NBA DFS Contrarian Picks: Jaden Ivey Time in Detroit (November 20)

The NBA is back with an eight-game slate on Monday. Using Stokastic’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust tool, let’s dive into the player pool to discuss the best NBA DFS contrarian picks on DraftKings this evening.

NBA DFS Contrarian Picks — Plays For Today

React App

Contrarian Stud — LaMelo Ball: Boston Celtics-Charlotte Hornets

Unlike many recent slates where there have been limited contrarian options to choose from, there are a number good looking differentiators tonight, starting with Charlotte point guard LaMelo Ball. After playing limited minutes in the Hornets’ first five games of the season, Ball has been spectacular since, only dropping below 50 DraftKings points one time over the past seven games. Despite his current form and a decreased price tag, the field is out on Ball tonight in a really tough spot against the Celtics.

There’s no doubt that using players against the Celtics and their stout defense is usually a fool’s errand. However, Stokastic’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust tool have the youngest Ball projected to be optimal 8.70% of the time this slate plays out on DraftKings. Compare that to his 4.60% projected ownership, and it’s clear why he stands out as an intriguing “spend up to be contrarian” piece in tournaments. This is a tough spot for Ball and the Hornets, but his upside is still sky high and he’s definitely worth getting over the field on in GPPs.

Contrarian Mid-Tier — Jaden Ivey: Denver Nuggets-Detroit Pistons

Also in a tough spot at home against Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets, Jaden Ivey stands out as the top contrarian mid-tier piece on DraftKings at $4,900. Coming into his second season as a pro, Ivey has struggled to receive consistent minutes for a Pistons team that has a lot of guard depth. After Ivey played 28 and 29 minutes over the past two games, it seems that head coach Monty Williams has finally seen the light and Ivey is rightly going to get his chance to shine.

Given his inconsistent production this season, it’s no surprise that Ivey is projected to be only 2.80% ownership on DraftKings. He has an optimal percentage of 7.80%, however, so the field is clearly sleeping on Ivey and his upside at his cheap price point. Ivey was a microwave scorer who could get hot from anywhere on the floor coming out of Purdue. After displaying some of those same traits last year in his rookie season, Ivey has fallen into a sophomore slump of sorts on a terrible Pistons team. Expect these trends to change much sooner rather than later, with Ivey looking like one of the best tournament plays on the slate given his upside at $4,900.

prizepicks promo code

Contrarian Value — Isaiah Hartenstein: New York Knicks-Minnesota Timberwolves

As DraftKings continues to do a much better job of consistently pricing up players, there seems to be a definite lack of viable value pieces priced under $5,000. There are a few more options tonight than there have been recently, but we’re still dumpster diving a bit, with Isaiah Hartenstein emerging as the top contrarian value play on the board.

Despite Hartenstein’s cheap $4,100 price tag, the field is not buying what he is selling, as only 1.30% of lineups are expected to roster him on DraftKings. He has an optimal percentage of 6.40%, and Hartenstein stands out as one of the best leverage plays at any price point. As the backup to Mitchell Robinson, he racks up fantasy points quickly, and it’s easy for him to pick up extra minutes if anything happens to Robinson. Plus, his $4,100 price tag opens doors to roster construction that otherwise would be shut.

Looking for more NBA DFS advice? You’ve come to the right place. Sign up for Stokastic’s NBA DFS Premium Package for access to player projections, ownership projections and Stokastic’s state-of-the-art NBA DFS simulation tools.

Matthew Belman
Matt Belman graduated from Tulane University with a degree in Consumer Behavior. He has been playing and analyzing DFS full time since 2018. He has qualified for the 2023 DraftKings NBA World Championship (5x), the 2023 DraftKings MLB World Championship (2x), the 2023 FanDuel MLB World Championship (2x) and the 2023 DraftKings NFL World Championship. You can find him on X at @fantasytipsmatt.

Stokastic +

Premium Data and Tools
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims MLB
Top Stack %s
MLB Data Central
SoRare MLB Rankings
DraftKings Night Owl
MLB Lineup Study
MLB Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Fantasy Cruncher (ADD-ON)
NHL Lineup Study
NHL Discord Server
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims PGA
Ownership Projections
Top Golfers Tool
PGA Tournament Models
PGA Lineup Study
PGA Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Drivers Tool
NASCAR Discord Server
NASCAR Fantasy Cruncher
Formula 1 Projections
F1 Discord Server
USFL Projections
USFL Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Fighters Tool
MMA Discord Server
MMA Fantasy Cruncher
NFL Betting Tools
Stokastic Discord Server
Best Ball
Best Ball Rankings
Best Ball Stat Projections
Stokastic Discord Server
Season Long Fantasy (Coming Soon)

Premium Data

NBA DFS Single-Game Showdown Ownership

NBA DFS Ownership: Night Slate

Stokastic’s NBA DFS Rankings

NBA DFS Projections

NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability

NBA DFS Ownership – Express Slates

FanDuel NBA DFS Ownership

Yahoo! NBA Ownership

NBA DFS Ownership – Main Slate

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics