MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Pitchers and Top Stacks | May 27
MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Pitchers
These changes have been positive, helping Megill increase his strikeout rate from 10.5 per nine innings to almost 12.4 this season. Back in 2023 when he had a career-high 25 starts in The Show, he had a low 7.5 strikeouts and a high 4.1 walks per nine. He went back and forth between the minors and majors between 2021 and last year, though it looks like with his improvements he is locked into a rotation spot.
Gamers will be flocking to Megill due to his favorable salary and, of course, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox. Citi Field is a park downgrade for hitters, while facing the Pale Hose is a bonus for opposing pitchers. Chicago is a bottom-4 team against right-handed hurlers, barely surpassing Pittsburgh and, of course, lapping Colorado because that is just how bad it is for the Rockies this season.
The projected lineup for the ChiSox has a 23.2% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers over the last season and change, which bodes well for Megill, who has a 27.3% combined rate in the same timeframe. The Mets are also -275 favorites at home to garner the victory, which is another potential bump for Megill’s fantasy outlook.
Rodon had three or more walks in five of his last 10 appearances, accompanied by 73 strikeouts in these 60.1 frames. He has a pair of multi-homerun games this year, though overall he has ceded only eight round-trippers.
The Angels will be putting out a mostly right-handed lineup, with first baseman Nolan Schanuel likely being the only Los Angeles lefty.
If Rodon can mitigate the damage done by Zach Neto, Taylor Ward and Jorge Soler, he should be among the DFS darlings tonight.
Rookie RHP Cade Horton will be making his fourth appearance, drawing a delightful matchup against the Colorado Rockies in Wrigley Field.
The salary algorithms got ahead of the forecast, so there is not a lot of profit potential for the 23-year-old. Horton projects for around 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, which is middling at best. He is a top-3 prospect for the Cubs and just inside the top 75 on most industry lists.
Colorado has a 71 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, which is by far the worst in the league, and it indicates that Rockies are creating runs 29% less efficiently than league average when adjusting for park factors and other variables. They have the second-highest strikeout rate at 26.6%, and their .144 ISO is around league average, even granting the Rox their Coors Field production.
MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks
Main Slate Primary Target: Chicago Cubs
Colorado’s former ace did hold Philadelphia to one run in his last start, in Coors Field no less, “lowering” his ERA from 8.78 to 7.66. He has actually been worse on the road this year with a 15.1 ERA, 11 strikeouts, eight walks and four home runs in his last 16.2 innings away from Denver. Injuries limited him to just 24 innings in the two preceding seasons, but the salad days are long gone for the 30-year-old righty.
The addition of Kyle Tucker and the rapid development of Pete Crow-Armstrong and Michael Busch have revamped the Cubbies into one of the deepest offenses in the league. Switch-hitter Ian Happ is healthy and again leading off, with outfielder Seiya Suzuki and catcher Carson Kelly also among the best hitters at their respective positions. That gives a stellar six sluggers to choose from, while Dansby Swanson is lurking for differentiation.
DraftKings has handed out aggressive salaries to Tucker ($6,500), Crow-Armstrong ($6,000) and Suzuki ($5,700), which should help keep The Masses at bay. Yahoo has taken a similar approach, though the secret site has mispriced half a dozen batters, so there is wiggle room provided by Jordan Lawler, Travis d’Arnaud, Connor Joe, Marcelo Mayer and Jared Young, just to name a few.
Main Slate Secondary Target: Arizona Diamondbacks
Injuries and the lack of a dominant pitch have turned Burrows into cannon fodder, and while he will likely carve out a role as a multi-inning reliever for the rest of this decade, he is not going to scare many good offenses. Arizona led the league in runs scored last year, with 44 more than the Dodgers and 71 more than the Yankees.
Christian Walker is in Houston, but his replacement Josh Naylor has tremendous pop in opposite-handed matchups, and he is live for a home run tonight. Corbin Carroll has become one of the most well-rounded offensive threats in the game, able to hit pitchers of either handedness for power and able to swipe a steal at any time.
Switch-hitter Ketel Marte is healthy again and in the midst of a career year from the left side of the plate, while Pavin Smith also performs well when he has the platoon advantage. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is better against lefties, but he has pop when he makes contact against fellow righties, and it looks like Eugenio Suarez has found the fountain of youth.
Today’s Top Sports Betting Picks
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Take Stephen Kolek under 4.5 strikeouts, for example. This is a +EV bet, meaning it has positive expected value based on the best odds available. But smart betting with Portfolio EV isn’t about chasing isolated plays; it’s about consistently firing off a high volume of +EV wagers. With the Mass Entry tool, you can scale your action and let the math compound your edge over time.
Just like one DFS lineup won’t guarantee a takedown, one bet won’t define your night — it’s the consistent process that leads to profit.
Portfolio EV is built for bettors who want to win over the long haul. By identifying market inefficiencies, the best available odds and stacking a portfolio of +EV bets, it sets you up for compounding returns over time. This isn’t about chasing hot streaks — it’s about trusting the numbers and executing a smart, consistent and scalable strategy to beat the books.
Across his last 282 batters faced, Kolek had a middling 19.1% strikeout rate, while the Marlins are even lower with the projected lineup striking out 18.9% of the time since the beginning of last year. There are windmills in Kyle Stowers (32.1%, 137 plate appearances), Matt Mervis (37.5%, 112 PAs) and Connor Norby (33.3%, 81 PAs), but these hitters also pack a wallop, so Kolek would be best served not to screw around and go after strikeouts since he has issues with lefties (Sowers and Mervis swing the stick from the left side of the plate).
