennessee to be a positive landing spot. Particularly with some combination of Ryan Tannehill and rookie Will Levis at quarterback. Hopkins’s ADP will likely drop further if he signs with the Titans.
The New England Patriots have the third best odds of landing Hopkins, with an implied 28.6% chance at a line of +250. The Patriots would be a mediocre landing spot for Hopkins. The team ranked 16th in the NFL in pass rate in 2022, throwing 61% of the time. They ranked 11th in PROE at -1.2%.
Unlike in Tennessee, where Hopkins would have to compete with Treylon Burks, Hopkins would not have a ton of target competition on the Patriots. And despite a disappointing sophomore season, Mac Jones is likelier than Tannehill or Levis to take a step forward as a quarterback this year. Hopkins’s ADP would likely stay steady, or rise slightly, if he signs with the Patriots.
The Kansas City Chiefs have the second-best odds of landing Hopkins, with an implied 40% chance at +150. The Chiefs would be a great landing spot for Hopkins. The team ranked third in the league with a 66% pass rate in 2022 and topped the entire league in PROE at 10.8%. Hopkins would also have arguably the best quarterback in the entire NFL throwing him the ball in Patrick Mahomes.
Hopkins would be competing with Travis Kelce for targets, but Mahomes has shown an ability to support multiple fantasy stud pass catchers in the past. Hopkins’s ADP would likely rise at least one full round if he signs with the Chiefs.
So, should you be drafting Hopkins at his current ADP before he signs somewhere? Probably not. It is unlikely that Hopkins will be targeted quite as heavily in his new destination as he was in Arizona. He also may be somewhat on the decline, as his PFF receiving grade among those who were targeted at least 50 times dropped from sixth in the NFL in 2020 to 15th in 2021 and 35th in 2022. But if Hopkins does end up on the Chiefs, be prepared to start grabbing him in the third round.
